Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.

NasdaqGS:ALRM Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: US$2.2b

Alarm.com Holdings Geçmiş Kazanç Performansı

Geçmiş kriter kontrolleri 2/6

Alarm.com Holdings yıllık ortalama 18.8% oranında kazançlarını artırırken, Software sektöründe kazançlar growing at 21.9% annual. Gelirler growing yılda ortalama 8.4% oranında artmaktadır. Alarm.com Holdings'in özkaynak karlılığı 14.8% ve net marjı 13.1%'dir.

Anahtar bilgiler

18.79%

Kazanç büyüme oranı

18.67%

EPS büyüme oranı

Software Sektör Büyümesi17.33%
Gelir büyüme oranı8.39%
Özkaynak getirisi14.77%
Net Marj13.11%
Son Kazanç Güncellemesi31 Dec 2025

Yakın geçmiş performans güncellemeleri

Recent updates

Analiz Güncellemesi Apr 26

ALRM: AI Disruption Concerns Will Test But Not Break Future Earnings Power

Alarm.com Holdings' latest analyst price targets have shifted lower, with recent cuts such as $56 to $50 and $55 to $40 reflecting updated models after the Q4 report and wider concerns about software sector competitive moats in light of rapid AI adoption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alarm.com highlights a mix of company specific considerations and broader sector questions, with price targets reset to $50 and $40 after the Q4 report and a relook at vertical software valuations.
Analiz Güncellemesi Apr 10

ALRM: AI Proliferation And Reset Expectations Will Shape Fair Value Outlook

Analysts have lowered Alarm.com Holdings' average price target significantly. Recent revisions to $50 and $40 reflect updated Q4 modeling and broader concerns about vertical software valuations and competitive moats as AI adoption accelerates.
Analiz Güncellemesi Mar 27

ALRM: AI Proliferation And Fair Value Outlook Will Shape Sector Multiple

Alarm.com Holdings' analyst price targets have been reset lower, with recent cuts to $50 and $40. These changes reflect updated models after the Q4 report and broader concern from analysts about vertical software valuations and the impact of rapid AI adoption on competitive moats.
Analiz Güncellemesi Mar 12

ALRM: Future Earnings Power Will Be Tested By AI Moat Concerns

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Alarm.com Holdings to $58.00 from $68.71, reflecting updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following recent price target cuts from $56 to $50 and from $55 to $40 in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a mix of caution and recalibration around Alarm.com Holdings, with price targets reset following the latest Q4 report and broader reassessments in software valuations.
Analiz Güncellemesi Feb 25

ALRM: AI Moat Uncertainty Will Pressure Vertical Software Multiple

Narrative Update: Alarm.com Holdings Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Alarm.com Holdings to $40 from $55, pointing to updated sector views, revised P/E assumptions, and recent research that includes reduced price targets of $40 and $50 following the latest Q4 report. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more cautious stance on Alarm.com Holdings, with multiple bearish analysts trimming price targets after the latest Q4 report and sector review.
Analiz Güncellemesi Feb 11

ALRM: Expanding Connected Security Offerings Will Support Constructive Long Term Outlook

Analysts have maintained their price target for Alarm.com Holdings at $55.00, noting that only minor adjustments to assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E were made, which do not materially change their overall view. What's in the News Alarm.com released a low cost Video Intercom Mobile Directory that replaces traditional intercom hardware with a mobile based, QR code enabled visitor management system for multi-tenant residential and commercial properties, using the company’s existing professionally installed and monitored infrastructure (Key Developments).
Analiz Makalesi Feb 10

Is Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) A Risky Investment?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analiz Güncellemesi Jan 27

ALRM: Expanding Security Platform And Disciplined Guidance Will Support Balanced Outlook

Analysts kept their price target for Alarm.com Holdings steady at US$55.00, citing only small model adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions rather than any major change in the outlook. What's in the News Launched the ADC-V730, the company's first Wi-Fi spotlight camera.
Analiz Güncellemesi Jan 11

ALRM: Expanding Security Platform And Steady Guidance Will Support Balanced Outlook

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Alarm.com Holdings at $55.00. This reflects only slight adjustments in inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions, rather than a change in their overall price view.
Analiz Makalesi Jan 08

Is There Now An Opportunity In Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)?

