Gewinnwarnung 2024:
- Gestiegende Transportkosten
- Preissensititivät d. Kunden
- Geringes Wirtschaftswachstum 2-4 % CAGR
- "Low End of Guidance hard to achive"
- Gewinnwarnungen auch von Produzenten BASF, Lanxess, Evonik
- Umsatzwachstum "nur" 5,1 % (< erwartete 9...10%)
- stagnierender Marktausblick Chemieindustrie (gestiegende Energiekosten), ggf. Verbesserung H2 2024 erwartet: stiegendes Handelsvolumen (?)
- Markterholung Chemie (mit Weltwirtschaft) ab 2025-26
- Geschäftsfeld Essentials resilienter
- Upside: profitables Händlergeschäftsmodell (4-5 % Marge), starke Dividende, langfristiger Wachstumsmarkt, hohe Liquidität, finanzielle Stabilität, Marktführschaft (5%)
- Downside: direkte Abhängigkeit von Weltwirtschaft/Wachstum Industrie/Chemie etc
- Bewertungsabschlag da nicht auf Spezialchemie fokusiert --> Trennung Geschäftsfelder: https://themarket.ch/analyse/wie-brenntag-ihren-bewertungsabschlag-zur-konkurrenz-beseitigen-moechte-ld.11638
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Disclaimer
The user kgmaik89 holds no position in XTRA:BNR. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
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14.0% undervalued intrinsic discount2.81%
Revenue growth p.a.
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23 days ago author updated this narrative
