NVR, Inc.

NYSE:NVR Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: US$16.3b

NVR Gelecekteki Büyüme

Future kriter kontrolleri 1/6

NVR'in kazancının yıllık 1.9% oranında azalması, yıllık gelirinin ise yıllık 0.01% oranında artması beklenmektedir. EPS'nin yılda 2.7% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 37.3% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.

Anahtar bilgiler

-1.9%

Kazanç büyüme oranı

2.69%

EPS büyüme oranı

Consumer Durables kazanç büyümesi8.0%
Gelir büyüme oranı0.009%
Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi37.34%
Analist kapsamı

Good

Son güncelleme18 May 2026

Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri

Recent updates

Yeni Anlatı May 03

NVR 05-2026

NVR converts the most capital-intensive, most cyclical, most balance-sheet-fragile activity in U.S. industrial business — residential land development — into a software-like compounder with 30% ROIC and net-cash balance sheets. The mechanism is the Lot Purchase Agreement (LPA) model: NVR pays non-refundable deposits of ~10% of finished lot value to third-party developers for the right to take down lots on a quarter-by-quarter basis.
Seeking Alpha Apr 28

NVR: Fundamental Resilience And Reasonable Valuation Warrant A Buy Amid Market Volatility

Summary NVR, Inc. demonstrates resilience amid soft housing markets, leveraging an asset-light model and East Coast focus for sustained profitability. NVR maintains a robust net income margin of 10.4% in Q1 2026, outperforming peers, despite a 21.4% YoY revenue decline. Valuation metrics (P/S 1.87x, P/B 5.09x) indicate NVR is underpriced, with target prices suggesting upside potential. Issuing a buy rating, I see technical weakness as a buying opportunity, given strong balance sheet and strategic positioning. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi Jan 01

NVR, Inc.'s (NYSE:NVR) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

NVR, Inc.'s ( NYSE:NVR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared...
Analiz Makalesi Jul 14

We Think NVR (NYSE:NVR) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analiz Makalesi Jun 13

Little Excitement Around NVR, Inc.'s (NYSE:NVR) Earnings

NVR, Inc.'s ( NYSE:NVR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared...
Seeking Alpha Apr 24

NVR: Valuation Trading At A Premium Despite Macro Headwinds

Summary NVR faces significant macro headwinds, with declining community count, order book, and rising cancellations indicating weak forward sales momentum and pressure on profitability. 1Q25 results show cracks with a modest revenue increase but notable declines in net income, EPS, and gross profit margin due to higher lot costs and pricing pressure. The macro environment, including elevated mortgage rates and inflation, is creating a tough setup, leading to increased cancellations and the need for heavier incentives. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 11

NVR, Inc.: A Rare Opportunity To Buy A Wonderful Company

Summary NVR, Inc. has a unique, low-debt business model that reduces risk during economic downturns, differentiating it from other homebuilders. The company only buys land when there's a confirmed buyer, minimizing financial exposure and capital expenditure. NVR's cost-plus contract model allows it to operate with less capital, enhancing its financial stability and operational efficiency. With consistent net income growth and excellent capital allocation, NVR, Inc. has the potential to outperform the S&P 500 over the next decade. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 04

NVR, Inc.: Potentially Topping Out

Summary Today, we take a look at home builder NVR, Inc., whose shares have surged 600% over the past decade and are up some 25% since early July. However, mortgage rates have moved back up to the seven percent area and the stock seems overbought using some historical valuation metrics. There also has been some notable insider selling in the stock since the company posted Q3 results in late October. Is the stock in danger of “topping out,” or can the rally continue?  An analysis of NVR, Inc. follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 24

High But Declining Rates Set NVR Up For Success

Summary NVR is well-positioned to benefit from high but declining mortgage rates and low housing supply, making it a strong "Buy" despite its higher valuation. Declining but high mortgage rates are expected to boost buyer demand, benefiting NVR as homeowners remain locked into lower rates. With favorable macroeconomic conditions, NVR is likely to continue its strong performance in the medium term. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 04

NVR: An Awesome Compounder That's Run Up Too Far Too Fast

Summary NVR shares have surged 29% year to date, as investor sentiment on the company and homebuilding sector more broadly has shifted. Despite strong performance in the latest quarter, the current valuation appears less attractive due to a slowing housing market and high mortgage rates. NVR's Q2'24 revenue grew 11.6% YoY, with strong new orders and a solid balance sheet, but margins slightly decreased. Trading at 12.4x EV/EBITDA, NVR's premium has widened compared to peers, so I'd suggest waiting for a better entry point for new buyers of the stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jun 21

