AGNC Investment

Fed's Accommodative Policy Will Improve Predictability Of Agency MBS Returns

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

02 Feb 25

Updated

29 Oct 25

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

5.5%

7D

1.3%

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1Y

5.5%

7D

1.3%

You can edit this narrative until Oct 30 11:40 PM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$9.834.6% overvalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 29 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 86%

Analysts have raised their price target for AGNC Investment from $5.29 to $9.83, citing improving mortgage market trends, tighter agency spreads, and a substantial increase in mortgage applications as key drivers behind their more optimistic outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes reflect heightened optimism around AGNC Investment, with multiple analysts increasing their price targets amid signs of an improving mortgage market environment.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 3.99%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased profit margin from 68.4% to 76.2% and decreased future PE multiple from 10.0x to 8.8x.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 1.10%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 47%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 27.3% to 32.8% and decreased profit margin from 77.6% to 68.4%.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 1.81%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased discount rate from 9.4% to 10.4%.

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

US$9.83

4.6% overvalued

Future estimation in

% p.a.

0

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

29.69%

Mortgage REITs revenue growth rate

N/A

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

9.85%

Calculation

US$2.56b

Earnings '28

x

6.51x

PE Ratio '28

=

US$16.68b

Market Cap '28

US$16.68b

Market Cap '28

/

1.28b

No. shares '28

=

US$13.07

Share Price '28

US$13.07 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 9.99% p.a.

=

US$9.82

Fair Value '25