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UBA Delivers Solid Q1 2025 Results Amid Rising Costs—Strong Core, Strategic Rebalancing

WA
Community Contributor
Published
25 Mar 25
Updated
25 Apr 25
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WaneInvestmentHouse's Fair Value
₦40.92
16.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
25 Apr
₦34.00
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1Y
47.8%
7D
5.9%

Author's Valuation

₦40.9

16.9% undervalued intrinsic discount

WaneInvestmentHouse's Fair Value

United Bank for Africa (UBA) kicked off 2025 with a 30.65% jump in pre-tax profit to ₦204.27 billion and a 33.15% rise in net profit to ₦189.84 billion, underlining the strength of its core banking operations and resilient income streams despite intensifying cost pressures.

🔑 Key Highlights (Q1 2025 vs. Q1 2024):

  • Pre-tax Profit: ₦204.27 billion (+30.65%)
  • Net Profit: ₦189.84 billion (+33.15%)
  • EPS: ₦5.35 (+35.10%)
  • Interest Income: ₦599.83 billion (+36.09%)
  • Interest Expense: ₦247.96 billion (+77.00%)
  • Net Interest Income: ₦351.88 billion (+17.03%)
  • Non-Interest Income: ₦112.36 billion (+44.21%)
  • Total Assets: ₦31.71 trillion (+4.58%)
  • Customer Deposits: ₦22.86 trillion (+4.43%)
  • Cash and Equivalents: ₦9.54 trillion (+16.89%)
  • Share Price (April 23): ₦34.95 (+2.79% YTD)

📊 Profit Drivers: Core Banking Operations Hold Strong

UBA’s interest income surged by 36% YoY, reflecting sustained growth in its loan book and strong returns from investment securities. Notably:

  • Investment Securities income rose 45% YoY to ₦291.86 billion, becoming the largest contributor (48.7%) to interest income.
  • Loans and advances contributed ₦260.56 billion (+31% YoY), or 43.4% of total interest income.
  • Income from cash balances also grew by 17% to ₦47.42 billion.

However, interest expenses jumped 77%, driven by higher deposit mobilization costs, with over 89% of those costs linked to customer and institutional funds. This compressed the net interest margin, though net interest income still posted a solid ₦351.88 billion, up 17% YoY.

🏦 Rising Provisioning, But Within Range

UBA increased its provision for credit losses by 160% to ₦18.61 billion, signaling a cautious stance amidst evolving credit risks. Though elevated, this remains manageable within the context of the bank's strong earnings capacity and asset base.

💳 Non-Interest Income: Diversification in Action

UBA continued to diversify revenue through growing fee-based income:

  • Electronic banking income hit ₦47.84 billion (+7.86%), though offset by nearly ₦42 billion in associated costs.
  • Account maintenance fees climbed 11.1% to ₦10.39 billion.
  • Commissions on transactions dipped slightly by 2% to ₦29.67 billion.

The net result was a 44.2% boost in total non-interest income, helping cushion the impact of rising interest expenses and provisioning.

📘 Balance Sheet Insights: Leaning Into Fixed Income

UBA’s total assets rose to ₦31.71 trillion, a 4.6% increase, largely fueled by growing customer deposits (₦22.86 trillion, +4.43%) and a significant investment shift into fixed income:

  • Over ₦1.2 trillion was added to securities classified under FVOCI, signaling a strategic move to capture high yields while maintaining liquidity.

Loan growth, however, contracted slightly by 1.83%, possibly reflecting cautious lending or balance sheet optimization.

📈 Market Performance & Valuation

UBA’s stock price has gained 2.79% YTD, closing at ₦34.95 on April 23, building on its 32.55% rally in 2024. Despite strong fundamentals and rising earnings per share, the share price has not fully captured the Q1 earnings momentum, indicating possible upside potential.

⚠️ Key Considerations:

Strengths:

  • Solid growth in both interest and non-interest income
  • Well-diversified income streams
  • Prudent credit provisioning
  • Strong liquidity and deposit base
  • Strategic asset reallocation toward high-yield instruments

Challenges:

  • Margin pressure from surging interest expenses
  • Rising cost of electronic transactions
  • Slight contraction in loan book could weigh on future growth
  • Elevated provisioning hints at macro uncertainties.

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Disclaimer

The user WaneInvestmentHouse holds no position in NGSE:UBA. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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