TransDigm Group Gelecekteki Büyüme
Future kriter kontrolleri 1/6
TransDigm Group kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 15.9% ve 8.4% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 11.9% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 9.3% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.
Anahtar bilgiler
15.9%
Kazanç büyüme oranı
11.86%
EPS büyüme oranı
| Aerospace & Defense kazanç büyümesi | 19.0% |
| Gelir büyüme oranı | 8.4% |
| Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi | 9.32% |
| Analist kapsamı | Good |
| Son güncelleme | 21 May 2026 |
Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri
Recent updates
Analiz Makalesi • May 07
Results: TransDigm Group Incorporated Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
TransDigm Group Incorporated ( NYSE:TDG ) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 29
TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And M&A Discipline Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for TransDigm edges lower by about $15, as analysts factor in higher required returns and slightly softer margin assumptions while keeping revenue growth and P/E expectations broadly in line. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around TransDigm highlights a mix of caution and support, with several firms adjusting ratings and price targets in response to updated assumptions on required returns, margins, and execution risk after the latest quarterly report.Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
TransDigm: Commercial Exposure Drives Sell-Off, But Valuation Now Attractive
Summary TransDigm (TDG) shares have declined over 10%, but I maintain a buy rating with a $1,537 price target, implying 32% upside. Commercial aftermarket exposure presents risk from geopolitical tensions and cost inflation, but earnings estimates have held up relatively well. TDG is expected to deliver 10.5% annual sales growth and nearly 20% annual free cash flow growth through 2028, with margins dipping slightly before recovering. Despite demand risks, current valuation is oversold versus historical and peer multiples, and M&A opportunities could further enhance value. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 10
TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And M&A Discipline Will Drive Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for TransDigm Group to about $1,552 from roughly $1,591, reflecting a mix of reduced price targets following recent downgrades and initiations, alongside some upward revisions from firms that remain constructive on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split field, with some firms trimming price targets or downgrading, while others are still raising their valuation work for TransDigm Group.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 27
TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And Buybacks Will Drive Future Returns
TransDigm Group's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly higher to $1,591.25, as analysts factor in updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples following a mix of recent target hikes and cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around TransDigm Group shows a split between bullish analysts lifting price targets and more cautious voices lowering targets or moving to neutral stances.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 27
TDG: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Aftermarket Cash Flows And Buyback Capacity
The analyst derived fair value estimate for TransDigm Group has inched higher to approximately $1,586 from about $1,581, as analysts modestly raise price targets on the back of Q3 and Q4 earnings beats, resilient aftermarket profitability, and expectations for continued 20% multi year EPS growth, despite some deceleration in aftermarket growth rates and conservative forward guidance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts remain broadly constructive on TransDigm, highlighting continued earnings outperformance, resilient margins, and a compelling relative valuation profile even as growth normalizes from post pandemic highs.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 13
TDG: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Aftermarket Margins And M&A Optionality
Our revised fair value estimate for TransDigm Group edges up to $1,581 from $1,578, reflecting analysts' slightly higher price targets supported by continued earnings outperformance, resilient aftermarket fundamentals, and the optionality from future large scale M&A. Analyst Commentary Street research remains broadly constructive on TransDigm, with most recent actions involving higher price targets and reaffirmed positive ratings, even where those targets have been modestly trimmed.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 27
TDG: Multi-Year Earnings Expansion Will Rely On Margin Strength And M&A Capacity
TransDigm Group's fair value estimate has been increased by analysts to $1,577.65 from $1,557.89. This change reflects continued conviction in strong organic growth, robust earnings performance, and expectations for future margin resilience despite a mixed outlook for certain market segments.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 05
TDG: Aftermarket Demand And Acquisition Capacity Will Drive Shares Higher
