McDonald's Corporation

NYSE:MCD Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: US$175.7b

McDonald's Bilanço Sağlığı

Finansal Sağlık kriter kontrolleri 2/6

McDonald's şirketinin toplam hissedar öz sermayesi $-1.0B ve toplam borcu $39.9B olup, bu da borç-öz sermaye oranını -3897.8% seviyesine getiriyor. Toplam varlıkları ve toplam yükümlülükleri sırasıyla $59.9B ve $60.9B dir. McDonald's 'in FAVÖK'ü $12.7B faiz karşılama oranı 8.1 dur. Şirketin $822.0M tutarında nakit ve kısa vadeli yatırımları bulunmaktadır.

Anahtar bilgiler

-3,897.85%

Borç/özkaynak oranı

US$39.88b

Borç

Faiz karşılama oranı8.1x
NakitUS$822.00m
Eşitlik-US$1.02b
Toplam yükümlülüklerUS$60.94b
Toplam varlıklarUS$59.92b

Son finansal sağlık güncellemeleri

Güncelleme yok

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 19

McDonald's: The Crowd Sold The King, I'm Underwriting The Throne

Summary McDonald's has achieved Dividend King status with its 50th consecutive annual dividend increase, now offering a 3% yield at a six-year high. MCD trades at its lowest forward multiple in over a decade after a sharp selloff, despite robust margins and growing loyalty-driven sales. Technical and seasonal backtests indicate a strong probability of a 7% gap-fill ROI and historically positive returns in midterm election years. I recommend selling Nov. 20 at-the-money puts, targeting a 12% annualized return, while monitoring risks from US traffic declines and capex trends. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 22

Q2 - Update

Updated with the most recent Q2 quarterly report.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 10

MCD: NEXT Automation And AI Will Drive Long Term Cash Compounding

Analysts have trimmed their blended price target for McDonald's to about $316 from roughly $324, reflecting slightly lower revenue growth assumptions and a modestly higher discount rate, partly offset by a small uplift in expected profit margin and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on McDonald's points to a split view.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jul 27

MCD: NEXT Automation And AI Will Support Long Term Cash Compounding

McDonald's price target narrative is being revised slightly lower to about $323.90 from roughly $331.29, as analysts factor in softer near term sales trends and a mixed restaurant backdrop while still expecting brand strength and market share gains over time. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on McDonald's reflects a split view, with most analysts trimming price targets while still highlighting the company's brand strength and long term positioning.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 18

MCD: Next Era Restaurant Upgrades And AI Will Support Franchise Cash Returns

Analysts have trimmed their average McDonald's price target by roughly $20, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and modest tweaks to long term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations, even though the stock has been added to some high conviction lists. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around McDonald's highlights a mixed setup, with several banks trimming price targets while the stock is still being added to high conviction lists.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 04

MCD: Value Menu And Dividend Strength Will Support Franchise Cash Returns

Analysts now set McDonald's fair value at about $331.29, a modest adjustment from $330. This reflects a blend of recent target cuts from several firms and inclusion on Jefferies' Franchise Picks list, with updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a similar profit margin profile, and a future P/E of about 28.47x.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 20

MCD: Value Menu Reset Will Support High Conviction Franchise Cash Generation

Analysts have trimmed the McDonald's fair value estimate from $345.00 to $330.00, reflecting slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples, even as broader research remains generally constructive on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on McDonald's reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings while reassessing growth, margins, and valuation multiples.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 27

MCD: Value Menu Reset Will Support Digital And Franchise Model Upside

McDonald's updated analyst price target edges up by about $0.15 to $345.00 as analysts factor in slightly higher profit margin expectations and a modestly adjusted discount rate, following a wave of recent upgrades and target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on McDonald's has been active, with a cluster of target changes and rating moves pointing to a mixed but generally constructive debate around valuation, earnings quality, and the pace of future growth.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 11

MCD: Value Menu Repositioning Will Support Digital And Franchise Model Breakout

McDonald's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower to about $344.85 from $345.21. Analysts point to a modestly higher discount rate and slightly softer profit margin assumptions, while continuing to highlight the brand's global reach, digital investments, and franchise model in recent research.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 27

MCD: Value Menu Repositioning And Digital Efficiencies Are Expected To Support Breakout

