Luckin Coffee Gelecekteki Büyüme
Future kriter kontrolleri 5/6
Luckin Coffee kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 22.4% ve 13.2% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 21.6% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 23.6% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.
Anahtar bilgiler
22.4%
Kazanç büyüme oranı
21.56%
EPS büyüme oranı
| Hospitality kazanç büyümesi | 18.0% |
| Gelir büyüme oranı | 13.2% |
| Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi | 23.57% |
| Analist kapsamı | Good |
| Son güncelleme | 06 May 2026 |
Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri
Güncelleme yok
Recent updates
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 10
LKNC.Y: Roasting Network Expansion And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to $45.98 from $45.54, attributing the change to updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Luckin Coffee announced a share repurchase program of up to US$300 million of Class A shares in the form of American Depository Shares, funded with existing cash, with a planned duration of 12 months.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 24
LKNC.Y: Smart Roasting Network And Origin Flagship Expansion Will Support Upside
Analysts have made a modest adjustment to their $45.54 price target on Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly updated views on discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping their overall fair value estimate effectively unchanged. What's in the News Luckin Coffee began operating an advanced smart roasting center in Qingdao, Shandong Province, with a total investment of about RMB 3,000 million and annual roasting capacity of over 55,000 tons.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship Expansion And Green Retail Concept Will Support Upside
Analysts have maintained their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, noting that updated model inputs, including a slightly higher discount rate and a revised future P/E assumption, offset one another in their valuation analysis. What's in the News Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store in Shenzhen, described as its first Origin Flagship location with a focus on Global Origins and a larger brand evolution theme (Key Developments).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 26
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Concept Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly revised assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Together, these changes indicate a fine-tuning of their view rather than a major reset.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Expansion Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to about $45.54 from around $48.76 as they incorporate more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple. What's in the News Luckin Coffee marked the opening of its 30,000th store, the first Origin Flagship in Shenzhen, highlighting its large-scale retail footprint across more than 300 cities in China and overseas markets including Singapore, Malaysia and the United States.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 24
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on Luckin Coffee slightly higher to $48.76 from $48.60, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E. What's in the News Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store, its first Origin Flagship, in Shenzhen, tying the launch to a Global Origins theme and highlighting a shift toward greater focus on professionalism, quality, and sustainable development.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 09
LKNC.Y: Overweight Rating And Origin Flagship Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to about US$48.60 from roughly US$50.10, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as fresh Street research highlights renewed interest in the stock within China's "bubble & brew" sector and cites a US$55 price target on new coverage. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the new US$55 price target as support for the view that Luckin Coffee still has upside potential relative to the revised fair value estimate of about US$48.60, pointing to room for the share price to converge toward their assumptions on earnings and P/E.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 25
LKNC.Y: Bubble And Brew Leadership And Overweight Rating Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Luckin Coffee slightly higher to about US$50.10 from about US$49.83, citing recent positive Street research, including a new Overweight initiation, as support for the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including a fresh Overweight initiation and US$55 price target from JPMorgan, adds more color around how the market is thinking about Luckin Coffee at current levels.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 11
LKNC.Y: Bubble And Brew Leadership And Margin Strength Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee slightly higher to about US$49.83 per share from roughly US$49.63, citing recent positive Street research, including a new US$55 target and Overweight initiation that support modestly stronger profit margin and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including a new Overweight initiation and US$55 price target from JPMorgan, gives more color on how analysts are thinking about Luckin Coffee's risk and reward profile.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 14
LKNC.Y: Store Expansion And Digital Platform Will Drive Future Market Leadership
Analysts have nudged their price target for Luckin Coffee slightly lower to $49.63 from about $49.95, reflecting modestly softer long term growth and margin assumptions, even as they continue to highlight the company as a preferred name within China's "bubble and brew" sector. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Luckin Coffee's positioning as a top pick within China's rapidly expanding "bubble and brew" category, supporting a premium valuation relative to slower growing domestic peers.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 30
LKNC.Y: Market Leadership Will Support Store Expansion Across China
The analyst consensus price target for Luckin Coffee has risen from $48.24 to $49.95, as analysts cite strong store growth and continued profitability in a rapidly expanding Chinese coffee market. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Luckin Coffee's consistent outperformance within China's rapidly growing coffee sector, noting that it is now the largest coffee chain in the country by store count.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 16
LKNC.Y: Market Leadership Will Drive Store Expansion Momentum In China
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee upward from $46.89 to $48.24. They cite strong growth prospects and continued optimism for China's expanding coffee market.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Sep 06
Chinese Urbanization And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Market Potential
The consensus analyst price target for Luckin Coffee has increased modestly as a sharp decline in its future P/E ratio offset a slight reduction in revenue growth forecasts, lifting the fair value estimate from $45.61 to $46.89. What's in the News Luckin Coffee (LKNCY), now China's largest coffee chain, has opened its first store in New York City less than 200 feet from a Starbucks location, signaling its entry into the U.S. market (WSJ).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 07
Chinese Urbanization And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Market Potential
Luckin Coffee’s future P/E ratio has dropped sharply from 21.27x to 2.96x while its net profit margin remains stable at 9.4%, leading to the consensus analyst price target holding steady at $45.61. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Luckin Coffee The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, at $45.61.
