MSC Industrial Direct

Analyst Commentary Highlights Balanced Outlook and Slight Valuation Uptick for MSC Industrial Direct

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

27 Oct 24

Updated

08 Dec 25

Views

72

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

9.9%

7D

2.1%

Loading

1Y

9.9%

7D

2.1%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 9 10:10 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$87.51.6% undervalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 08 Dec 25

MSM: Future Returns Will Reflect Balanced View As Short-Cycle Demand Stays Soft

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on MSC Industrial Direct to $87.50 per share. This reflects a slightly higher assumed future valuation multiple and a marginally increased discount rate, as they balance steady long term fundamentals against a more cautious near term demand outlook.

Shared on 24 Nov 25

MSM: Future Results Will Mirror Balanced Outlook as Near-Term Demand Softens

Narrative Update on MSC Industrial Direct: Analyst Price Target Change The analyst price target for MSC Industrial Direct remains unchanged at $87.50. Analysts point to a more balanced risk/reward outlook and reflect cautious sentiment on short-term U.S. industrial demand.

Shared on 06 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 1.13%

MSM: Future Performance Will Reflect Balanced Risk Amid Cautious Short Cycle Demand

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for MSC Industrial Direct from $88.50 to $87.50. This change reflects a more balanced risk/reward outlook amid cautious expectations for near-term U.S. demand.

Shared on 23 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 0.76%

Analysts have slightly raised their fair value price target for MSC Industrial Direct from $87.83 to $88.50. They cite a balanced risk and reward outlook, along with cautious sentiment on near-term U.S. demand.

Shared on 08 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 2.72%

Analysts have lowered their price target for MSC Industrial Direct from $90.29 to $87.83. They cite a more cautious stance on near-term U.S. industrial demand and a reassessment of the stock's risk and reward profile.

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Increased 13%

Shared on 30 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.94%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 3.27%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 3.4% to 3.9%.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 0.41%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 11 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 6.15%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 3.8% to 3.4%.

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

US$87.5

1.6% undervalued

Future estimation in

Growth p.a.

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

4.33%

Trade Distributors revenue growth rate

0.24%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

8.13%

Calculation

US$305.12m

Earnings '28

x

19.95x

PE Ratio '28

=

US$6.09b

Market Cap '28

US$6.09b

Market Cap '28

/

55.58m

No. shares '28

=

US$109.50

Share Price '28

US$109.50 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 8.14% p.a.

=

US$86.58

Fair Value '25