Analysts Lower Starbucks Price Target Amid Mixed Outlook and Operational Challenges

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

18 Jul 24

Updated

07 Dec 25

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n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

-12.4%

7D

0.3%

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1Y

-12.4%

7D

0.3%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 8 8:05 PM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$94.199.4% undervalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 07 Dec 25

Fair value Increased 0.099%

SBUX: Turnaround And Labor Disputes Will Shape Traffic And Margin Recovery

Analysts have nudged their average Starbucks price target slightly higher by about $0.20 to approximately $94.20. This reflects a view that while revenue growth and profit margins may face near term pressure amid macro headwinds and a slower turnaround, the company’s long term earnings power and valuation multiple remain intact.

Shared on 23 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 0.071%

SBUX: Turnaround Plans And Store Closures Will Shape Earnings Recovery Amid Labor Strikes

The analyst consensus price target for Starbucks has been revised downward to $94 from $100, as analysts cite concerns about slower sales momentum and a challenging industry environment despite ongoing turnaround efforts. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst notes on Starbucks reflect a mix of cautious optimism and ongoing concerns as the company navigates an uncertain operating landscape.

Shared on 05 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 2.52%

SBUX: Store Restructuring And Cost Efforts Will Support Gradual Earnings Recovery

Starbucks’ average analyst price target has edged down from approximately $96.60 to $94.17, as analysts cite persistent macroeconomic challenges, slower expected revenue growth, and sustained margin pressures, even as there are signs of operational improvement. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst notes on Starbucks highlight a mix of optimism about the company's operational progress, alongside heightened caution about macro pressures and execution challenges.

Shared on 22 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 1.06%

Starbucks' analyst price target has been lowered by approximately $1 to $96.60. Analysts cite ongoing challenges in sales trends, profit margins, and execution against strategic initiatives.

Shared on 08 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 1.76%

Analysts have modestly lowered their fair value estimate for Starbucks to approximately $97.63 per share. They cite ongoing U.S. turnaround challenges, increased competition in China, and slightly slower revenue growth expectations as reasons for the adjustment.

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Increased 0.43%

Shared on 30 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 2.87%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 2.22%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 16 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 2.10%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 1.46%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 0.50%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 0.056%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 0.24%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 14%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 6.3% to 7.4%.

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

US$94.19

9.4% undervalued

Future estimation in

% p.a.

0

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

5.04%

Hospitality revenue growth rate

0.50%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

9.03%

Calculation

US$3.82b

Earnings '28

x

36.35x

PE Ratio '28

=

US$139.01b

Market Cap '28

US$139.01b

Market Cap '28

/

1.14b

No. shares '28

=

US$121.86

Share Price '28

US$121.86 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 8.99% p.a.

=

US$94.14

Fair Value '25