Elastic N.V.

NYSE:ESTC Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: US$6.1b

Elastic Gelecekteki Büyüme

Future kriter kontrolleri 1/6

Elastic'in kazancının yıllık 29% oranında azalması, yıllık gelirinin ise yıllık 11.3% oranında artması beklenmektedir. EPS'nin düşmesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 24.5% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.

Anahtar bilgiler

-29.0%

Kazanç büyüme oranı

-23.45%

EPS büyüme oranı

Software kazanç büyümesi20.5%
Gelir büyüme oranı11.3%
Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi24.53%
Analist kapsamı

Good

Son güncelleme17 Jun 2026

Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri

Analiz Makalesi • Nov 23

Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) Price Target After Its Latest Report

One of the biggest stories of last week was how Elastic N.V. ( NYSE:ESTC ) shares plunged 23% in the week since its...

Recent updates

Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 17

ESTC: AI Data Demand And RPO Strength Will Drive Stock Upside

Elastic's updated analyst price target moves down from about $100 to roughly $75, as analysts factor in tempered revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with mixed signals on AI driven demand and subscription momentum. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Elastic reflects a wide range of opinions, with price targets spanning from the mid US$50s to just above US$100.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 02

ESTC: AI Demand And Cloud Headwinds Will Limit Future Upside Potential

Elastic's updated fair value estimate moves from $60.00 to about $49.36 as analysts adjust their price targets and valuation multiples in response to mixed signals around AI driven growth, cloud revenue trends, and the timing of sales led subscription acceleration. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Elastic points to a more cautious tone, even where ratings remain positive.
Seeking Alpha • May 30

Elastic: RPO Acceleration And Rich FCF

Summary Elastic remains a deep value opportunity despite a recent 30% rally and strong post-earnings performance. ESTC's complex infrastructure software and consumption-based model insulate it from AI-driven risks impacting simpler, seat-based SaaS peers. Recent fiscal Q4 results exceeded expectations, with bullish forward guidance and growing backlog from AI-native customers. At a $65 share price, ESTC trades at a $5.9 billion enterprise value, still reflecting market skepticism on AI risk. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 18

ESTC: AI Workloads And Larger Deals Will Support Future Upside

Elastic's analyst price targets have generally shifted lower, with cuts ranging from about $5 to $35 as analysts factor in softer cloud momentum, a more cautious revenue outlook, and a slightly higher assumed discount rate, even as they point to steady self managed demand and ongoing interest in AI driven use cases. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge the recent round of price target cuts but still point to several positives around Elastic's execution, especially in self managed deployments and AI focused workloads.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 02

ESTC: AI Workloads And Larger Deals Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Narrative Update on Elastic The updated analyst price target for Elastic edges higher to $112.23 from $110.90. This reflects models that now assume more moderate revenue growth and profit margins alongside a much higher future P/E, in line with recent Street research that pairs cautious cloud and AI adoption expectations with ongoing interest in Elastic as an observability and data infrastructure name.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 17

ESTC: AI And Self Managed Demand Will Support Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed their average Elastic price targets by $10 to reflect more cautious assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and cloud adoption, even as they continue to highlight ongoing AI and self managed demand as key supports for the story. Analyst Commentary Across recent research, bearish analysts have largely focused on resetting expectations for Elastic by trimming price targets, even when they acknowledge solid Q3 execution and ongoing interest in AI use cases.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 03

ESTC: AI Demand And Larger Deals Will Support Future Upside Potential

Elastic's analyst price targets have been reset lower, with cuts ranging from about $5 to $35 as analysts factor in Q3 cloud softness, conservative guidance, and updated AI adoption expectations, despite generally solid reported results. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Elastic reflects a mixed but generally constructive stance, with many firms trimming price targets after the Q3 print while still pointing to solid execution, ongoing AI traction, and potential for subscription driven growth.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 20

ESTC: AI Demand And Larger Deals Will Drive Future Upside

Elastic's fair value estimate has been revised from $119.00 to $110.90 as analysts factor in lower Street price targets, more conservative revenue growth assumptions, and stronger profitability supported by AI driven demand and solid self managed and SaaS performance. Analyst Commentary Street research on Elastic has shifted toward more conservative price targets, but many firms still highlight constructive views on execution, AI driven demand, and the mix of self managed and SaaS revenue.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 06

