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Managed Inventory Expansion And Digital Footprint Will Transform Supply Chains

Published
06 Aug 24
Updated
13 Nov 25
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-1.1%
7D
-2.2%

Author's Valuation

US$43.587.2% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 13 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 1.73%

FAST: Future Performance Will Rely On Overcoming Margin Pressures And Execution Risks

Fastenal's analyst price target has edged down from $44.35 to $43.58, as analysts cite increased caution around future growth, margin pressures, and lower revised earnings estimates following recent coverage and earnings misses. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Fastenal reflects a diverse range of perspectives regarding the company's outlook and valuation.

Shared on 27 Aug 25

Fair value Increased 2.54%

Fastenal’s consensus price target was raised to $44.05 on the back of strong Q2 results, improving sales trends, and continued margin outperformance, with analysts expecting double-digit sales growth and justifying a premium valuation despite an already elevated multiple. Analyst Commentary Strong Q2 performance, with Fastenal beating consensus on sales, gross margin, and operating margin.

Shared on 29 Jul 25

Fair value Increased 15%

The substantial upward revision in Fastenal’s price target is primarily driven by improved revenue growth forecasts and a higher future P/E multiple, raising fair value from $37.59 to $43.25. What's in the News Fastenal completed its buyback program announced in 2017, having repurchased 11,800,000 shares (1.03% of shares) for $418.77 million, with no additional shares repurchased in the last reported period.

Shared on 07 May 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 30 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 9.84%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 9.57%

Shared on 16 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 0.61%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.42%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased shares outstanding growth rate from 0.0% to 0.0%.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 0.93%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 0.48%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 0.76%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased shares outstanding growth rate from 0.0% to 0.0%.