Arch Capital Group Ltd.

NasdaqGS:ACGL Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: US$32.7b

Arch Capital Group Gelecekteki Büyüme

Future kriter kontrolleri 0/6

Arch Capital Group 'in gelir ve kazançlarının sırasıyla yıllık 5.6% ve 10.7% oranında düşmesi öngörülüyor. EPS'nin yıllık 7.4% oranında düşüşmesi bekleniyor. Öz sermaye getirisinin 3 yıl içinde 13.5% olması öngörülüyor.

Anahtar bilgiler

-10.7%

Kazanç büyüme oranı

-7.38%

EPS büyüme oranı

Insurance kazanç büyümesi1.8%
Gelir büyüme oranı-5.6%
Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi13.54%
Analist kapsamı

Good

Son güncelleme18 May 2026

Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Apr 29

Arch Capital: Shrewd Capital Allocation And Underwriting Deliver In Q1

Summary Arch Capital Group maintains a disciplined underwriting approach, prioritizing margin preservation over growth amid pressured pricing environments. Q1 results reflect solid underwriting profitability, with an 81.7% combined ratio and $200 million in favorable reserve developments, underscoring conservative risk management. ACGL is aggressively repurchasing shares, with $783 million in Q3 buybacks and a projected $1.5–$2 billion for the year, enhancing EPS accretion. I reiterate a "Buy" rating on ACGL, targeting $9.35–$9.55 EPS and a potential re-rating to 12x earnings, or approximately $110 per share. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 09

ACGL: Share Repurchases And Strong Margins Will Drive Future Returns

Narrative Update on Arch Capital Group The updated analyst fair value estimate for Arch Capital Group has increased by about $3 to $109.84. Analysts attribute this change to slightly higher expected profitability, a modestly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E following recent price target increases across several research firms.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 17

ACGL: Strong Underwriting Margins And Investment Income Will Drive Future Returns

Analysts have modestly lifted their price expectations for Arch Capital Group, with the average target moving higher by about $2 to $3 per share, as they balance expectations for slowing top line growth with resilient underwriting margins and stronger net investment income. Analyst Commentary Street research continues to lean positive on Arch Capital, with multiple firms nudging price targets higher while acknowledging that the underwriting cycle is entering a more challenging phase.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 03

ACGL: Strong Underwriting Margins And Investment Income Will Support Future Performance

The analyst price target for Arch Capital Group has edged higher by approximately $0.09 per share to about $107.56, as analysts cite resilient underwriting margins, growing investment income, and a relatively benign catastrophe backdrop, which partly offsets expectations for slower top line growth and a softening P&C cycle. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight Arch Capital as a relative winner in a moderating property and casualty cycle, pointing to its durable underwriting discipline and growing investment income as key supports for earnings quality.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 05

ACGL: Calm Hurricane Season Will Support Earnings Resilience Ahead

Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for Arch Capital Group upward, citing stable industry conditions and a resilient earnings outlook. The consensus fair value estimate has moved from $108.31 to $107.47.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 11

Arch Capital Group: Solid Insurer At A Bargain Price

Summary Arch Capital Group is a large-cap, diversified insurance firm that has consistently grown book value and subsequent market price over the past decade. The management team at ACGL is highly experienced, now led by its long-term chief underwriter. Factors currently suppressing ACGL's market price are likely temporary headwinds. Compared against its peer group and its own historical price and performance, ACGL is significantly undervalued. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 13

Arch Capital: Attractive Even With Elevated Cat Losses In 2025

Summary Arch Capital's stock has been volatile, impacted by California wildfire losses, but core business performance remains strong with solid premium growth expected in 2025. The company faces headwinds from tax law changes and potential catastrophe losses, but reinsurance rate hikes and higher investment income offer upside. Arch's diverse portfolio, conservative investment strategy, and strategic capital deployment position it well for long-term profitability, despite near-term challenges. With nearly 20% upside potential and limited exposure to tariffs or recession, Arch Capital remains an attractive buy in an uncertain market. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 10

Arch Capital Group: Recent Price Weakness Is A Buying Opportunity

Summary Arch Capital Group Ltd.'s recent share price weakness presents a buying opportunity due to its strong fundamentals and impressive growth history in the insurance industry. The company excels in P&C insurance and reinsurance, with a well-diversified business and a conservative risk management approach, leading to robust profitability. Arch's recent acquisition of Allianz’s U.S. commercial middle market and entertainment business enhances its diversification and scale, despite some integration risks. ACGL stock's valuation at 1.6x book value is attractive, given its high ROE and solid fundamentals, suggesting a potential upside of around 25%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 03

Arch Capital: Hurricane Fears And M&A Concerns Are Likely Overdone

Summary Arch delivered solid Q3 results but concerns about its Allianz unit acquisition have weighed on shares. Q3 earnings were reduced by cat losses, with more losses likely in Q4, but given its diverse exposures, Arch remains profitable even during hurricanes. Recent management change has added to uncertainty, but its emphasis on strong underwriting remains in place. At less than 11x earnings, shares are attractive and can recover towards $108. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 16

Arch Capital: Navigating Insurance Cycles With Strong Pricing Power

Summary The U.S. property and casualty market is projected to grow at a 6.4% CAGR from 2024 to 2030, favoring Arch's diversified portfolio. In Q2 2024, ACGL's mortgage insurance segment maintained high credit quality, with 69.5% of new loans having FICO scores above 740. A 50-basis-point drop in interest rates could increase the Company's fixed-income portfolio by approximately $378 million. Arch Capital's forward P/E ratio is expected to decline to 11.78 by 2026, signaling an earnings growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 31

