Match Group Gelecekteki Büyüme
Future kriter kontrolleri 2/6
Match Group kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 7.6% ve 4.5% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 11.3% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 986.6% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.
Anahtar bilgiler
7.6%
Kazanç büyüme oranı
11.35%
EPS büyüme oranı
| Interactive Media and Services kazanç büyümesi | 4.4% |
| Gelir büyüme oranı | 4.5% |
| Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi | 986.61% |
| Analist kapsamı | Good |
| Son güncelleme | 24 Aug 2026 |
Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri
Recent updates
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 26
MTCH: Product Execution And Buybacks Will Support A Measured Re Rating Potential
Match Group's fair value estimate has edged up to about $41.90 from roughly $41.06, as analysts factor in slightly higher projected revenue growth, a modestly wider profit margin, and updated price targets clustered around $40 to $43 that reflect mixed Q2 results but improving trends at Tinder and Hinge. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Match Group points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, with several large firms updating price targets in a tight US$40 to US$45 range.Seeking Alpha • Aug 05
Match: No AI-Driven Makeover Can Save This Company
Summary Match Group faces persistent declines in its payer base, with only Hinge showing growth that fails to offset Tinder’s losses. I maintain a sell rating on MTCH, as recent Q2 results reinforce concerns over shrinking users and limited success from AI-driven initiatives. MTCH’s ambitious AI and Tinder redesign efforts appear risky, with little evidence they will reverse user attrition or drive meaningful revenue growth. Match trades at a seemingly cheap ~8x adjusted EBITDA. But it's a value trap that reflects ongoing challenges and investor skepticism post-earnings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jul 08
MTCH: Rising User Engagement And Buybacks Will Support Future Share Re Rating
Match Group's updated analyst price target has moved higher to reflect a fair value estimate of about $49.31, with analysts pointing to improving Tinder trends in the U.S., reaccelerating Hinge engagement and stabilizing Azar usage as key supports for the change from roughly $46.09. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts covering Match Group are highlighting improving execution across key apps, pointing to Tinder, Hinge and Azar as the main drivers behind recent upward price target revisions.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 24
MTCH: Mixed Sentiment And AI Initiatives Will Shape 2026 Engagement Trajectory
Match Group's latest narrative update reflects a modestly higher analyst price target in dollar terms, supported by slightly firmer assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and a lower forward P/E multiple as analysts refine their views on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Match Group points to a mixed backdrop, with several firms lifting price targets while at least one has trimmed expectations.Analiz Makalesi • Jun 18
Match Group (MTCH) Stock Could Be 54.4% Below Fair Value After Peace Deal Relief
Match Group (MTCH) stock drew fresh attention after a new peace deal across Asia-Pacific and the Middle East reduced operational risks, supported advertiser confidence, and coincided with lower oil prices and bond yields. See our latest analysis for Match Group. At a share price of $35.31, Match Group has seen a 90 day share price return of 12.2%, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 19.3% contrasts with a weaker 3 and 5 year record. This suggests recent momentum has picked up after a...Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 06
MTCH: Execution Risks And AI Features Will Shape 2026 Engagement Reset
Match Group's analyst price target has moved from $31 to $35 as analysts factor in higher assumed future P/E multiples and adjust for more moderate revenue growth and profit margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Match Group shows a mixed backdrop, with several major firms adjusting their price targets and rethinking how much upside they see as execution and growth expectations reset.Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 22
MTCH: Product Progress And Capital Returns Will Drive Future Re Rating Potential
Match Group's updated analyst price target moves from about $36 to about $41, reflecting analysts' refreshed assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Match Group centers on refreshed expectations for product execution, user trends, and how those factors might justify higher or lower valuation multiples over time.Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 01
MTCH: Product Execution And Capital Returns Will Support Future Share Re Rating
Match Group's updated analyst price target edges higher to about $46.09, with analysts citing slightly stronger modeled revenue growth and a modestly higher future P/E multiple, partly balanced by lower profit margin assumptions and several recent $1 to $3 price target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary The recent batch of research on Match Group shows a mixed but generally constructive tone, with several small price target trims offset by optimism around execution at Tinder and the potential for better user trends to support the stock over time.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 17
MTCH: Product Progress And Capital Returns Will Shape Balanced Future Outcomes
Match Group's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower, reflecting modestly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and fair value, even as analysts acknowledge ongoing product progress at Tinder and across the portfolio. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Match Group highlights a split view, with some analysts encouraged by Tinder product updates and others trimming price targets to reflect more conservative expectations for growth and profitability.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 02
MTCH: Product Momentum And Capital Returns Will Support Future Shareholder Value