Analysts have reduced their price targets for TransDigm Group. Recent estimates have moved from a range of about $1,730 to $1,385 per share, citing factors including compressed valuation multiples, shifting after-market demand, and a more uncertain outlook for large acquisitions.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 22
Analysts Adjust TransDigm Group Outlook Amid Aftermarket Strength and Softer OEM Demand
Analysts have revised TransDigm Group's price target lower, reducing the fair value from $1,586 to $1,558. This adjustment is attributed to factors such as softening commercial OEM demand, compressed EBITDA multiples, and a more cautious outlook on large acquisitions.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 08
Air Travel Demand And OEM Backlogs Will Sustain Future Upside
TransDigm Group's analyst price target has been lowered slightly from approximately $1,608 to $1,586. Analysts cite concerns around compressed EBITDA multiples and reduced Commercial OEM expectations, despite ongoing acquisition capacity and robust after-market fundamentals.Analiz Makalesi • Sep 21
TransDigm Group (NYSE:TDG) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...Anlatı Güncellemesi • Sep 04
Air Travel Demand And OEM Backlogs Will Sustain Future Upside
TransDigm Group’s price target remains steady at $1621 as weaker commercial OEM sales expectations are offset by bullish confidence in ongoing aerospace and defense strength, sector tailwinds, and the company’s resilient fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Recent reduction in price target reflects lowered sales guidance due to weaker Commercial OEM end-market expectations, driven by slower build rates and inventory destocking in the supply chain.Analiz Makalesi • Jun 29
Why TransDigm Group Incorporated (NYSE:TDG) Could Be Worth Watching
Let's talk about the popular TransDigm Group Incorporated ( NYSE:TDG ). The company's shares received a lot of...Analiz Makalesi • Jun 11
Does TransDigm Group (NYSE:TDG) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Seeking Alpha • Mar 14
TransDigm: Still A Buy Despite The Leverage And The Premium Valuation
Summary TransDigm holds a dominant market position, leveraging its pricing power to maintain high FCF margins and return capital to shareholders despite potential 2025 headwinds. 90% of its revenue comes from selling proprietary parts, ensuring FAA-certified exclusivity and pricing power. During the Q1 2025 earnings, the company showed commitment to returning capital to its shareholders with special dividend payments and share repurchases. Even though we are seeing growth in the commercial OEM segment of the business, that will be circumvented by the growth in defense spending. DOGE fears are exaggerated due to the fact that the DoD contributes less than 1% of TransDigm's revenue. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 21
TransDigm Group: Balanced Growth Outlook But Negative Near-Term Sentiment (Rating Downgrade)
Summary I recommend a hold rating for TransDigm stock due to near-term sentiment headwinds, despite strong structural tailwinds from aftermarket demand and increasing defense budgets. TDG benefits from robust air travel demand and supply chain disruptions, driving high demand for maintenance, repair, and overhaul services. TDG's defense segment is growing, supported by rising global defense spending, but regulatory scrutiny and growth deceleration pose risks. TDG trades at a premium multiple, making it less attractive now; investors should revisit once uncertainties subside or valuation improves. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 18
TransDigm: Expect Muted Upside With Balance Sheet And Regulatory Headwinds
Summary TransDigm's Q4'24 results show strong performance with a 19% EBITDA increase, driven by robust growth in Commercial OEM and Aftermarket sales. The company continues its aggressive M&A strategy, acquiring SEI Industries, an electron device business, and Raptor Scientific, adding significant high-margin revenue streams. Elevated debt levels and potential regulatory scrutiny pose risks, potentially limiting M&A flexibility and impacting future growth. Despite high-quality operations, TransDigm's valuation appears fully priced, suggesting limited near-term upside; I remain cautious and will avoid buying for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Yeni Anlatı • Sep 24
Skyrocketing Through Challenges, A Future Of Growth And Strategic Wins In Aerospace
Strong aftermarket demand and favorable aerospace market trends suggest potential for significant revenue and earnings growth.Seeking Alpha • Sep 09
TransDigm -- A Stock Every Investor Should Know
Summary TransDigm Group Incorporated excels with proprietary products and aftermarket sales, driving high margins and consistent cash flow, benefiting from growing and aging fleets. The private-equity-style model and 92 acquisitions since 1993 have generated substantial shareholder value and positioned TransDigm Group as a key aerospace supplier. Despite a high P/E ratio of 39.3x, TransDigm Group's strong growth outlook and special dividend approach make it a compelling investment. Regulatory risks and economic cycles are concerns, but TransDigm's pricing power and strategic acquisitions ensure a bright future in the aerospace industry. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaKazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri
