U.S. Market Community

Deep Dive: Assessing the Sustainability of CRWV’s Compute-as-a-Service Model I’ve been looking into the business model of CRWV and its reliance on high-leverage hardware acquisition. Here’s a breakdown of why the current trajectory might face significant structural headwinds compared to established players.Read more

Moody's Corporation is a regulatory-moated oligopoly wrapped in a compounding software business. The MIS ratings franchise holds the most durable structural position in financial services: NRSRO designation is a legal prerequisite for capital adequacy calculations in virtually every major financial market globally, the duopoly with S&P has been unbroken for over four decades, and the proprietary century-old default database cannot be replicated at any cost.Read more

Key Takeaways • Marvell is the only player simultaneously covering custom ASIC design, 1.6T optical DSP, silicon photonics (Celestial AI), and CXL switching — a full-stack moat no single competitor replicates today. • NVIDIA's $2B equity investment (March 31, 2026) into Marvell via NVLink Fusion is not a component deal — it is an ecosystem architecture deal.Read more

Key Takeaways • DustPhotonics acquisition (April 13, 2026) is a declaration of war on Marvell's core optical market. For $750M cash + earnout shares (~$1.3B total), Credo acquires silicon photonics PIC technology covering 400G, 800G, 1.6T, and a 3.2T roadmap.Read more

MSCI is a Wide Moat compounding machine whose index benchmarks serve as the institutional standard for $16.5 trillion in global AUM, generating 75%+ recurring revenue at 93-95% retention rates and approximately 50% FCF margins. The investment thesis rests on three durable pillars: (1) permanent switching costs in the Index segment, where fund mandate rewrites, LP notifications, and derivative contract renegotiations make benchmark migration prohibitively costly for all but the most determined sponsors; (2) secular tailwinds from the continued growth of passive investing and the institutionalization of private markets, which expand MSCI's AUM-linked revenue with zero incremental cost; and (3) an emerging private assets franchise replicating the Index playbook in a $10 trillion+ private equity and credit market that currently lacks institutional-grade benchmarks.Read more

Extreme Networks has a credible path to $52 over the next five years because it is shifting from a hardware‑centric model to a cloud‑driven, subscription‑based networking business with strong medium‑term growth forecasts. Analysts expect revenue to grow roughly 8–11% per year and earnings growth closer to 40% per year , with projected returns on equity rising into the mid‑to‑high 60% range as the company scales its software and SaaS platforms.Read more

Key Takeaways EVA Live (Nasdaq:GOAI) has launched NeuroServer , a purpose-built AI system trained specifically for digital advertising rather than built on off-the-shelf AI models. Its custom neural architecture is designed for multi-objective optimisation across real campaign KPIs, and was trained using reinforcement learning in an agency environment, positioning it very differently from typical AI-powered ad-tech tools.Read more

Autodesk (ADSK) has a credible path to $330–$378 over the next five years because it remains the dominant software platform for architecture, engineering, construction, and product design, with a strong shift toward subscriptions and recurring revenue. That transition gives earnings higher visibility and improves capital efficiency, which can support a premium valuation if growth continues.Read more

$BLCO & $COO. The Silence After the AGM: A Retail Investor’s Timeline, Findings, and Opinion on an Unprecedented Governance Failure By a Retail Investor and Portfolio Manager (Opinion) --- I.Read more