Paychex, Inc.

NasdaqGS:PAYX Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: US$33.7b

Paychex Gelecekteki Büyüme

Future kriter kontrolleri 2/6

Paychex kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 10.8% ve 5.4% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 10.9% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 44.9% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.

Anahtar bilgiler

10.8%

Kazanç büyüme oranı

10.95%

EPS büyüme oranı

Professional Services kazanç büyümesi15.5%
Gelir büyüme oranı5.4%
Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi44.86%
Analist kapsamı

Good

Son güncelleme01 May 2026

Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri

Recent updates

Analiz Güncellemesi • Apr 27

PAYX: AI And Tapcheck Partnership Will Support Post Paycor Integration Concerns

The analyst price target for Paychex has been trimmed by about $0.27, reflecting a wave of recent target cuts from multiple firms as analysts factor in choppy macro conditions and the ongoing integration of Paycor into their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Paychex shows a clear reset in expectations, with several firms cutting their price targets and one new initiation at a neutral stance.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Apr 10

PAYX: AI Tools And Buybacks Will Support Post Paycor Integration Concerns

Analysts have nudged their blended price target on Paychex slightly lower to $101.20 from $102.80 as they factor in a higher discount rate, modestly different revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a slightly reduced future P/E multiple, following a series of recent target cuts and cautious research notes. Analyst Commentary Recent research has leaned cautious on Paychex, with several firms trimming price targets and a few initiating more conservative ratings as they reassess growth, profitability and the integration of Paycor.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 09

Paychex: Staying Neutral Because Of Near-Term Growth Concerns

Summary Paychex (PAYX) is rated Hold as core growth remains subdued despite promising Paycor integration and outsourcing momentum. Integration of Paycor is progressing well, with cross-selling and larger ASO/PEO wins supporting potential revenue synergies and a structurally improved growth profile. Outsourcing and PEO segments are showing solid growth and retention, but these remain a small portion of overall revenues. Valuation is at a premium to peers due to high margins, but further re-rating is unlikely without clear evidence of accelerating organic growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Yeni Analiz • Mar 28

AI Rollout And PEO Demand Will Support Steady Outlook Despite Integration Risks

Catalysts About Paychex Paychex provides HR, payroll, benefits and PEO solutions to businesses of various sizes, with a large small business client base. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Analiz Güncellemesi • Mar 27

PAYX: AI Upgrades And Buybacks Will Offset Paycor Integration Concerns

Paychex's analyst price target has been reset lower to about $103 from roughly $117, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E multiple, partly offset by expectations for stable profitability and ongoing integration of Paycor. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Paychex has centered on recalibrated price targets, with several firms adjusting their models to reflect more tempered revenue expectations, a higher discount rate, and lower assumed future P/E multiples.
Yeni Analiz • Mar 13

AI Adoption And HCM Data Scale Will Reshape This Payroll Leader’s Long-Term Potential

Catalysts About Paychex Paychex provides payroll, HR, benefits and HCM technology solutions to small and midsize businesses across its Paychex Flex, SurePayroll and Paycor platforms. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Analiz Güncellemesi • Mar 12

PAYX: AI Automation And Buybacks Will Offset Defensive Competitive Concerns Over Time

Analysts have reduced their Paychex price target by about $2 to reflect slightly lower fair value estimates, higher required returns, and modestly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following recent bearish initiations and cautious commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has leaned cautious on Paychex, with new coverage framing recent moves, including the Paycor stake, as largely defensive rather than a clear growth accelerator.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Feb 26

PAYX: AI And Buybacks Will Counter Defensive Competitive Pressures Over Time

Analysts have trimmed their Paychex price target slightly to about $119 per share, reflecting modest adjustments to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions following new bearish coverage that characterizes recent competitive moves as largely defensive. Analyst Commentary Recent research frames the latest competitive response, including the Paycor related move, as more defensive than opportunistic.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Feb 11

PAYX: AI And Buybacks Will Support Resilient Future Cash Flow Profile

Analysts have trimmed their average Paychex price target slightly to about $119.53 from roughly $120.20, reflecting a modestly lower assumed future P/E and fresh bearish initiation commentary that characterizes the recent Paycor acquisition as a largely defensive move. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary focuses heavily on the Paycor acquisition and how it feeds into expectations for Paychex valuation and execution.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Jan 27

PAYX: AI And Platform Partnerships Will Support Resilient Cash Flow Profile

Analysts have trimmed their Paychex fair value estimate from about US$122 to roughly US$120, reflecting slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a modestly lower future P/E and a mild uptick in the discount rate after recent bearish initiations on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on the implications of Paychex's move toward Paycor and how that fits with the current fair value reassessment.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Jan 11

PAYX: Broader Suite And AI Will Confront Cyclical Labor And Rate Risks

Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to their price target on Paychex, pointing to the broader solution suite following the Paycor acquisition, while also flagging cyclical risks tied to potential revenue softness if unemployment rises and interest rates move lower. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the Paycor acquisition as a way for Paychex to offer a broader and more comprehensive suite of solutions, which they see as supportive of the current valuation range.
Analiz Makalesi • Jan 07

Should You Investigate Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX) At US$111?