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price...
Analiz Güncellemesi Dec 27

ALRM: Expanded Security Offerings And Buybacks Will Support Steady Outlook

Narrative Update Analysts have maintained their price target for Alarm.com Holdings at 55.00 dollars, with only marginal model refinements to discount rates, revenue growth, profit margin, and future valuation multiples. These refinements support a steady outlook rather than a material reassessment of the company’s fair value.
Analiz Güncellemesi Dec 12

ALRM: Product Expansion And Share Buybacks Will Support Balanced Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Alarm.com Holdings by 10.0 percent, from 50 dollars to 55 dollars, citing slightly higher long term profit margin and valuation assumptions despite somewhat slower projected revenue growth. What's in the News Launched a low cost Video Intercom Mobile Directory that modernizes multi tenant visitor management with QR code access, mobile video calling, and remote door control, reducing the need for in unit hardware (Key Developments).
Analiz Makalesi Oct 08

Is Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Using Too Much Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analiz Makalesi Jul 17

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)?

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price...
Analiz Makalesi Jul 04

Some Investors May Be Worried About Alarm.com Holdings' (NASDAQ:ALRM) Returns On Capital

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'll...
Seeking Alpha Jun 24

Alarm.com Has Twin Challenges Of Sustainable Growth And Tariff Pricing Pass-Through

Summary Alarm.com delivered better-than-expected Q1 2025 results, but US residential growth remains challenged and tariff uncertainties will likely pressure hardware margins. SaaS and international segments are driving higher margins and growth, yet the sustainability of these trends is still uncertain for the second half of 2025. ALRM's capital allocation has been conservative, with opportunistic buybacks offsetting stock-based compensation, but management's future plans remain unclear. I maintain a neutral Hold rating until we see more durable international/commercial growth and the resolution of tariff risks impacting hardware profitability. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi Jun 14

Is There An Opportunity With Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) 24% Undervaluation?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Alarm.com Holdings fair value estimate is US$74.34 Alarm.com...
Analiz Makalesi May 29

Most Shareholders Will Probably Agree With Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) CEO Compensation

Key Insights Alarm.com Holdings to hold its Annual General Meeting on 4th of June Salary of US$238.3k is part of CEO...
Analiz Makalesi May 13

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.2x Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) may be sending bearish...
Seeking Alpha Apr 21

Alarm.com: Strong Financials And Solid Results, But Rising Market Competition Poses Risks

Summary Alarm.com Holdings is a market leader in cloud-based IoT security solutions, with strong financials and a revenue CAGR of 11.05% from FY20 to FY24. Despite growth, Alarm faces challenges from tech giants like Google and Amazon, and high revenue concentration from top ten customers. Management's growth strategy focuses on commercial surveillance, smart energy, and international expansion, but ADT's partnership with Google poses significant risks. A DCF analysis indicates a potential downside of over 10%, leading to a "Hold" rating due to rising competition and valuation concerns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi Apr 16

What Does Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Share Price Indicate?

While Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of...
Analiz Makalesi Mar 21

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM)

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Analiz Makalesi Mar 04

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Alarm.com Holdings is US$64.51 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...
Analiz Makalesi Feb 19

These 4 Measures Indicate That Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Is Using Debt Safely

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
Analiz Makalesi Dec 19

Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to...
Analiz Makalesi Dec 05

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Shares Climb 28% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...
Analiz Makalesi Nov 26

Calculating The Fair Value Of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Alarm.com Holdings is US$57.23 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...
Analiz Makalesi Nov 14

We Think Alarm.com Holdings' (NASDAQ:ALRM) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) strong earnings report was rewarded with a positive stock price move. We...
Analiz Makalesi Nov 13

These 4 Measures Indicate That Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Is Using Debt Safely

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analiz Makalesi Nov 01

Is There Now An Opportunity In Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)?

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price...
Seeking Alpha Sep 11

Alarm.com: There Are Likely Better Entry Points On The Horizon

Summary Alarm.com is expanding internationally and into commercial markets, but its EPS and revenue growth rates are currently a contraction from historical levels. Despite a contraction in top-line and bottom-line growth, its PE and PS ratios have not contracted enough. Therefore, I consider the stock to have a vulnerable valuation at the moment. I expect we could see a near-term stock price decline, but I believe the consensus estimates could begin to expand long-term as management consolidates its position in new markets. My conclusion is that there are better entry points for buying into Alarm.com, but it is certainly a strong company with robust long-term prospects if management continues to operate well. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi Sep 09

There's Reason For Concern Over Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALRM) Price

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may...
User avatar
Yeni Analiz Sep 05

Cloud Expansion And Generative AI Propel Growth Amid Market And Profit Margin Challenges

Expansion through cloud-based solutions and generative AI adoption indicates growth in the commercial segment and operational efficiency.
Analiz Makalesi Aug 21

Calculating The Fair Value Of Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Alarm.com Holdings is US$63.87 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...
Analiz Makalesi Aug 06

Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want...
Analiz Makalesi Jul 25

Is Now The Time To Put Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) On Your Watchlist?