Yeni Anlatı • Dec 03
Aggressive Store Expansion And Light Milk Tea Innovations Will Drive Revenue Growth And Profitability
Aggressive store expansion and new product lines are boosting market share, diversifying offerings, and enhancing customer engagement, driving revenue growth.Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri
| Tarih | Gelir | Kazançlar | Serbest Nakit Akışı | Faaliyetlerden Nakit | Avg. Analist Sayısı |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 75,894 | 6,723 | 6,074 | 8,372 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 67,534 | 5,418 | 3,832 | 7,147 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 59,756 | 4,357 | 3,417 | 5,709 | 10 |
| 3/31/2026 | 52,418 | 3,583 | 3,362 | 5,985 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 49,288 | 3,600 | 3,467 | 6,091 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 46,125 | 3,931 | 4,736 | 7,155 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 41,018 | 3,967 | 3,983 | 6,402 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 37,062 | 3,562 | 2,972 | 5,390 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 34,475 | 2,956 | 1,811 | 4,229 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 31,927 | 2,401 | -1,083 | 1,674 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 28,946 | 2,075 | -1,089 | 1,668 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 26,745 | 2,200 | -1,193 | 1,563 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 24,903 | 2,844 | 144 | 2,900 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 21,533 | 2,606 | 3,074 | 3,875 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 18,228 | 2,147 | 2,181 | 2,982 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 15,325 | 1,033 | 184 | 985 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 13,293 | 488 | -781 | 20 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 12,031 | 1,355 | -216 | -43 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 10,486 | 803 | -625 | -452 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 9,101 | 831 | 291 | 464 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 7,965 | 579 | -50 | 123 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 6,879 | -2,665 | -816 | 6 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 5,671 | -4,353 | -1,097 | -274 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,530 | -5,044 | -2,446 | -1,624 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,033 | -5,589 | -3,199 | -2,377 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,783 | -4,661 | -4,065 | -3,286 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,182 | -3,481 | -4,751 | -3,137 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,319 | -3,918 | -3,940 | -2,526 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,025 | -3,713 | N/A | -2,167 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,395 | -3,765 | N/A | -1,397 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,094 | -3,718 | N/A | -1,994 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 1,306 | -3,631 | N/A | -1,815 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 841 | -3,190 | N/A | -1,311 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1 | -113 | N/A | -190 | N/A |
Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri
Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: LKNC.Y 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 22.4% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.5% ) üzerindedir.
Kazançlar ve Piyasa: LKNC.Y şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 22.4% ) US pazarından (yıllık 16.7% ) daha hızlı büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: LKNC.Y şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içerisinde önemli ölçüde artması bekleniyor.
Gelir ve Pazar: LKNC.Y şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 13.2% ) US pazarından (yıllık 11.6% ) daha hızlı büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: LKNC.Y şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 13.2% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri
Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi
Gelecekteki ROE: LKNC.Y 'in Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde yüksek olması tahmin ediliyor ( 23.6 %)
Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin
Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu
| Veri | Son Güncelleme (UTC saati) |
|---|---|
| Şirket Analizi | 2026/05/14 22:03 |
| Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı | 2026/05/14 00:00 |
| Kazançlar | 2026/03/31 |
| Yıllık Kazançlar | 2025/12/31 |
Veri Kaynakları
Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.
| Paket | Veri | Zaman Çerçevesi | Örnek ABD Kaynağı * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Şirket Finansalları | 10 yıl |
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| Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri | +3 yıl |
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| Piyasa Fiyatları | 30 yıl |
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| Sahiplik | 10 yıl |
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| Yönetim | 10 yıl |
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| Önemli Gelişmeler | 10 yıl |
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* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.
Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.
Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi
Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.
Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.
Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri
Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.
Analist Kaynakları
Luckin Coffee Inc. 18 Bu analistlerden 10, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.
| Analist | Kurum |
|---|---|
| Mark Yuan | BNP Paribas |
| Boyi Shi | CGS International |
| null null | China International Capital Corporation Limited |