Let's talk about the popular Paychex, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PAYX ). The company's shares received a lot of attention from a...
Analiz Güncellemesi • Dec 25

PAYX: AI And Suite Expansion Will Navigate Cyclical Labor Uncertainty Ahead

Analysts have modestly reduced their Paychex fair value estimate by about $6 to roughly $122 per share, reflecting tempered expectations for revenue growth and future valuation multiples, despite resilient margins and a broader solution suite. Analyst Commentary Street research on Paychex reflects a generally balanced stance, with most firms maintaining neutral or modestly cautious ratings while making incremental target price adjustments.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Dec 11

PAYX: Acquisition Synergy Will Support Suite Expansion Amid Cyclical Labor Market Uncertainty

Analysts modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Paychex to approximately $128 from about $134 per share, citing slightly softer assumptions for long term revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation multiples amid heightened macroeconomic and labor market uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Street research on Paychex reflects a generally cautious, wait and see stance, with most firms maintaining neutral or Hold type ratings while trimming price targets.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Nov 27

PAYX: Acquisition Synergy Will Boost Solution Suite And Support Margin Resilience

The analyst price target for Paychex has edged down slightly, with the fair value estimate decreasing by $0.57 to $134.14. Analysts cite ongoing macroeconomic concerns and mixed signals from recent earnings results as key factors behind the adjustment.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Nov 05

PAYX: Acquisition Will Drive Broader Solution Suite And Support Margins Going Forward

The analyst price target for Paychex has shifted slightly lower, down by $0.52 to $134.71. Analysts see a stable but cautious outlook due to ongoing macroeconomic concerns and modest revenue growth expectations.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Oct 22

Analyst Commentary Highlights Balanced Views on Paychex Amid Subtle Valuation and Growth Adjustments

The analyst price target for Paychex edged up slightly to $135.23 from $135.15, as analysts balanced lower organic growth expectations and macroeconomic uncertainty with the company's resilient margins and cash flow profile. Analyst Commentary Analyst opinions on Paychex reflect a range of perspectives, balancing the company’s strong margins and free cash flow with concerns about cyclical pressures and growth variability.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Oct 08

Paycor Acquisition And AI Tools Will Redefine HCM Solutions

The analyst price target for Paychex has been lowered from approximately $145.08 to $135.15. Analysts cite ongoing revenue growth headwinds, a premium valuation, and a balanced risk/reward outlook in a challenging operating environment.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Sep 23

Paycor Acquisition And AI Tools Will Redefine HCM Solutions

Paychex’s consensus price target was revised slightly lower to $145.08 as analysts cite slower organic revenue growth, lack of FY26 guidance clarity, and a subdued sector outlook amid macroeconomic headwinds, suggesting shares may remain range-bound. Analyst Commentary Slower organic revenue growth in Management Solutions, partly attributed to integration distractions, is weighing on near-term performance and expectations.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Sep 04

Paycor Acquisition And AI Tools Will Redefine HCM Solutions

Paychex’s analyst price target remained unchanged at $147.33 as mixed sentiment—driven by weaker-than-expected Q4 results, softer revenue growth, integration concerns surrounding the Paycor deal, and uncertainty over FY26 projections—was offset by a stable client base and resilient underlying demand. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts highlight weaker-than-expected Q4 and softer organic revenue growth, with Paychex’s fiscal 2026 guidance falling below investor expectations.
Analiz Makalesi • Sep 02

Investor Optimism Abounds Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX) But Growth Is Lacking

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.3x Paychex, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PAYX ) may be sending very bearish signals at...
Analiz Makalesi • Aug 04

The Returns On Capital At Paychex (NASDAQ:PAYX) Don't Inspire Confidence

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Analiz Makalesi • Jul 11

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Paychex is US$145 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...
Analiz Makalesi • Jun 18

Here's Why We Think Paychex (NASDAQ:PAYX) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 24

Paychex: Accelerating Growth With Paycor

Summary Paychex shares trade at a premium, supported by organic growth and the Paycor acquisition, despite economic cyclicality concerns. Paychex's technology-driven growth in human capital management targets a $90 billion market, with strong client retention and consistent revenue growth. The Paycor acquisition adds 50,000 larger clients, with huge synergy potential amidst lackluster margins reported. At 27 times earnings, Paychex must deliver on integration and synergies. I'm waiting for more impact clues before reconsidering my neutral stance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 25

Paychex Inc: The Paycor Acquisition Could Be A Game Changer

Summary I recommend a buy rating for Paychex Inc. (PAYX) due to its transformative acquisition of PYCR, expanding its TAM and cross-selling opportunities. The acquisition increases PAYX's TAM by ~$10 billion, targeting mid-market clients and leveraging AI-powered HR tools for significant productivity gains. Financial synergies include $80 million in cost savings and substantial cross-selling opportunities, potentially accelerating revenue growth to high single digits or low teens. Despite the $4.1 billion price tag, the valuation is reasonable, and successful integration could narrow PAYX's valuation discount relative to peers, offering upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 08

Paychex Writes A Fat Check For Paycor HCM

Summary Paychex's acquisition of Paycor HCM for $22.50 per share led to a 3% drop in Paycor's stock, reflecting market disappointment. Despite the drop, Paychex's management expects $80 million in annual run-rate synergies and additional revenue synergies from the deal. PAYX shares have underperformed the S&P 500, but the company's fundamentals are strong, though its stock remains expensive. I maintain a 'hold' rating for Paychex and recommend a 'sell' for PYCR due to limited additional upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 20

Paychex: Payrolling In Profits, But Valuation Could Use A Check

Summary Paychex's Q2 2025 results exceeded expectations, driven by strong growth in PEO and Insurance Solutions, and a focus on AI-driven solutions and HR analytics. Despite a solid outlook for FY 2025, risks include a moderating job market and increasing competition in the HR and payroll services industry. The company's valuation is high, trading at a premium to historical and peer group multiples, making it difficult to justify paying current prices for the stock. Given the strong fundamentals but expensive valuation, I rate Paychex a 'hold'. Investors may want to avoid the stock for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 02

Paychex Q1: Did Not Put Me Over The Fence

Summary Paychex's Q1 earnings showed slight revenue and EPS growth, but not enough to change my hold rating due to the lack of significant catalysts. The expiration of the ERTC program impacted revenue growth and margins, but the company remains financially strong with substantial cash reserves. New offerings like Paychex Flex Engage and AI-driven recruiting co-pilot show innovation, but are hard to quantify in terms of sales impact. I am waiting for further margin improvements and revenue catalysts before considering an investment; maintaining a hold rating on PAYX stock for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri

NasdaqGS:PAYX - Analistlerin gelecek tahminleri ve geçmiş finansal verileri (USD Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarSerbest Nakit AkışıFaaliyetlerden NakitAvg. Analist Sayısı
5/31/20287,2422,2032,5792,70612
5/31/20276,8671,9982,3412,63518
5/31/20266,5101,7732,2902,52918
2/28/20266,3341,6372,0902,320N/A
11/30/20256,0341,5961,9962,223N/A
8/31/20255,7931,6141,8612,073N/A
5/31/20255,5721,6571,7091,901N/A
2/28/20255,4401,7401,6061,779N/A
11/30/20245,3701,7191,5701,735N/A
8/31/20245,3111,6991,5931,751N/A
5/31/20245,2781,6901,7361,898N/A
2/29/20245,2131,6611,9272,093N/A
11/30/20235,1551,6301,8341,991N/A
8/31/20235,0871,5971,8842,035N/A
5/31/20235,0071,5571,5631,706N/A
2/28/20234,9221,5031,4951,626N/A
11/30/20224,8171,4671,5351,670N/A
8/31/20224,7351,4381,3501,484N/A
5/31/20224,6121,3931,4561,590N/A
2/28/20224,4971,3591,4311,558N/A
11/30/20214,3321,2791,2601,385N/A
8/31/20214,2081,2201,3071,431N/A
5/31/20214,0571,0981,1421,260N/A
2/28/20213,9431,0551,1371,259N/A
11/30/20203,9741,0591,1851,307N/A
8/31/20203,9811,0461,2401,361N/A
5/31/20204,0411,0981,3141,441N/A
2/29/20204,1061,1081,1741,301N/A
11/30/20194,0341,078N/A1,339N/A
8/31/20193,9021,055N/A1,293N/A
5/31/20193,7731,034N/A1,272N/A
2/28/20193,6381,022N/A1,310N/A
11/30/20183,5041,064N/A1,254N/A
8/31/20183,4481,027N/A1,207N/A
5/31/20183,378994N/A1,276N/A
2/28/20183,331972N/A1,180N/A
11/30/20173,190807N/A1,066N/A
8/31/20173,159810N/A1,009N/A
5/31/20173,153826N/A960N/A
2/28/20173,107800N/A996N/A
11/30/20163,063778N/A1,012N/A
8/31/20163,014765N/A1,035N/A
5/31/20162,952757N/A1,018N/A
2/29/20162,890740N/A994N/A
11/30/20152,842729N/A910N/A
8/31/20152,796713N/A910N/A
5/31/20152,740675N/A895N/A

Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri

Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: PAYX 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 10.8% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.5% ) üzerindedir.

Kazançlar ve Piyasa: PAYX şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 10.8% ) US pazarından (yıllık 16.7% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: PAYX şirketinin kazançlarının artması bekleniyor, ancak önemli ölçüde.

Gelir ve Pazar: PAYX şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 5.4% ) US pazarından (yıllık 11.6% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: PAYX şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 5.4% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri

Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi

Gelecekteki ROE: PAYX 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde çok yüksek olması tahmin ediliyor ( 44.9 %).

Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/05/11 19:38
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/05/08 00:00
Kazançlar2026/02/28
Yıllık Kazançlar2025/05/31

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

Paychex, Inc. 35 Bu analistlerden 18, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
null nullArgus Research Company
Mark MarconBaird
Lisa Dejong EllisBernstein