McDonald's Analyst Price Target has been nudged higher to $345.21 from $344.09 as analysts point to the company's powerful global brand, rapid unit expansion, digital and AI-driven efficiencies, and an asset light franchise model as key supports for its updated valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on McDonald's has been skewed toward higher price targets and rating upgrades, with several banks citing brand strength, digital investments, and the franchise model as key supports for the current valuation reset.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 13

MCD: Value Repositioning And Digital Efficiencies Are Expected To Support Breakout Potential

Analysts have nudged our McDonald's fair value estimate higher from $341.28 to $344.09. This reflects their higher Street price targets that point to the brand's global reach, franchise model, operational efficiencies, and steady U.S. business momentum.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 27

MCD: Value And Digital Execution Are Expected To Support Breakout Setup

Narrative Update McDonald's fair value estimate edges up by about $2 to $341.28 as analysts lift price targets across the stock. They cite what they see as higher quality growth, strong profitability and benefits from digital investments, marketing and value initiatives into 2026.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 13

MCD: Value Positioning And Brand Repositioning Are Expected To Support Breakout Potential

Analysts have nudged their McDonald's price target higher to about $339 from $331, citing modestly stronger revenue growth assumptions, a slightly lower discount rate, and only small tweaks to long term profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on McDonald's has been active, with several price target revisions and rating changes clustered around a similar thesis.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 20

MCD: Value Strategy And Cost Tailwinds Will Balance Consumer Traffic Risks

Analysts have nudged their price target on McDonald's slightly higher to $331.20. This reflects modest improvements in projected revenue growth and profit margins, even as they remain cautious about the company's value focus amid ongoing pressure on lower income consumers.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 06

MCD: Value Promotions And Remodels Will Balance Consumer And Margin Pressures

Analysts have trimmed their McDonald's fair value estimate slightly, lowering the target by about $0.30 to roughly $331. This reflects modestly softer long term revenue growth assumptions and a higher discount rate, which offset a small improvement in projected profit margins and still robust expectations for value driven traffic and potential multiple expansion.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 22

MCD: Value Initiatives And Consumer Headwinds Will Shape Market Share Performance

McDonald's analyst fair value estimate was nudged higher to $331.53 from $330.87, as analysts point to ongoing value initiatives and expectations for store growth and market share gains, which support the updated outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst notes on McDonald's highlight a mix of optimism about the company’s value initiatives and store growth, while also flagging continued caution regarding consumer trends and traffic drivers.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 08

MCD: Value Focus And Consumer Trends Will Shape Performance Amid Mixed Signals

McDonald's analyst price target edged slightly lower to $330.87 from $331.14, a modest adjustment reflecting analysts' cautious outlook over mixed consumer traffic trends and evolving value strategies, while balancing these factors against resilient revenue growth forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on McDonald's reflects a broad mix of optimism and caution, with price targets being adjusted in response to changing consumer dynamics and evolving company strategies.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 25

Future Performance Will Rely On Value Positioning And Digital Expansion

Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value price target for McDonald's to $331.14 from $331.52. They cite continued caution around consumer spending and uncertainty over the impact of value-focused initiatives on traffic and margins.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 10

International Expansion And Digital Commerce Will Shape Future Success

Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for McDonald's to $331.52, a decrease of about $4. This adjustment reflects cautious outlooks on the company's value-driven strategy and continued pressure on lower-income consumer spending.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Sep 04

International Expansion And Digital Commerce Will Shape Future Success

Analysts remain divided on the benefits and risks of McDonald's value initiatives amid a challenging competitive landscape and cautious U.S. consumer outlook, with the consensus price target unchanged at $334.85. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight McDonald's scale, marketing power, and digital leadership as key advantages in navigating consumer uncertainty and driving share gains, especially through new products and targeted promotions.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 28

McDonald's: Steady Fundamentals, Cloudy Future Of Tariffs

Summary McDonald's remains a solid company with stable fundamentals, but its current price suggests modest long-term returns. Despite historical revenue slumps, McDonald's has grown free cash flow by controlling gross margins, crucial amid concerns about Trump's tariffs and rising costs. The company's strong balance sheet, supported by valuable real estate assets, ensures it can manage debt and weather economic headwinds effectively. With Q1 2025 earnings approaching, management's insights on tariffs and consumer impact will be pivotal; current valuation suggests fair value, lacking major growth catalysts. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 18

