Lender Losses And The Home Guarantee Scheme Will Harm Viability

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

02 Mar 25

Updated

25 Aug 25

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

30.4%

7D

2.7%

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1Y

30.4%

7D

2.7%

You can edit this narrative until Aug 25 11:05 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

AU$3.8749.7% overvalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 25 Aug 25

Fair value Increased 9.95%

Despite a worsening revenue growth outlook, a significant increase in Helia Group's future P/E multiple has driven the consensus analyst price target up from A$3.52 to A$3.87. What's in the News Announced fully franked ordinary dividend of AUD 0.16 per share and unfranked special dividend of AUD 0.27 per share for six months ended June 30, 2025.

Shared on 01 May 25

Fair value Increased 0.76%

Shared on 23 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 0.76%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from -13.4% to -16.1%, increased profit margin from 29.6% to 33.7% and decreased future PE multiple from 13.1x to 9.7x.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Shared on 13 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 2.18%

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

AU$3.87

49.7% overvalued

Future estimation in

% p.a.

0

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

-16.44%

Diversified Financial revenue growth rate

0.29%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

7.20%

Calculation

AU$103.75m

Earnings '28

x

12.44x

PE Ratio '28

=

AU$1.29b

Market Cap '28

AU$1.29b

Market Cap '28

/

270.98m

No. shares '28

=

AU$4.76

Share Price '28

AU$4.76 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 7.33% p.a.

=

AU$3.85

Fair Value '25