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CWST: Inorganic Expansion Will Drive Long-Term Compounding Despite Short-Term Challenges

Published
28 Aug 24
Updated
31 Oct 25
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-10.8%
7D
-0.1%

Author's Valuation

US$11522.9% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 31 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 1.44%

Analysts have modestly lowered their fair value estimate for Casella Waste Systems from $116.68 to $115.00 per share. This adjustment reflects mixed sector sentiment and tempered expectations for the company's growth trajectory, even as industry optimism continues.

Shared on 16 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 1.55%

Northeast And Mid-Atlantic Trends Will Reshape Waste Management

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Casella Waste Systems from $118.51 to $116.68 as the company's updated profit forecasts, margin estimates, and sector evaluations point to a modestly more cautious outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage reflects a mix of optimism and caution regarding Casella Waste Systems, centered on the company's growth trajectory, sector dynamics, and execution risks.

Shared on 19 Sep 25

Fair value Decreased 3.55%

Northeast And Mid-Atlantic Trends Will Reshape Waste Management

Casella Waste Systems’ consensus price target has been revised downward as analysts highlight operational challenges tied to its geographic expansion and sector-specific headwinds, resulting in a new fair value of $118.51. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts point to “growing pains” related to Casella Waste's geographic expansion, which may be underestimated by consensus.

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Increased 5.44%

Northeast And Mid-Atlantic Trends Will Reshape Waste Management

Shared on 30 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 0.06%

Expanding Fleet Automation And Recycling Upgrades Will Drive Operational Efficiency

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 5.49%

Expanding Fleet Automation And Recycling Upgrades Will Drive Operational Efficiency

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased shares outstanding growth rate from 0.1% to 0.1%.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 3.08%

Expanding Fleet Automation And Recycling Upgrades Will Drive Operational Efficiency

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 5.88%

Expanding Fleet Automation And Recycling Upgrades Will Drive Operational Efficiency

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 11%

Expanding Fleet Automation And Recycling Upgrades Will Drive Operational Efficiency

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 1.32%

Expanding Fleet Automation And Recycling Upgrades Will Drive Operational Efficiency

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Expanding Fleet Automation And Recycling Upgrades Will Drive Operational Efficiency

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 5.70%

Expanding Fleet Automation And Recycling Upgrades Will Drive Operational Efficiency

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased profit margin from 6.9% to 6.1% and increased future PE multiple from 62.5x to 87.7x.