Analysts have kept the fair value estimate for Match Group steady at $36.47 while tweaking underlying assumptions slightly. This reflects a mix of reduced price targets from several firms and more constructive commentary around Tinder's product progress and user trends.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 19
MTCH: GenAI Features And Buybacks Will Support Future Re Rating Potential
Match Group's fair value estimate edged down to $46.08 from $46.80 as analysts reset price targets following more cautious revenue growth assumptions, even as recent research points to improving Tinder product execution and user trends. Analyst Commentary Street research on Match Group shows a mixed backdrop of reset expectations alongside growing interest in Tinder's product roadmap and usage trends.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 05
MTCH: AI Features And Buybacks Will Support Future Shareholder Returns
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Match Group by low single digit dollar amounts, with cuts of $1 to $3 from several firms, reflecting more cautious assumptions on sector multiples and competitive risks, even as core revenue growth and margin expectations remain broadly intact. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Match Group points to a mixed but measured stance, with both optimistic and cautious voices focusing on valuation, growth durability, and execution against competitive and technology themes.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 19
MTCH: AI And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Shareholder Returns
Analysts have modestly reduced their average price target on Match Group by about $1, reflecting updated views on slower revenue growth and slightly lower profit margins, which are partly offset by the use of a higher future P/E multiple in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Match Group shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions and refining their views on growth and profitability.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 04
MTCH: Mixed Execution Risk And GenAI Benefits Will Shape 2026 Setup
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Match Group to $31 from $28, citing updated views on revenue growth and profitability, as well as a lower forward P/E multiple. This change comes alongside recent price target increases from firms such as Morgan Stanley and Wolfe Research, despite some cuts from other banks.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 21
MTCH: GenAI Monetization And Buybacks Are Expected To Support Future Upside
Analysts nudged their price targets for Match Group higher, with our fair value estimate moving from US$46.61 to US$46.80. They are factoring in updated views on revenue growth, profitability, and future P/E multiples, supported by recent research pointing to potential benefits from GenAI and product catalysts across internet names.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 07
MTCH: AI Product Catalysts And Buybacks Will Support Future Returns
Narrative Update on Match Group The analyst price target for Match Group has been revised to $43 from $42. Analysts attribute this change to potential upside from AI-related product catalysts, estimate revisions, and what they view as supportive capital allocation and macroeconomic conditions.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 23
MTCH: Safety Improvements Will Support Stronger User Monetization And Share Repurchases
The analyst price target for Match Group has been raised by about 9% to approximately $47 from around $43, as analysts factor in modestly stronger long term revenue growth, slightly higher profit margins, and a marginally richer future P E multiple despite a higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts view the higher price target for Match Group as a reflection of improving execution on product innovation and monetization initiatives.Analiz Makalesi • Dec 10
Match Group (NASDAQ:MTCH) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.19
The board of Match Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MTCH ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.19 per share on the 21st...Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 09
MTCH: Share Repurchases And User Monetization Will Support Balanced Future Returns
Analysts nudged their price target on Match Group slightly higher to approximately $37.32 from about $37.32, reflecting marginally lower discount rate assumptions while maintaining steady expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future earnings multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street discussions around Match Group reflect a balanced mix of optimism on execution and user monetization, alongside caution about competitive intensity and macro driven volatility in discretionary spending.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 25
MTCH: Share Buybacks And Improved Margins Will Support Earnings Upside Ahead
Match Group's analyst price target was modestly reduced from $37.74 to $37.32, as analysts cited slight adjustments in expected revenue growth and discount rates while highlighting stable future profit margins. Analyst Commentary Market observers provide mixed signals regarding Match Group's near-term prospects, focusing on the balance of valuation, growth execution, and external risks impacting the stock's outlook.Analiz Makalesi • Nov 13
We Think You Can Look Beyond Match Group's (NASDAQ:MTCH) Lackluster Earnings
The market for Match Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:MTCH ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. Our...Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 07
MTCH: Improved Profit Margins And Operational Efficiencies Will Drive Stronger Performance
Match Group's analyst price target has been revised downward from $38.47 to $37.74, as analysts anticipate modestly stronger revenue growth and profit margins while applying a higher discount rate to reflect a slightly riskier outlook for the company. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided in their views of Match Group's prospects, reflecting both renewed optimism about growth and ongoing concerns tied to the company's execution and risk profile.Analiz Makalesi • Sep 22
At US$38.51, Is Match Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MTCH) Worth Looking At Closely?
