BHP Group

BHP: Positioning for the AI, Energy, and Food Security Supercycles

Bailey

Not Invested

Equity Analyst

Published

21 Nov 25

Views

649

21 Nov

AU$60.55

Bailey's Fair Value

AU$55.50

9.1% overvalued

58.7%

2.5%

58.7%

2.5%

You can edit this narrative until Nov 22 2:50 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

AU$55.59.1% overvalued

Bailey's Fair Value

Valuator

Company Info

Notes

Bailey'sFair Value

AU$55.5

9.1% overvalued

Future estimation in

Revenue

Profit Margin

Future PE

Growth p.a.

Decrease

Increase

Forecast revenue growth rate

0.32%

Historical revenue growth rate

-1.39%

Metals and Mining revenue growth rate

62.93%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

8.60%

Calculation

US$19.89b

Earnings '30

13.50x

PE Ratio '30

US$268.48b

Market Cap '30

US$268.48b

Market Cap '30

5.09b

No. shares '30

US$52.73

Share Price '30

US$52.73 Share Price '30

Discounted to 2025 @ 7.97% p.a.

US$35.94

Fair Value '25

US$35.94 Fair Value '25

Converted to AUD @ 1.5448 USD/AUD Exchange Rate

AU$55.52

Fair Value '25