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CAVA: Expansion To 1,000 Locations Will Drive Long-Term Market Leadership

Published
29 Aug 24
Updated
01 Nov 25
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-66.0%
7D
-4.7%

Author's Valuation

US$83.5641.1% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 01 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 5.92%

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for CAVA Group from approximately $88.81 to $83.56 per share. They cite slowing consumer demand and tempered same-store sales growth as factors behind more cautious outlooks across the restaurant sector.

Shared on 18 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 2.12%

Analysts have moderately reduced their price target for CAVA Group by nearly $2 per share, citing softer-than-expected comparable sales. However, they remain positive on the company's long-term potential because of its dominant position and continued unit growth momentum.

Shared on 04 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 1.61%

CAVA Group's analyst price target has been modestly reduced by analysts, falling from about $92.21 to $90.73 per share. Recent research highlights near-term sales pressures and a softer growth outlook, but notes that core fundamentals remain intact.

Shared on 04 Sep 25

CAVA Group’s analyst price target remained unchanged at $92.21 as near-term comp sales softness and lowered guidance weighed on sentiment, but analysts remain confident in the brand’s long-term positioning and recovery potential. Analyst Commentary Q2 same-store sales growth and comps were significantly below expectations, with management lowering full-year and 2025 same-store sales guidance due to macro headwinds, difficult comparisons, and the impact of newer stores entering the comp base.

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Decreased 26%

Shared on 30 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 12%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 7.16%

Shared on 16 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 2.22%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 1.16%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.71%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 1.82%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 17%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 7.57%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased shares outstanding growth rate from 0.0% to 0.0%.