ESTC: AI Adoption And Self Managed Demand Will Support Future Upside Potential

Elastic's fair value estimate has been reduced from about $89.66 to $60.00 as analysts trim price targets following solid Q3 results, paired with more cautious revenue guidance, softer cloud momentum, and a greater mix of self managed deployments as customers focus on tighter AI related cost controls. Analyst Commentary Street research around Elastic has turned more cautious, even as many firms acknowledge solid Q3 execution.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 20

ESTC: GenAI And Data Demand Will Support Upside Through Cloud Volatility

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Elastic, with our fair value estimate moving from about $104.54 to $99.63 as several firms cut targets into the $77 to $115 range, while still pointing to solid demand checks for data infrastructure and a specific preference for Elastic within software coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent research suggests that while price targets on Elastic are coming down, many firms still see the company as one of the more attractive names within data infrastructure and broader software coverage.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 05

ESTC: GenAI And Large Deals Will Shape Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Elastic to $119 from about $137, reflecting a series of reduced price targets that weigh a slightly higher discount rate and a lower assumed future P/E against ongoing expectations for steady revenue growth and modestly improving margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Elastic has centered on recalibrated price targets after a mixed fiscal Q2, with most firms keeping positive views on execution and long term demand drivers.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 22

ESTC: GenAI And Large Deals Will Drive Long Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Elastic across several firms, and our updated fair value estimate now aligns slightly lower. This reflects mixed Q2 results, slower cloud growth, and peer multiple compression, even as analysts point to raised FY26 guidance, large deal progress, and ongoing GenAI and observability opportunities as supportive factors.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 07

ESTC: GenAI And Large Deals Will Support Long Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Elastic from about $140.57 to roughly $137.33. This reflects lower price targets across Wall Street as they weigh mixed Q2 results, softer cloud trends, higher assumed discount rates, a reduced profit margin outlook, and a materially higher future P/E assumption.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 20

ESTC: GenAI Demand Will Drive Long-Term Upside Despite Near-Term Cloud Headwinds

Analysts have modestly trimmed their fair value estimate for Elastic to approximately $104.54 from about $106.22. This reflects lowered price targets across the Street as mixed Q2 execution, softer cloud momentum, and broader multiple compression temper enthusiasm around otherwise solid large deal activity, GenAI progress, and raised long term guidance.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 06

ESTC: GenAI Adoption And Large Deal Momentum Will Drive Long-Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Elastic to about $106 from roughly $108, citing mixed Q2 execution, slowing cloud momentum, and a modestly higher risk profile, even as they highlight resilient large deal activity, raised long term guidance, and growing GenAI opportunities. Analyst Commentary Analyst opinion on Elastic is split, with several firms trimming price targets but maintaining constructive views on the company’s long term positioning, while others have moved to the sidelines amid concerns about execution and valuation following the latest quarter.
Analiz Makalesi • Nov 23

Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) Price Target After Its Latest Report

One of the biggest stories of last week was how Elastic N.V. ( NYSE:ESTC ) shares plunged 23% in the week since its...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 21

ESTC: GenAI Adoption And Expanding Pipelines Will Drive Platform Differentiation

Elastic's fair value estimate has been reduced from $120.16 to $107.96. Analysts point to a series of mixed quarterly results and ongoing segment shifts, despite an improved long-term outlook and strengthening profit margins.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 27

GenAI And Serverless Expansion Will Drive Future Success

Elastic’s consensus price target saw a modest downgrade to $108.65 as analysts weighed intensifying AI competition and conservative CFO guidance against the company’s AI and subscription growth potential, with shares remaining attractively valued versus software peers. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts note Elastic is favorably positioned for revenue upside and generative AI optionality, highlighting potential acceleration in key subscription revenue metrics.
Analiz Makalesi • Aug 05

Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) Shares Could Be 42% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

NYSE:ESTC 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Elastic's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Key...
Analiz Makalesi • Jul 07

Is There Now An Opportunity In Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC)?