Match Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MTCH ), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the NASDAQGS gainers with a relatively...Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 07
New AI Features And Global Expansion Will Energize Online Dating
With no changes in analyst reasoning or underlying key metrics such as revenue growth (4.8% per annum) and discount rate (9.17%), Match Group's consensus analyst price target remains steady at $37.21. What's in the News Completed repurchase of 13,722,525 shares (5.49% of shares) for $419.7 million under the buyback announced on December 11, 2024.Seeking Alpha • Mar 19
Match Group: 12%+ Equity Yield Despite Signs Of Growth In Early 2025
Summary Match Group's 2025 revenue guidance suggests flat growth, but a 50 bps AOI margin expansion and 15% FCF growth highlight potential investor attractiveness. Hinge's solid 19% YoY revenue and 27% YoY payer growth, paired with early 2025 DAU upticks (Tinder +2% MoM, Hinge +3% MoM), hint at upside to guidance. Leadership changes with Spencer Rascoff as CEO and a strong new C-level team are expected to accelerate execution and maintain strategic goals. Valuation appears attractive with a 12+% equity yield, suggesting room for a 60%+ rerating of shares, in my view. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 24
Match Group: A Value Trap With Worrying Drop In Paid Users (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Match Group reported very disappointing user results in Q4, with Tinder paid users sharply dropping off and Hinge growth stalling. The company's plan to hit 4-6% revenue growth annually through FY27, as well as $3 billion in FCF over 3 years, seems a tough bar to hit. On top of slowing growth at Hinge, Hinge has a 20-point operating margin deficit to Tinder. Revenue mixing out of Tinder and into Hinge is a headwind to profits. Despite a seemingly attractive valuation at ~11x FCF, Match Group is a value trap due to declining payers, growth, and margins. Sell and invest elsewhere. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 05
Match Group: This Could Be The Turning Point
Summary Despite a low multiple, Match Group's revenue growth and capital allocation remain unconvincing, leading me to maintain a Hold rating. Q4 results show a 1% revenue decline, with Tinder's revenue dropping 3% and paying users down 5%. Match's capital allocation strategy, focusing on share buybacks, is questioned; investing in growth could be more beneficial given a 16% ROIC. With a new CEO and potential for multiple expansion, I'll wait a few quarters to reassess Match's performance and strategy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaKazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri
| Tarih | Gelir | Kazançlar | Serbest Nakit Akışı | Faaliyetlerden Nakit | Avg. Analist Sayısı |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 3,823 | 802 | 1,205 | 1,225 | 10 |
| 12/31/2027 | 3,617 | 727 | 1,116 | 1,164 | 19 |
| 12/31/2026 | 3,479 | 680 | 1,142 | 1,191 | 19 |
| 6/30/2026 | 3,509 | 708 | 1,141 | 1,208 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 3,520 | 663 | 1,020 | 1,082 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 3,487 | 613 | 1,024 | 1,080 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 3,469 | 562 | 963 | 1,012 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 3,451 | 538 | 908 | 957 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 3,451 | 546 | 793 | 842 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,479 | 551 | 882 | 933 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 3,485 | 623 | 894 | 954 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 3,472 | 650 | 920 | 980 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 3,437 | 654 | 996 | 1,061 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 3,365 | 652 | 829 | 897 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,284 | 509 | 785 | 846 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 3,212 | 474 | 776 | 836 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,177 | 304 | 362 | 414 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 3,189 | 364 | 477 | 526 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,209 | 109 | 480 | 546 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,201 | 111 | 507 | 582 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 3,114 | 283 | 955 | 1,043 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,983 | 277 | 833 | 912 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,829 | 595 | 874 | 937 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,667 | 604 | 800 | 857 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,514 | 574 | 781 | 824 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,391 | 528 | 760 | 802 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,287 | 475 | 741 | 782 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,189 | 441 | 842 | 878 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 2,131 | 418 | N/A | 916 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 2,051 | 405 | N/A | 938 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 2,608 | 478 | N/A | 1,005 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,171 | 517 | N/A | 964 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,732 | 649 | N/A | 939 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 1,730 | 320 | N/A | 988 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 4,109 | 468 | N/A | 791 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,833 | 502 | N/A | 639 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,541 | 350 | N/A | 501 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,307 | 305 | N/A | 417 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,168 | 374 | N/A | 448 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3,103 | 238 | N/A | 419 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,082 | -23 | N/A | 373 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,140 | -41 | N/A | 344 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,177 | -175 | N/A | 360 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 3,252 | -153 | N/A | 347 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 3,278 | 101 | N/A | 392 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 3,231 | 119 | N/A | 406 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 3,213 | 221 | N/A | 313 | N/A |
Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri
Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: MTCH 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 7.6% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.7% ) üzerindedir.
Kazançlar ve Piyasa: MTCH şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 7.6% ) US pazarından (yıllık 17.3% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: MTCH şirketinin kazançlarının artması bekleniyor, ancak önemli ölçüde.
Gelir ve Pazar: MTCH şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 4.5% ) US pazarından (yıllık 13.5% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: MTCH şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 4.5% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri
Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi
Gelecekteki ROE: MTCH 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde çok yüksek olması tahmin ediliyor ( 986.6 %).
Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin
Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu
| Veri | Son Güncelleme (UTC saati) |
|---|---|
| Şirket Analizi | 2026/09/10 13:20 |
| Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı | 2026/09/10 00:00 |
| Kazançlar | 2026/06/30 |
| Yıllık Kazançlar | 2025/12/31 |
Veri Kaynakları
Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.
| Paket | Veri | Zaman Çerçevesi | Örnek ABD Kaynağı * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Şirket Finansalları | 10 yıl |
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| Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri | +3 yıl |
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| Piyasa Fiyatları | 30 yıl |
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| Sahiplik | 10 yıl |
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| Yönetim | 10 yıl |
| |
| Önemli Gelişmeler | 10 yıl |
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* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.
Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.
Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi
Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına Github sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz; ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınıza dair kılavuzlarımız ve YouTube’da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.
Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan hakkında bilgi edinin.
Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri
Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.
Analist Kaynakları
Match Group, Inc. 41 Bu analistlerden 19, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.
| Analist | Kurum |
|---|---|
| Douglas Anmuth | Barclays |
| Ross Sandler | Barclays |
| Daniel Salmon | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |