Slovenian Market Community

NLB Banka wants to become a leading bank across Southeastern Europe by buying smaller rivals and growing its digital services, especially for everyday customers and small businesses. The plan sounds bold, but it also depends on how well the bank handles falling rates, inflation pressures, and tougher rules while it expands.Read more

Here are data based on 3rd quarter: BVPS ~ EUR 171.5 Normalized ROE: 13–16% Payout: 50–60% CET1 above SREP Regarding publish strategy for the 2026 Strategy target: Recurring revenues: EUR 1.1bn → > EUR 2.0bn Profit: EUR 0.5bn → > EUR 1.0bn CIR: 46% → <45% ROE: >15% (including 1–2 p.p. uplift from strategic initiatives) P/B: 0.8x → >1.0x Payout ratio: 40% → 50–60% Capital and risk CET1: 16.4% → >13% Assumptions NIM remains >3.2% (this might be difficult to keep) CIR improves toward 43% (now is cca 45%) Strong growth in fee income ( they plan to proceed with acquisitions) ROE 16–17% ( now is around 15%) Payout 60% Outcome BVPS 2030: ~EUR 250 P/B: 1.15x Share price: ~EUR 285 Cumulative dividends: ~EUR 75 Total value in 2030: ~EUR 360 Scenario is bullish but there is a room to achieve this. A possible future greater presence on the Croatian market, which is burdened with certain problems from the political past of relations between Slovenia and Croatia, would probably catapult the share above €360 by 2030.Read more

Nova Ljubljanska Banka is leaning hard into loan growth and expansion across South Eastern Europe, but that push could come at the wrong time in the credit cycle and make bad loans more likely. At the same time, rising wage and tech spending may keep costs high and leave less room for profits and payouts if rates or the economy turn.Read more

Catalysts About Nova Ljubljanska Banka d.d Nova Ljubljanska Banka d.d is a leading universal banking group in Slovenia and the Western Balkans, providing retail, corporate, leasing and asset management services across its regional footprint. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Read more