Elastic N.V. ( NYSE:ESTC ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over...
Seeking Alpha • Feb 26

Elastic: Rolling Up And Forward

Summary I initially valued Elastic at $95 in September using a DCF model and recommended a covered Call strategy due to slight bullishness. Elastic's stock appreciated to $104.9, leading to a potential 20.3% ROI in 6 months from my covered Call, though a higher strike could have yielded 35%. Elastic's strong economic moat in Search and moderate moats in Security and Observability support its valuation, despite challenges in passing the Rule of 40. Rolling up and forward the Call option can increase maximum ROI to 41.66% in one year, with slightly higher risk from a new break-even at $70.59. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 29

Elastic: Great Buying Opportunity After A Year Of Consolidation (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Elastic's stock has been volatile, dropping from $136 to $70 in 2024, but now presents a compelling buy opportunity after a year of consolidation. Previous Hold rating was due to elevated valuation, increased competition, and slowing growth; these concerns have now diminished. Recent quarterly results show strength, with a more appealing valuation, a promising new business model, and strong financials. Technical analysis indicates strong support around $95-100, suggesting potential for upward movement, supported by converging price and trading volumes. ESTC might reach $150-220 in 2026 if the company executes its strategy effectively. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Yeni Anlatı • Jan 26

Investment In GenAI And Sales Expansion Will Strengthen Future Market Share

Strategic focus on generative AI and platform consolidation is enhancing market position and driving future revenue growth.
Seeking Alpha • Jan 04

Elastic: Staying On The Sidelines For Now

Summary I am neutral on Elastic (ESTC) due to the need for tangible growth acceleration to justify a higher valuation multiple. Current bookings metrics do not reflect strong underlying demand, raising concerns. Given the uncertainty, I prefer to wait on the sidelines until ESTC demonstrates clear signs of growth acceleration. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri

NYSE:ESTC - Analistlerin gelecek tahminleri ve geçmiş finansal verileri (USD Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarSerbest Nakit AkışıFaaliyetlerden NakitAvg. Analist Sayısı
4/30/20292,6221205786837
4/30/20282,2796351252328
4/30/20271,9952942142028
4/30/20261,739368322327N/A
1/31/20261,677-85257261N/A
10/31/20251,609-109302306N/A
7/31/20251,551-83314318N/A
4/30/20251,483-108262266N/A
1/31/20251,430-133237240N/A
10/31/20241,37660201204N/A
7/31/20241,32161160164N/A
4/30/20241,26762145149N/A
1/31/20241,21256111115N/A
10/31/20231,159-1936770N/A
7/31/20231,113-2158083N/A
4/30/20231,069-2363336N/A
1/31/20231,028-25525N/A
10/31/2022978-239-23N/A
7/31/2022919-239-24-18N/A
4/30/2022862-204-26N/A
1/31/2022801-18207N/A
10/31/2021734-1631522N/A
7/31/2021673-145915N/A
4/30/2021608-1291823N/A
1/31/2021555-1171518N/A
10/31/2020511-124-28-24N/A
7/31/2020467-144-11-7N/A
4/30/2020428-167-36-31N/A
1/31/2020385-171N/A-44N/A
10/31/2019342-148N/A-30N/A
7/31/2019305-125N/A-31N/A
4/30/2019272-102N/A-24N/A
1/31/2019241-89N/A-28N/A
10/31/2018211-81N/A-21N/A
7/31/2018185-61N/A-17N/A
4/30/2018160-53N/A-21N/A
4/30/201788-52N/A-16N/A

Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri

Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: ESTC şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi öngörülüyor (yılda -29% ).

Kazançlar ve Piyasa: ESTC şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi öngörülüyor (yılda -29% ).

Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: ESTC şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi öngörülüyor.

Gelir ve Pazar: ESTC şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 11.3% ) US pazarından (yıllık 13% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: ESTC şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 11.3% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri

Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi

Gelecekteki ROE: ESTC 'in Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde yüksek olması tahmin ediliyor ( 24.5 %)

Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/06/21 17:30
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/06/18 00:00
Kazançlar2026/04/30
Yıllık Kazançlar2026/04/30

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntıları GitHub sayfamızda mevcuttur; ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınıza dair kılavuzlarımız ve YouTube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

Elastic N.V. 33 Bu analistlerden 28, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
Shrenik KothariBaird
Raimo LenschowBarclays
William Kingsley CraneBerenberg