PagerDuty Gelecekteki Büyüme
Future kriter kontrolleri 1/6
PagerDuty'in kazancının yıllık 73% oranında azalması, yıllık gelirinin ise yıllık 1% oranında artması beklenmektedir. EPS'nin düşmesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 29.7% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.
Anahtar bilgiler
-73.0%
Kazanç büyüme oranı
-72.62%
EPS büyüme oranı
| Software kazanç büyümesi | 20.4% |
| Gelir büyüme oranı | 1.0% |
| Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi | 29.70% |
| Analist kapsamı | Good |
| Son güncelleme | 23 Jun 2026 |
Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jun 30
PagerDuty: Fairly Valued After The Rally
Summary PagerDuty is re-rated to neutral, with my FY-end price target of $9.6 implying just 2.7% upside after a recent 14% rally. PD’s fundamentals are mixed: profitability and cash flow have improved, but revenue growth is stagnant and DBNR has declined to 97%. AI-driven platform expansion and a shift to usage-based pricing are moderate catalysts, but ARR growth remains muted and competitive risks are rising. PD appears fully valued after the recent rally, with existential risk from AI-native competitors potentially threatening its TAM and growth narrative. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 15
PD: Share Repurchases And Leadership Transition Will Shape Measured Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on PagerDuty to reflect an updated fair value of about $9.14 per share, supported by adjustments to revenue growth expectations, profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News PagerDuty appointed John DiLullo as Chief Executive Officer, effective May 11, 2026.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 01
PD: Share Buybacks And Leadership Shift Will Still Face Margin Pressure
Analysts have raised their price target on PagerDuty to $7.00, up from $6.00, citing updated assumptions for fair value, a lower discount rate, higher projected profit margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News The Board authorized a new share repurchase plan on May 27, 2026, with PagerDuty approved to buy back up to US$100 million of its stock.Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 17
PD: AI Expansion And Buybacks Will Still Face Margin Pressure
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on PagerDuty, tying the change to updated assumptions that keep fair value at $6, with slightly higher expected revenue growth, a lower profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Leadership transition announced, with John DiLullo appointed Chief Executive Officer effective May 11, 2026.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 28
PD: AI Progress And Buybacks Will Still Face Margin Headwinds
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for PagerDuty from $12.00 to $6.00. This change reflects updated views on required discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 14
PD: Aggressive Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have cut their price target on PagerDuty to $8.00 from $16.14, citing updated assumptions around growth, profitability, discount rate, and future P/E that support a more cautious valuation framework. What's in the News PagerDuty updated its share repurchase activity, completing the buyback of 10,073,731 shares, or 10.96% of its stock, for a total of US$136.85 million under the program announced on March 13, 2025 (Key Developments).
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 31
PD: Expanded AI And Operations Cloud Adoption Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have made modest adjustments to their fair value view on PagerDuty, maintaining the headline valuation at $10.00, but using slightly different assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that refine how that $10.00 target is supported. What's in the News PagerDuty completed a share repurchase program, buying back 10,073,731 shares, representing 10.96% of shares, for a total of US$136.85 million.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 17
PD: Expanded AI Partnerships And Operations Platform Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have cut their PagerDuty fair value estimate from $20.00 to $10.00 as they now apply slightly higher discount rates, more cautious revenue growth, slimmer profit margins, and a lower future P/E assumption. What's in the News PagerDuty issued earnings guidance for the first quarter, targeting total revenue in a range of $118.0m to $120.0m.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 03
PD: Stable Leadership Transition And Higher Margins Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have maintained their $20.00 price target for PagerDuty, citing only minor adjustments to assumptions about discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that do not materially change their overall view. What's in the News PagerDuty entered into a Transition Agreement with Chief Financial Officer and principal financial officer Owen Howard Wilson on February 1, 2026, in connection with his previously disclosed retirement plan.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 16
PD: Buyback And Higher Margins Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have lowered their price target on PagerDuty from $23.00 to $20.00, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and a significantly higher future P/E multiple in their models. What's in the News PagerDuty outlined a CFO transition, with current CFO Owen Howard Wilson planning to retire after a successor is appointed, while remaining in the role until that date is set (Executive Changes).Analiz Makalesi • Feb 04
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By PagerDuty, Inc.'s (NYSE:PD) 28% Share Price Plunge
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the PagerDuty, Inc. ( NYSE:PD ) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days...Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 02