| Tarih | Gelir | Kazançlar | Serbest Nakit Akışı | Faaliyetlerden Nakit | Avg. Analist Sayısı |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2028 | 12,174 | 3,016 | 3,220 | 3,582 | 16 |
| 9/30/2027 | 11,317 | 2,550 | 2,782 | 2,956 | 21 |
| 9/30/2026 | 10,373 | 2,052 | 2,312 | 2,445 | 20 |
| 3/28/2026 | 9,503 | 1,864 | 1,850 | 2,105 | N/A |
| 12/27/2025 | 9,110 | 1,808 | 1,878 | 2,118 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 8,831 | 1,866 | 1,816 | 2,038 | N/A |
| 6/28/2025 | 8,579 | 1,751 | 1,906 | 2,103 | N/A |
| 3/29/2025 | 8,388 | 1,720 | 1,901 | 2,080 | N/A |
| 12/28/2024 | 8,157 | 1,644 | 1,990 | 2,161 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 7,940 | 1,481 | 1,880 | 2,045 | N/A |
| 6/29/2024 | 7,606 | 1,560 | 1,774 | 1,935 | N/A |
| 3/30/2024 | 7,304 | 1,450 | 1,576 | 1,733 | N/A |
| 12/30/2023 | 6,977 | 1,351 | 1,490 | 1,634 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 6,585 | 1,260 | 1,236 | 1,375 | N/A |
| 7/1/2023 | 6,243 | 1,071 | 1,051 | 1,186 | N/A |
| 4/1/2023 | 5,897 | 958 | 961 | 1,089 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 5,632 | 853 | 921 | 1,046 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5,429 | 779 | 829 | 948 | N/A |
| 7/2/2022 | 5,198 | 762 | 853 | 964 | N/A |
| 4/2/2022 | 5,018 | 841 | 805 | 907 | N/A |
| 1/1/2022 | 4,884 | 746 | 819 | 918 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,798 | 607 | 808 | 913 | N/A |
| 7/3/2021 | 4,692 | 499 | 723 | 846 | N/A |
| 4/3/2021 | 4,496 | 178 | 876 | 991 | N/A |
| 1/2/2021 | 4,746 | 396 | 945 | 1,054 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 5,103 | 467 | 1,108 | 1,213 | N/A |
| 6/27/2020 | 5,471 | 594 | 1,154 | 1,238 | N/A |
| 3/28/2020 | 5,970 | 726 | 1,048 | 1,156 | N/A |
| 12/28/2019 | 5,695 | 604 | N/A | 1,118 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 5,223 | 728 | N/A | 1,015 | N/A |
| 6/29/2019 | 4,731 | 730 | N/A | 1,099 | N/A |
| 3/30/2019 | 4,191 | 820 | N/A | 1,021 | N/A |
| 12/29/2018 | 3,956 | 822 | N/A | 1,059 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,811 | 906 | N/A | 1,022 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,686 | 796 | N/A | 924 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,603 | 748 | N/A | 852 | N/A |
| 12/30/2017 | 3,538 | 702 | N/A | 856 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,504 | 469 | N/A | 789 | N/A |
| 7/1/2017 | 3,456 | 503 | N/A | 756 | N/A |
| 4/1/2017 | 3,356 | 494 | N/A | 787 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,284 | 480 | N/A | 730 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,171 | 583 | N/A | 683 | N/A |
| 7/2/2016 | 3,106 | 570 | N/A | 630 | N/A |
| 4/2/2016 | 3,000 | 509 | N/A | 625 | N/A |
| 1/2/2016 | 2,822 | 478 | N/A | 511 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,707 | 444 | N/A | 521 | N/A |
| 6/27/2015 | 2,540 | 410 | N/A | 565 | N/A |
Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri
Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: TDG 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 15.9% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.5% ) üzerindedir.
Kazançlar ve Piyasa: TDG şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 15.9% ) US pazarından (yıllık 16.8% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: TDG şirketinin kazançlarının artması bekleniyor, ancak önemli ölçüde.
Gelir ve Pazar: TDG şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 8.4% ) US pazarından (yıllık 11.7% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: TDG şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 8.4% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri
Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi
Gelecekteki ROE: TDG 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde düşük olması tahmin ediliyor ( 9.3 %).
Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin
Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu
| Veri | Son Güncelleme (UTC saati) |
|---|---|
| Şirket Analizi | 2026/05/25 17:52 |
| Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Kazançlar | 2026/03/28 |
| Yıllık Kazançlar | 2025/09/30 |
Veri Kaynakları
Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.
| Paket | Veri | Zaman Çerçevesi | Örnek ABD Kaynağı * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Şirket Finansalları | 10 yıl |
| |
| Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri | +3 yıl |
|
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| Piyasa Fiyatları | 30 yıl |
| |
| Sahiplik | 10 yıl |
| |
| Yönetim | 10 yıl |
| |
| Önemli Gelişmeler | 10 yıl |
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* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.
Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.
Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi
Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.
Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.
Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri
Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.
Analist Kaynakları
TransDigm Group Incorporated 39 Bu analistlerden 21, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.
| Analist | Kurum |
|---|---|
| Peter Arment | Baird |
| David Strauss | Barclays |
| Carter Copeland | Barclays |