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Eagle Royalties Best Scenario

RO
RockeTellerNot Invested
Community Contributor
Published
14 Dec 24
Updated
14 Dec 24
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RockeTeller's Fair Value
CA$2.55
94.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
14 Dec
CA$0.13
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1Y
18.2%
7D
-3.7%

Author's Valuation

CA$2.6

94.9% undervalued intrinsic discount

RockeTeller's Fair Value

Eagle Royalties Stock Price Calculation

Assumptions:

  • Gold price: $4,000/oz
  • Silver price: $100/oz
  • FCF multiple: 20x
  • Shares outstanding: 30 million (estimate)
  • NSR portfolio production:
    • Gold: 100,000 oz/year at 1% NSR
    • Silver: 500,000 oz/year at 1% NSR
  • FCF margin: 85%

Step 1: NSR Revenue Calculation

  • Gold Revenue: 100,000 oz × $4,000/oz × 1% = $4,000,000
  • Silver Revenue: 500,000 oz × $100/oz × 1% = $500,000
  • Total Revenue: $4,000,000 + $500,000 = $4,500,000

Step 2: Free Cash Flow (FCF)

  • FCF: $4,500,000 × 85% = $3,825,000

Step 3: Market Cap Calculation

  • Market Cap: $3,825,000 × 20 = $76,500,000

Step 4: Stock Price Calculation

  • Stock Price: $76,500,000 ÷ 30,000,000 = $2.55/share

Conclusion:

If gold reaches $4,000/oz and silver hits $100/oz, the estimated stock price for Eagle Royalties would be $2.55/share, assuming the above revenue and production scenario.

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Disclaimer

The user RockeTeller holds no position in CNSX:ER. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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