PD: AWS Resilience Milestone And Margin Progress Will Support Future Upside
Analysts maintained their overall fair value estimate for PagerDuty at approximately $16.14, making only slight adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate and future P/E. These changes reflect model fine tuning rather than a change in conviction.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 19
PD: AWS Resilience Competency And Margin Outlook Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for PagerDuty from US$16.75 to about US$16.14, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News PagerDuty achieved the Amazon Web Services Resilience Services Competency in the software category, becoming one of the first AWS Software Partners with this designation.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 05
PD: AI And Efficiency Gains Will Support Returns Despite Modest Margin Outlook
Analysts have held their fair value estimate for PagerDuty steady at US$12.00, citing slightly adjusted assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a higher future P/E expectation as the key drivers behind the unchanged target. What's in the News PagerDuty reported earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, with expected revenue between US$122 million and US$124 million, and projected net income per diluted share between US$0.24 and US$0.25.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 18
PD: AI And Efficiency Gains Will Offset Slower Profit Outlook
Analysts have cut their price target on PagerDuty from approximately 16 dollars to 12 dollars. This reflects more cautious assumptions for revenue growth, profitability and valuation multiples.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 04
PD: AI Agent Suite And AWS Resilience Win Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts reduced their price target on PagerDuty from approximately $18.50 to $16.75, reflecting more conservative assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future price-to-earnings multiple. What's in the News PagerDuty achieved the Amazon Web Services Resilience Services Competency in the software category, becoming one of the first AWS Software Partners to earn this designation and validating its ability to support mission-critical, always-on workloads (Key Developments).Analiz Makalesi • Nov 30
PagerDuty, Inc. (NYSE:PD) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 25%
The PagerDuty, Inc. ( NYSE:PD ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25...Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 20
PD: Accelerated AI Suite Rollout Will Drive Faster Incident Resolution Outcomes
Narrative Update on PagerDuty: Analyst Price Target Change Analysts have lowered their price target for PagerDuty from $19.14 to $18.50. This change reflects a more cautious outlook on margins and future growth expectations.Analiz Makalesi • Jul 26
PagerDuty, Inc.'s (NYSE:PD) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 76% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights PagerDuty's estimated fair value is US$27.61 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity PagerDuty is...Analiz Makalesi • Jun 29
Is PagerDuty (NYSE:PD) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analiz Makalesi • May 06
PagerDuty, Inc.'s (NYSE:PD) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.9x PagerDuty, Inc. ( NYSE:PD ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Analiz Makalesi • Apr 10
Is There An Opportunity With PagerDuty, Inc.'s (NYSE:PD) 40% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, PagerDuty fair value estimate is US$27.57 Current share price...
Yeni Anlatı • Mar 23
AI And Automation Expansion Will Drive Future Adoption And Efficiency
Strategic shifts towards multiyear platform partnerships and enhanced sales models are expected to drive revenue growth and improve margins.Seeking Alpha • Mar 17
PagerDuty: Focusing On Multi-Year And Multi-Product Deals; Initiating With 'Buy'
Summary Initiating a 'Buy' rating for PagerDuty with a one-year target price of $28 per share, due to strategic multi-year and multi-product deals. The company is partnering with Amazon AWS to integrate PagerDuty Advance with Amazon Q Business and Bedrock, enhancing AI capabilities and customer base expansion. Recent results show 9.3% revenue growth and 102% adjusted operating income growth, with a stabilized net dollar retention rate at 106%. Despite competition and high stock-based compensation, PagerDuty's focus on multi-product adoption and strategic partnerships positions it for future growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnaliz Makalesi • Mar 13
Health Check: How Prudently Does PagerDuty (NYSE:PD) Use Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analiz Makalesi • Feb 20
Should You Investigate PagerDuty, Inc. (NYSE:PD) At US$18.46?
PagerDuty, Inc. ( NYSE:PD ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial...Seeking Alpha • Feb 13
PagerDuty Trades Growth For Profits And Gets Little In Return
Summary PagerDuty's stock price continues to decline as revenue growth slows, and the company continues to focus on reducing operating losses. The incident response market is growing, but PD's single-digit revenue growth and high stock-based compensation make it less attractive. Financial metrics show reduced negative operating income but negative net free cash flow due to excessive stock-based compensation. My outlook is to sell PD due to revenue growth challenges and its transformation into a slow-growing IT utility. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnaliz Makalesi • Jan 29
Investors Aren't Buying PagerDuty, Inc.'s (NYSE:PD) Revenues
PagerDuty, Inc.'s ( NYSE:PD ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared...Analiz Makalesi • Jan 08
Is PagerDuty, Inc. (NYSE:PD) Trading At A 29% Discount?
