Aggressive Projections Will Falter Amid Regulatory And Market Risks

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Published
02 Mar 25
Updated
07 Aug 25
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
CHF 65.77
3.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
07 Aug
CHF 68.10
Loading
1Y
-11.0%
7D
4.8%

Author's Valuation

CHF 65.8

3.5% overvalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on07 Aug 25

Given the absence of new analyst reasoning, both Holcim’s consensus price target and key valuation metrics such as Future P/E and discount rate have remained essentially unchanged, with the fair value holding steady at CHF65.77. What's in the News Holcim AG expects full-year 2025 post spin-off recurring EBIT growth of 6% to 10% in local currency.

Shared on21 Jul 25
Fair value Decreased 32%

The significant downward revision of Holcim's consensus price target reflects sharply reduced revenue growth expectations and a rising future P/E, resulting in a new fair value of CHF62.24. What's in the News Holcim has initiated the OLYMPUS project at its Milaki, Greece plant, targeting 2 million tons of near-zero cement annually from 2029; the EUR 400 million project is supported by the EU Innovation Fund and Air Liquide, creating over 1,000 jobs while employing advanced carbon capture technologies.

Shared on01 May 25
Fair value Increased 0.093%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 4.5% to 3.8%.

Shared on23 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 1.15%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on17 Apr 25
Fair value Increased 0.61%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on09 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 0.15%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on02 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 0.45%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on26 Mar 25
Fair value Increased 0.56%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on19 Mar 25
Fair value Increased 1.37%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on12 Mar 25
Fair value Decreased 3.28%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased discount rate from 4.6% to 5.2%.