Kina Securities will grow with 28.56% revenue jump

Published
27 Apr 25
Updated
19 May 25
Robbo's Fair Value
AU$1.24
6.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
19 May
AU$1.32
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1Y
32.7%
7D
-1.5%

Author's Valuation

AU$1.2

6.5% overvalued intrinsic discount

Robbo's Fair Value

Kina Securities: An Important Cog in Developing Economies

Kina Securities Limited (ASX: KSL) is a diversified financial services company headquartered in the developing economy of Papua New Guinea (PNG). Over recent years, it has been steadily expanding its footprint across near Oceania and the broader Pacific region. The company is currently forecast to achieve impressive growth rates nearing 20% annually, driven by strong performance trends, ongoing local expansion within PNG, and expectations of improved profitability and operational efficiency.

Despite these promising indicators, Kina Securities still sits on a wealth of untapped opportunities that, if realised, could sustain and even accelerate this growth trajectory. These include further regional expansion into markets such as Fiji, the Solomon Islands, and Timor-Leste, deeper penetration into rural banking sectors, enhanced servicing of small to medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), and closing gaps in digital banking capabilities.

Under the leadership of CEO Ivan Vidovich, Kina is expected to continue its significant investment in digital platforms, focusing on online and mobile banking innovations. These initiatives will be vital in delivering accessible and efficient banking services to remote communities throughout PNG, near Oceania, and the wider Pacific.

Naturally, Kina faces typical challenges associated with operating in a developing economy—such as operational inefficiencies, customer service hurdles, political pressures, and intense competition. Nevertheless, the company appears to be positioning itself strategically to navigate these obstacles effectively.

From a valuation perspective, Kina Securities presents an attractive proposition. With a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 7.5, a price-to-book (P/B) ratio near 1.14, and a compelling dividend yield close to 9%, the current share price appears to adequately price in the inherent risks. Moreover, metrics such as the Acquirer's Multiple and the company’s assets-to-liabilities ratio, which significantly exceed its market capitalisation, further suggest that Kina may be undervalued.

Kina has faced criticism for missed opportunities in the past—most notably its failed attempt to acquire Westpac’s Pacific businesses. This deal was blocked by Papua New Guinea’s Independent Consumer and Competition Commission (ICCC), primarily due to concerns about competition and market concentration. While this may be viewed as a miscalculation of regulatory risks on Kina’s part, the ICCC’s decision can also be interpreted as evidence of a maturing governance framework within PNG. The commission’s commitment to fostering a fair market and safeguarding public interest signals positive long-term institutional stability in a country that has historically lacked such governance maturity.

In this light, the current valuation of Kina Securities may be overstating the risks associated with operating in PNG, thereby presenting a compelling opportunity for investors willing to engage with the complexities of a developing economy.

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