Materials Canadian Community
Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
Materials Canadian Investing Ideas
Sustained Silver at ~US$100/oz Drives Explosive Leverage and Re-Rating for PAAS
Pan American Silver (PAAS) stands to benefit enormously from a structural shift in the silver market, where I expect the price to stabilize long-term around US$100 per ounce (or higher), driven by persistent supply deficits (Silver Institute forecasts ongoing shortfalls through 2027+), surging industrial demand (solar PV, EVs, electronics, and AI-related applications consuming ever-larger volumes), and renewed monetary/investment interest amid inflation/geopolitical risks. Unlike conservative analyst models that often embed long-term silver assumptions of US$25–35/oz (leading to muted cash flow projections and lower fair values), my base case assumes silver averages ~US$100 over the forecast period.Read more
West Africa's 20 Baggers Gold Play (Nigeria/Senegal)
🪙 Thor Explorations Ltd (TSXV: THX | AIM: THX) - Info (Mid-Jan 2026) Shares outstanding (basic): 665,297,482 (company presentation dated Nov 2025). Fully diluted shares: 665,297,482 Latest AISC / cost indicator (Segilola operating guidance): FY2026 AISC guidance: US$1,000–1,200/oz (release dated Jan 13, 2026 ).Read more
Strategic silver project that could become one of the US biggest silver mines
Blackrock Silver Corp. — 3-Year Valuation, Permitting & Per-Share Analysis 1.Read more
A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).
Excellon Resources Inc. is a Toronto-based mineral exploration and development company focused on silver and gold projects in Peru, the United States, and Germany.Read more
Undervalued Key Player in Magnets/Rare Earth
Thesis: Downstream leverage. Growth is tied to the European automotive supply chain and the new sintered magnet plant in Estonia.Read more
De-Risked Production Ramp with Exceptional Silver Price Leverage
AYA is a de-risked production story with exceptional silver torque trading at a Morocco discount. The company has proven operational competence (rare in junior/mid-tier mining), operates one of the highest-grade primary silver mines globally, and offers 5-10x potential upside if the silver bull thesis plays out.Read more
“valer un Potosí” GOOGLE IT. Now you’re should be kinda locked in. Educate yourself, Read the rest.
Phase 1 drilling done: 11 holes at Cosuño. First modern tests ever.Read more
Ghana's High Quality Gold Play (35% Insider)
Asante Gold – Updated Snapshot (Sept 2025) Latest official guidance and disclosures Five-year outlook: company targets ~500,000 oz/yr by 2028 and >US$2B cumulative unlevered FCF (company outlook). asantegold.com+1 2026 production target (company): ~450,000 oz consolidated (Bibiani + Chirano).Read more
Terrible merger deal with CDE
This is a terrible deal for NewGold shareholders. The company has a fair value of $39 here on Simply Wall St and I believe that to be conservative.Read more