Arch Capital: Another Quarter Of Excellent Underwriting Creates Further Upside Potential

Summary Arch Capital Group shares have risen 26% over the past year but pulled back recently due to declining interest rates. Q2 results exceeded expectations, with strong underwriting results and solid segment performance, as the company continues to benefit from high home prices. Investment income is likely to rise over the next year as low-yielding securities mature. With favorable tailwinds, a diversifying business, and strong underwriting, Arch continues to be attractive. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 22

Arch Capital: New Trend At Play

Summary An economic/market outlook not factoring in the potential impacts of the U.S. budget deficit is not credible in my opinion. Macroeconomic factors are underpinning higher interest rates, which is fueling a new long-term price channel for Property & Casualty insurers. Arch Capital takes a diversified, growth-oriented approach. Its management team has proven itself over a long tenure of strong underwriting results. My price target on Arch is $118 looking out 12 to 16 months, which is a 23% upside. Using a more bullish target multiple of 12.5 presents a 45% upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 22

Arch Capital: Multiple Positives Could Drive The Stock Higher

Summary Arch Capital Group has a strong management team with effective strategies to drive growth. Arch Capital Group's business is diversified through many different lines of insurance. Strong book value growth is likely to drive strong stock performance in 2024. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 01

Arch Capital: Solid Underwriting Drives A Strong Q1

Summary Arch Capital reported solid Q1 results, with adjusted EPS beating expectations and net premiums written rising by 19.3%. The company's insurance unit saw growth in written premiums but a decrease in underwriting income due to the Baltimore bridge collapse. Arch's reinsurance unit experienced strong growth in premiums and underwriting income, with a decrease in the combined ratio, aided by higher prices. Its Allianz unit acquisition should help further diversify the business and reduce hurricane risk. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 08

Arch Capital: Record High P/B Is Too Rich

Summary Arch Capital is a multinational insurer with strong operating results and a bold rally in its stock price in 2023. The company's business model focuses on specialty insurance, with a diversified set of income streams that protect against cyclicality and high claims. ACGL has a strong balance sheet and a history of positive earnings growth, but the current stock price is overvalued, making it a sell. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri

NasdaqGS:ACGL - Analistlerin gelecek tahminleri ve geçmiş finansal verileri (USD Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarSerbest Nakit AkışıFaaliyetlerden NakitAvg. Analist Sayısı
12/31/202817,1743,651N/A6,3773
12/31/202716,6643,561N/A6,2127
12/31/202616,3383,436N/A5,5687
3/31/202619,7774,8325,8595,902N/A
12/31/202519,9294,3596,1286,172N/A
9/30/202519,5434,0566,2956,341N/A
6/30/202519,1563,6946,1276,173N/A
3/31/202518,1723,7266,5226,567N/A
12/31/202417,4404,2726,6226,673N/A
9/30/202416,8675,6716,7126,765N/A
6/30/202415,4745,4066,6656,717N/A
3/31/202414,4074,8086,2946,350N/A
12/31/202313,6344,4035,6975,749N/A
9/30/202312,7302,9285,0165,066N/A
6/30/202311,7872,2224,4234,476N/A
3/31/202310,8391,9554,1774,227N/A
12/31/20229,6131,4363,7663,816N/A
9/30/20228,8551,2003,5903,634N/A
6/30/20228,5701,5823,2283,269N/A
3/31/20228,9261,8523,1773,217N/A
12/31/20219,2482,0943,3843,425N/A
9/30/20219,3132,0133,1353,183N/A
6/30/20219,5242,0333,1323,177N/A
3/31/20219,2491,6582,9953,039N/A
12/31/20208,5091,3642,8472,887N/A
9/30/20207,8761,1472,8002,837N/A
6/30/20207,2471,1202,6182,658N/A
3/31/20206,7311,2902,3872,424N/A
12/31/20196,9261,595N/A2,048N/A
9/30/20196,5371,405N/A1,981N/A
6/30/20196,2581,240N/A1,775N/A
3/31/20195,8891,014N/A1,395N/A
12/31/20185,451714N/A1,559N/A
9/30/20185,520791N/A1,155N/A
6/30/20185,595521N/A1,058N/A
3/31/20185,592462N/A1,311N/A
12/31/20175,627567N/A1,095N/A
9/30/20175,194425N/A1,420N/A
6/30/20174,912726N/A1,389N/A
3/31/20174,696757N/A1,258N/A
12/31/20164,464665N/A1,377N/A
9/30/20164,377655N/A1,227N/A
6/30/20164,112483N/A1,154N/A
3/31/20163,941387N/A1,235N/A
12/31/20153,937516N/A998N/A
9/30/20154,049672N/A1,045N/A
6/30/20154,109821N/A969N/A

Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri

Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: ACGL şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi öngörülüyor (yılda -10.7% ).

Kazançlar ve Piyasa: ACGL şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi öngörülüyor (yılda -10.7% ).

Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: ACGL şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi öngörülüyor.

Gelir ve Pazar: ACGL şirketinin gelirinin önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi bekleniyor (yılda -5.6% ).

Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: ACGL şirketinin gelirinin önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi öngörülüyor (yılda -5.6% ).

Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri

Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi

Gelecekteki ROE: ACGL 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde düşük olması tahmin ediliyor ( 13.5 %).

Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/05/18 16:51
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/05/15 00:00
Kazançlar2026/03/31
Yıllık Kazançlar2025/12/31

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

Arch Capital Group Ltd. 31 Bu analistlerden 13, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
Taylor ScottBarclays
Jay GelbBarclays
Michael ZaremskiBMO Capital Markets Equity Research