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MTR Community
SEHK:66 Community
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MTR
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Heavy Railway Investments Will Compress Future Net Margins
Key Takeaways Large financial commitments toward railway expansion and asset maintenance may pressure net margins and limit future revenue generation. Reliance on fluctuating property profits and competition in transport could impact earnings stability and shareholder returns.
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HK$27.68
FV
1.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
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5 days ago
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MTR
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Heavy Spending And Shifting Demand Will Erode Value
Key Takeaways High, sustained capital investments and demographic shifts will constrain revenue growth, raise funding risks, and depress earnings as debt burdens increase. Rising competition from alternative transport, network saturation, and climate disruptions will limit passenger growth and elevate operational and maintenance costs.
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HK$21.60
FV
29.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-1.22%
Revenue growth p.a.
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5 days ago
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MTR
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Urbanization And Decarbonization Will Drive Greater Bay Area Rail Expansion
Key Takeaways Ambitious network expansion, advanced technology adoption, and property integration are expected to drive long-term revenue, margin, and ridership growth. Diversification into new regions, climate-driven ridership gains, and advancements in efficiency position MTR for more stable earnings and enhanced growth potential.
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HK$32.00
FV
12.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.88%
Revenue growth p.a.
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5 days ago
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Your Valuation for
66
66
MTR
Your Fair Value
HK$
Current Price
HK$28.05
34.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
Growth estimate over
Annual revenue growth rate
5 Years
time period
%/yr
Decrease
Increase
Past
Future
-5b
68b
2015
2018
2021
2024
2025
2027
2030
Revenue HK$68.2b
Earnings HK$17.9b
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