McDonald's Golden Arches In Danger -- Numerous Headwinds Ahead

Summary MCD's bullish uptrend support remains robust, thanks to its excellent branding power as the largest food-chain in the world, with $221.9B in brand valuation in 2024. Even so, it is undeniable that MCD has delivered underwhelming comparable sales growth and profit margins in 2024, worsened by the impacted balance sheet health. If anything, readers must note that its FY2025 guidance has yet to "include any impact from potential new tariffs," worsened by the deteriorating macroeconomic and consumer environment. The growing anti-US sentiments may also derail MCD's ambitious international growth plans, particularly in China, pending further policy clarity. Combined with the higher short interest volumes, heightened risks of stagflation, and pulled forward upside potential, MCD's golden arch investment thesis appears mixed indeed. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 18

McDonald's: Value Menu, Digital Focus To Sustain Competitive Advantage, Upgrade To Buy

Summary I think McDonald’s stock will be a safe heaven in 2025 considering the uncertainty surrounding tariff and inflation. The company’s value menu and digital focus would sustain their competitive advantage despite a weak consumer spending environment. The company handled the food safety crisis well, and I think McDonald's steady growth will be favored amid the uncertain macro environment. I am upgrading MCD stock with a ‘Buy’ rating and a fair value of $320. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 26

Wall Street Lunch: McDonald's Will Digest High Egg Prices

Summary McDonald's is absorbing higher egg costs due to bird flu, unlike competitors adding surcharges, and is promoting a $1 McMuffin to attract budget-conscious consumers. Chip stocks are rallying ahead of Nvidia's earnings report, with significant open interest in SMCI options indicating potential volatility. New home sales fell in January, but median prices rose, with economists predicting slight declines in prices over the next few quarters. Amazon unveiled Alexa+, an AI-powered assistant with enhanced capabilities, while Wells Fargo sees an opportunity in Communications Services stocks due to recent non-fundamental sell-offs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 12

McDonald's: Not Finding Compelling McValue Here

Summary McDonald's delivered poor Q4 results, with flat revenue, missing Street expectations despite stronger performance in overseas markets. Same-store sales growth in the U.S. declined due to an E. coli outbreak, offsetting the benefits of the company's $5 Meal Deal extension. The company announced a new McValue offering in the U.S. in January, officially extending the Meal Deal through summer, but in my view, this will do little to help trends. I'm reiterating my sell rating on McDonald's stock, especially as the stock trades at a ~25x forward P/E for nearly nonexistent earnings growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Finansal Durum Analizi

Kısa Vadeli Yükümlülükler: MCD negatif hissedar özkaynağı var; bu, kısa vadeli varlıkların kısa vadeli yükümlülükleri karşılamamasından daha ciddi bir durumdur.

Uzun Vadeli Yükümlülükler: MCD şirketinin negatif özkaynağı bulunmaktadır; bu, kısa vadeli varlıkların uzun vadeli yükümlülükleri karşılamamasından daha ciddi bir durumdur.

Borç-Özkaynak Tarihçesi ve Analizi

Borç Seviyesi: MCD negatif hissedar özkaynağı var ki bu yüksek borç seviyesinden daha ciddi bir durumdur.

Borcun Azaltılması: MCD 'in negatif özkaynağı var, dolayısıyla borcunun zaman içinde azalıp azalmadığını kontrol etmemize gerek yok.

Borç Kapsamı: MCD 'nin borcu işletme nakit akışı ( 28.5% ) tarafından iyi bir şekilde karşılanmaktadır.

Faiz Kapsamı: MCD 'in borcuna ilişkin faiz ödemeleri EBIT ( 8.1 x kapsam) tarafından iyi bir şekilde karşılanmaktadır.

Bilanço

Sağlıklı şirketleri keşfedin

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Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/09/21 22:00
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/09/21 00:00
Kazançlar2026/06/30
Yıllık Kazançlar2025/12/31

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına Github sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz; ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınıza dair kılavuzlarımız ve YouTube’da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

McDonald's Corporation 61 Bu analistlerden 33, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
Jim MarroneAccountability Research Corporation
John StaszakArgus Research Company
David TarantinoBaird