NVR Continues To Capitalize On Housing Shortage And High Mortgage Rates

Summary Although NVR stock slightly underperformed the broader market since my initial coverage, business drivers remain strong. Factors such as high mortgage rates, housing shortage, and potential interest rate cuts contribute to a favorable environment for NVR's medium-term performance. I believe the stock is undervalued compared to the company's potential, leading to the reiteration of my "Buy" rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 11

Revisiting NVR: Still An Attractive Investment

Summary NVR, one of the biggest homebuilders in the U.S., has outperformed the market since my initial coverage and I believe it should be priced higher. The U.S. economy remains strong, with low unemployment and lower-than-expected inflation, supporting the housing market. Trends such as housing shortage and high mortgage rates discouraging homeowners from selling continue to drive demand for the company. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 23

NVR: A Deep Dive Into This Phenomenal Homebuilder

Summary NVR is the largest homebuilder on the US East Coast and has consistently generated profit every year since 1993. The company has outperformed its peers with a compounded annual growth rate of over 30% and is built to thrive in downturns. Studying NVR will provide insights into market leaders in adjacent markets and help understand the opportunities and challenges in the homebuilding industry. NVR scores 12/20 in my Sleep Well Investment scorecard and is fairly valued, but in the case of a housing downturn, I won't hesitate to start a position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri

NYSE:NVR - Analistlerin gelecek tahminleri ve geçmiş finansal verileri (USD Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarSerbest Nakit AkışıFaaliyetlerden NakitAvg. Analist Sayısı
12/31/20279,8681,1271,0281,0625
12/31/20269,2641,0429961,2414
3/31/20269,9171,2391,2311,253N/A
12/31/202510,4381,3401,0971,121N/A
9/30/202510,5831,4331,2921,319N/A
6/30/202510,7181,5201,2091,238N/A
3/31/202510,7431,5871,4081,436N/A
12/31/202410,6871,6821,3451,374N/A
9/30/202410,2811,6351,2031,233N/A
6/30/202410,1241,6381,5041,533N/A
3/31/20249,8471,6421,2981,329N/A
12/31/20239,6831,5921,4731,498N/A
9/30/20239,9421,6361,7941,819N/A
6/30/202310,1191,6151,7461,767N/A
3/31/202310,4081,6441,8591,876N/A
12/31/202210,5751,7261,8521,870N/A
9/30/202210,0721,6051,2951,313N/A
6/30/20229,6811,5261,1491,169N/A
3/31/20229,3031,4141,2051,223N/A
12/31/20218,9661,2371,2251,242N/A
9/30/20219,0861,2071,3121,328N/A
6/30/20218,6801,1321,0611,076N/A
3/31/20218,0189741,1691,185N/A
12/31/20207,563901909925N/A
9/30/20207,209852918936N/A
6/30/20207,136820914935N/A
3/31/20207,320866686707N/A
12/31/20197,426879N/A867N/A
9/30/20197,428855N/A741N/A
6/30/20197,366827N/A856N/A
3/31/20197,349820N/A873N/A
12/31/20187,187797N/A723N/A
9/30/20187,006690N/A727N/A
6/30/20186,819656N/A562N/A
3/31/20186,574601N/A540N/A
12/31/20176,320538N/A570N/A
9/30/20176,255564N/A631N/A
6/30/20176,123519N/A564N/A
3/31/20175,966463N/A546N/A
12/31/20165,833425N/A393N/A
9/30/20165,635408N/A290N/A
6/30/20165,500407N/A256N/A
3/31/20165,355409N/A165N/A
12/31/20155,168383N/A227N/A
9/30/20154,941348N/A242N/A
6/30/20154,741322N/A161N/A

Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri

Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: NVR şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi öngörülüyor (yılda -1.9% ).

Kazançlar ve Piyasa: NVR şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi öngörülüyor (yılda -1.9% ).

Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: NVR şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi öngörülüyor.

Gelir ve Pazar: NVR şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 0.01% ) US pazarından (yıllık 11.7% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: NVR şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 0.01% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.


Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri


Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi

Gelecekteki ROE: NVR 'in Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde yüksek olması tahmin ediliyor ( 37.3 %)


Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/05/25 12:34
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/05/22 00:00
Kazançlar2026/03/31
Yıllık Kazançlar2025/12/31

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

NVR, Inc. 19 Bu analistlerden 7, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
Rafe JadrosichBofA Global Research
Ryan GilbertBTIG
Peter MartinCitizens JMP Securities, LLC