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Government Funding Will Activate Idle Detention Facilities

Published
13 Sep 24
Updated
16 Sep 25
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$29.88
38.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
16 Sep
US$18.32
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1Y
32.7%
7D
-2.1%

Author's Valuation

US$29.8838.7% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 16 Sep 25

Fair value Decreased 5.16%

Government Funding Will Activate Idle Detention Facilities

Despite anticipated sales and contract opportunities from increased immigration enforcement, analyst concerns over execution risks and profitability have led to a downward revision in CoreCivic’s consensus price target from $31.50 to $29.88. Analyst Commentary Anticipated passage of the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" includes significant funding increases for immigration enforcement, likely driving greater demand for detention capacity and positively impacting CoreCivic’s business.

Shared on 01 May 25

Fair value Increased 4.20%

Government Funding Will Activate Idle Detention Facilities

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 4.03%

Investing $40M To Activate Facilities Will Meet Increased ICE And US Marshals Service Demand

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 14%

Investing $40M To Activate Facilities Will Meet Increased ICE And US Marshals Service Demand

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Investing $40M To Activate Facilities Will Meet Increased ICE And US Marshals Service Demand

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.90%

Investing $40M To Activate Facilities Will Meet Increased ICE And US Marshals Service Demand

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Investing $40M To Activate Facilities Will Meet Increased ICE And US Marshals Service Demand

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Investing $40M To Activate Facilities Will Meet Increased ICE And US Marshals Service Demand

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 11 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 12%

Investing $40M To Activate Facilities Will Meet Increased ICE And US Marshals Service Demand

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 2.2% to 5.5%, increased profit margin from 6.0% to 7.0% and decreased future PE multiple from 30.7x to 22.1x.