Falling future P/E is reasonable given consistent average margins growth to date

Published
08 Jan 25
Updated
20 Aug 25
Chester's Fair Value
AU$285.53
20.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
20 Aug
AU$226.00
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1Y
-26.6%
7D
-16.3%

Author's Valuation

AU$285.5

20.8% undervalued intrinsic discount

Chester's Fair Value

Last Update20 Aug 25
Fair value Decreased 4.69%

Updated for the wishlist

Refining the 'analysts narrative'....

  • Cost savings 500m+ maybe
  • That demerger and its impact on
  • Revenue growth reduced to 6.6% on basis of FY25 performance
  • Margin growth revised to 20% on expectation that company is managing costs in light of plateauing revenue finally.
  • Future PE ratio left at 30% as "best case" expectation given current PE at 28x despite historically higher numbers. Investors are not going to return to those faith levels without genuine inspiration or improved consistency in growth.
  • Risk level left at 6.43%, who knows where that will go considering US financial markets.

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Disclaimer

The user Chester has a position in ASX:CSL. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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