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Analiz Makalesi Jul 12

Why Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM) Could Be Worth Watching

While Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share...
Seeking Alpha Jul 09

Alarm.com Holdings: Strong Partnerships To Meet Demand For Security

Summary ALRM benefits from strong partnerships with top home security provider in US and 12,000 partners, giving it competitive advantage. Huge addressable market for security solutions, with TAM of ~$52 billion/year. ALRM's B2B2C model, partnerships with ADT and 12,000 service providers, and focus on innovation position it for long-term growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi Jun 10

Alarm.com Holdings (NASDAQ:ALRM) Could Easily Take On More Debt

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analiz Makalesi May 02

Earnings Not Telling The Story For Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALRM)

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 41.4x Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALRM ) may be sending very bearish...

Gelir ve Gider Dağılımı

Alarm.com Holdings nasıl para kazanır ve harcar. LTM bazında en son bildirilen kazançlara dayanmaktadır.


Kazanç ve Gelir Geçmişi

NasdaqGS:ALRM Gelir, gider ve kazançlar (USD Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarG+A GiderleriAr-Ge Giderleri
31 Dec 251,011133230270
30 Sep 25992128227266
30 Jun 25976130225262
31 Mar 25955128221258
31 Dec 24940124220256
30 Sep 24924125210255
30 Jun 24905108207254
31 Mar 2489590205249
31 Dec 2388281203245
30 Sep 2386468201241
30 Jun 2385867199236
31 Mar 2384762194229
31 Dec 2284356187219
30 Sep 2283047186209
30 Jun 2280643178197
31 Mar 2278247166187
31 Dec 2174952162178
30 Sep 2171959160169
30 Jun 2168682154162
31 Mar 2163984150155
31 Dec 2061878143152
30 Sep 2059375130143
30 Jun 2056257126136
31 Mar 2054253124128
31 Dec 1950254117114
30 Sep 1947348117109
30 Jun 1945723112102
31 Mar 194402010995
31 Dec 184202210689
30 Sep 18398149784
30 Jun 18376379480
31 Mar 18357368979
31 Dec 17339298673
30 Sep 17320328266
30 Jun 17298198058
31 Mar 17276117549
31 Dec 16261107344
30 Sep 16248107046
30 Jun 16234116644
31 Mar 16222-86442
31 Dec 15209-76140
30 Sep 15198-105933
30 Jun 15186-135830

Kaliteli Kazançlar: ALRM yüksek kaliteli kazançlar sağlıyor.

Büyüyen Kar Marjı: ALRM 'nin mevcut net kar marjları (13.1%) geçen yılın (13.2%) değerinden daha düşüktür.


Serbest Nakit Akışı ve Kazanç Analizi


Geçmiş Kazanç Büyüme Analizi

Kazanç Eğilimi: ALRM şirketinin kazancı son 5 yılda yılda 18.8% oranında arttı.

Büyüme Hızlandırma: ALRM 'un son bir yıldaki kazanç büyümesi ( 6.8% ) 5 yıllık ortalamasının ( 18.8% /yıl) altındadır.

Kazançlar vs. Sektör: ALRM geçen yılki kazanç büyümesi ( 6.8% ) Software sektörünün 13% performansını geride bırakmadı.


Özkaynak Getirisi

Yüksek ROE: ALRM 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi ( 14.8% ) düşük olarak değerlendiriliyor.


Varlık Getirisi


Kullanılan Sermaye Getirisi


Geçmişte güçlü performans gösteren şirketleri keşfedin

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/05/07 12:48
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/05/07 00:00
Kazançlar2025/12/31
Yıllık Kazançlar2025/12/31

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. 10 Bu analistlerden 6, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
Saket KaliaBarclays
Adam HotchkissGoldman Sachs
Samad SamanaJefferies LLC