Key Insights The projected fair value for PagerDuty is US$24.73 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Seeking Alpha • Dec 11
PagerDuty Could Be A Winner In 2025 (Rating Upgrade)
Summary PagerDuty's stock has underperformed, losing 11% over five years, but recent trends suggest potential gains in 2025 if plans align. Q3 results showed 9.4% growth and a revenue beat, marking the best performance compared to street estimates in five fiscal periods. Key customer metrics are finally stabilizing, with the chance for growth in annual recurring revenues (ARR) to accelerate in fiscal 2026. The valuation here remains slightly depressed, offering room for upside as the company aims for GAAP profitability and revenue acceleration. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 29
PagerDuty: Huge Upside Potential For This Underrated Stock
Summary Cybersecurity is set to become a crucial industry, with PagerDuty playing a key role in digital operations management and incident response. PagerDuty's generative AI offering, partnerships with NVIDIA and Infosys, and market recognition highlight its competitive edge and growth potential. Despite GAAP losses, non-GAAP earnings are positive, supported by strong revenue growth and significant market penetration. PagerDuty is undervalued with a market cap of $1.9 billion, offering a significant buying opportunity due to its operational cash flow and industry leadership. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaKazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri
| Tarih | Gelir | Kazançlar | Serbest Nakit Akışı | Faaliyetlerden Nakit | Avg. Analist Sayısı |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/31/2029 | 500 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 1/31/2028 | 503 | 57 | 111 | 130 | 8 |
| 1/31/2027 | 493 | 45 | 93 | 108 | 8 |
| 4/30/2026 | 494 | 191 | 115 | 128 | N/A |
| 1/31/2026 | 493 | 174 | 103 | 115 | N/A |
| 10/31/2025 | 489 | 152 | 109 | 121 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 484 | -14 | 107 | 118 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 476 | -37 | 110 | 120 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 467 | -54 | 108 | 118 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 457 | -74 | 99 | 109 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 447 | -83 | 95 | 103 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 439 | -94 | 71 | 78 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 431 | -82 | 64 | 72 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 421 | -76 | 60 | 67 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 406 | -93 | 43 | 50 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 389 | -108 | 33 | 42 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 371 | -128 | 7 | 17 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 348 | -133 | -10 | 1 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 326 | -127 | -6 | 4 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 303 | -118 | -18 | -11 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 281 | -107 | -13 | -6 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 262 | -101 | -9 | -4 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 244 | -95 | -6 | -2 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 227 | -80 | 8 | 12 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 214 | -69 | 5 | 10 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 200 | -57 | 3 | 9 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 189 | -52 | 1 | 7 | N/A |
| 4/30/2020 | 179 | -50 | 1 | 7 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 166 | -50 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
| 10/31/2019 | 154 | -46 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 7/31/2019 | 143 | -46 | N/A | -2 | N/A |
| 4/30/2019 | 130 | -46 | N/A | -9 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 118 | -41 | N/A | -6 | N/A |
| 10/31/2018 | 107 | -43 | N/A | -9 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 80 | -38 | N/A | -12 | N/A |
Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri
Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: PD şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi öngörülüyor (yılda -73% ).
Kazançlar ve Piyasa: PD şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi öngörülüyor (yılda -73% ).
Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: PD şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi öngörülüyor.
Gelir ve Pazar: PD şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 1% ) US pazarından (yıllık 13% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: PD şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 1% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri
Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi
Gelecekteki ROE: PD 'in Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde yüksek olması tahmin ediliyor ( 29.7 %)
Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin
Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu
| Veri | Son Güncelleme (UTC saati) |
|---|---|
| Şirket Analizi | 2026/07/12 10:13 |
| Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı | 2026/07/10 00:00 |
| Kazançlar | 2026/04/30 |
| Yıllık Kazançlar | 2026/01/31 |
Veri Kaynakları
Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.
| Paket | Veri | Zaman Çerçevesi | Örnek ABD Kaynağı * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Şirket Finansalları | 10 yıl |
| |
| Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri | +3 yıl |
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| Piyasa Fiyatları | 30 yıl |
| |
| Sahiplik | 10 yıl |
| |
| Yönetim | 10 yıl |
| |
| Önemli Gelişmeler | 10 yıl |
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* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.
Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.
Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi
Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntıları GitHub sayfamızda mevcuttur; ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınıza dair kılavuzlarımız ve YouTube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.
Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.
Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri
Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.
Analist Kaynakları
PagerDuty, Inc. 16 Bu analistlerden 8, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.
| Analist | Kurum |
|---|---|
| William Kingsley Crane | Berenberg |
| Koji Ikeda | BofA Global Research |
| Joel Fishbein | BTIG |