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Lotus Bakeries

Lotus cookies

QV
qvdauwer08Not Invested
Community Contributor
Published
27 Mar 25
Updated
27 Mar 25
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qvdauwer08's Fair Value
€9,273.82
12.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
27 Mar
€8,090.00
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1Y
-9.4%
7D
-2.5%

Author's Valuation

€9.3k

12.8% undervalued intrinsic discount

qvdauwer08's Fair Value

Lotus has been a very good company

positive:

with future revenue growth around 12% and profit margins increasing, the fair value is still high, even with decreasing p/e and using an 8% discount rate, they are still at least 10% undervalued

great balance sheets with low debts/equity - 35%

High increasing demand for their flagship cookie in Asia

building of a new factory in Thailand to follow the increasing demand should help ensure future revenue growth

currently at a discount, having as low a p/e as it has basically has had in the last 5 years

High ROA compared to industry - 11% compared to 3 %

3Y free cash flow cagr of 9.90% is in the top 25% of its sector.

increasing dividend payments

expansion into ice cream products in cooperation with Mondelez

negative:

they are still at a high p/e ratio of 40X, even with this recent discount

A slow down in future revenue growth due to inability to follow increasing demand with increasing production capacity could lead to a lower p/e balance in the future

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Disclaimer

The user qvdauwer08 holds no position in ENXTBR:LOTB. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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