Kogan.com

E-commerce Competition And Supply Challenges Will Undermine Prospects

AnalystLowTarget

Not Invested

Community Contributor

Published

03 Aug 25

Updated

12 Dec 25

Views

n/a

AnalystLowTarget's Fair Value

n/a

-47.1%

-1.8%

-47.1%

-1.8%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 13 7:05 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

AU$3.32.1% undervalued

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

Narrative

Updates1

Shared on 12 Dec 25

Fair value Decreased 19%

KGN: Share Buyback Will Support EPS As Margins Face Modest Pressures

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Kogan.com to about $3.30 from roughly $4.05. This reflects slightly higher perceived risk, slower expected revenue growth and modestly softer profit margins, even as future valuation multiples edge up.

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

AU$3.3

2.1% undervalued

Future estimation in

Growth p.a.

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

6.33%

General Merchandise and Department Stores revenue growth rate

0.41%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

8.08%

Calculation

AU$24.45m

Earnings '28

16.70x

PE Ratio '28

AU$408.32m

Market Cap '28

AU$408.32m

Market Cap '28

98.89m

No. shares '28

AU$4.13

Share Price '28

AU$4.13 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 8.08% p.a.

AU$3.27

Fair Value '25