TransDigm Group Incorporated

NYSE:TDG Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: US$72.5b

TransDigm Group Gelecekteki Büyüme

Future kriter kontrolleri 1/6

TransDigm Group kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 15.6% ve 8.4% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 10.7% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 9.3% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.

Anahtar bilgiler

15.6%

Kazanç büyüme oranı

10.75%

EPS büyüme oranı

Aerospace & Defense kazanç büyümesi18.0%
Gelir büyüme oranı8.4%
Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi9.32%
Analist kapsamı

Good

Son güncelleme08 Jul 2026

Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri

Analiz Makalesi • May 07

Results: TransDigm Group Incorporated Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

TransDigm Group Incorporated ( NYSE:TDG ) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Jul 06

TransDigm: A Good Tax-Efficient Compounder For A Taxable Account

Summary TransDigm Group stands out as a tax-efficient, elite compounder with dominant aerospace component market share and a private equity-style acquisition strategy. TDG's capital allocation favors debt repayment, accretive acquisitions, and aggressive share buybacks over regular dividends, enhancing after-tax returns for taxable accounts. Despite a premium valuation, TDG trades below its five-year average P/E and offers superior margins versus peers, supported by strong pricing power and high free cash flow conversion. Management raised fiscal 2026 guidance, targeting $10.3–$10.42B in revenue and $2.5B in free cash flow, while monitoring geopolitical and inflationary risks to aftermarket demand. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 24

TDG: Aftermarket Strength And Buybacks Will Drive Future Upside Potential

TransDigm Group's analyst fair value estimate has inched up by $0.50 to $1,524.50, reflecting a blend of recent target hikes and cuts as analysts factor in updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and future price-to-earnings (P/E) assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on TransDigm Group shows a mix of higher and lower price targets, with analysts weighing valuation, execution risk, and growth assumptions differently.
Analiz Makalesi • Jun 21

TransDigm Group (TDG) Stock Could Be 12.8% Undervalued After Q2 Results And Acquisitions

Q2 results and acquisitions put TransDigm Group (TDG) in focus TransDigm Group (TDG) is back on investors’ radar after reporting strong Q2 2026 results, raising its full year outlook, and closing a US$2.2b acquisition in the aerospace aftermarket. See our latest analysis for TransDigm Group. At a share price of US$1,328.31, TransDigm Group has seen short term momentum pick up, with a 5.75% 7 day share price return and 9.46% 30 day share price return. However, the 3 year total shareholder...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 07

TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

TransDigm Group's updated analyst price target has moved slightly lower to $1,524. This reflects analysts' adjustments to fair value, discount rate, growth assumptions, margins, and future P/E after recent mixed target changes across the Street.
Analiz Makalesi • May 07

Results: TransDigm Group Incorporated Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

TransDigm Group Incorporated ( NYSE:TDG ) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 29

TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And M&A Discipline Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for TransDigm edges lower by about $15, as analysts factor in higher required returns and slightly softer margin assumptions while keeping revenue growth and P/E expectations broadly in line. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around TransDigm highlights a mix of caution and support, with several firms adjusting ratings and price targets in response to updated assumptions on required returns, margins, and execution risk after the latest quarterly report.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 10

TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And M&A Discipline Will Drive Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for TransDigm Group to about $1,552 from roughly $1,591, reflecting a mix of reduced price targets following recent downgrades and initiations, alongside some upward revisions from firms that remain constructive on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split field, with some firms trimming price targets or downgrading, while others are still raising their valuation work for TransDigm Group.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 27

TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And Buybacks Will Drive Future Returns

TransDigm Group's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly higher to $1,591.25, as analysts factor in updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples following a mix of recent target hikes and cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around TransDigm Group shows a split between bullish analysts lifting price targets and more cautious voices lowering targets or moving to neutral stances.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 27

TDG: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Aftermarket Cash Flows And Buyback Capacity

The analyst derived fair value estimate for TransDigm Group has inched higher to approximately $1,586 from about $1,581, as analysts modestly raise price targets on the back of Q3 and Q4 earnings beats, resilient aftermarket profitability, and expectations for continued 20% multi year EPS growth, despite some deceleration in aftermarket growth rates and conservative forward guidance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts remain broadly constructive on TransDigm, highlighting continued earnings outperformance, resilient margins, and a compelling relative valuation profile even as growth normalizes from post pandemic highs.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 13

TDG: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Aftermarket Margins And M&A Optionality

Our revised fair value estimate for TransDigm Group edges up to $1,581 from $1,578, reflecting analysts' slightly higher price targets supported by continued earnings outperformance, resilient aftermarket fundamentals, and the optionality from future large scale M&A. Analyst Commentary Street research remains broadly constructive on TransDigm, with most recent actions involving higher price targets and reaffirmed positive ratings, even where those targets have been modestly trimmed.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 27

TDG: Multi-Year Earnings Expansion Will Rely On Margin Strength And M&A Capacity

TransDigm Group's fair value estimate has been increased by analysts to $1,577.65 from $1,557.89. This change reflects continued conviction in strong organic growth, robust earnings performance, and expectations for future margin resilience despite a mixed outlook for certain market segments.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 05

TDG: Aftermarket Demand And Acquisition Capacity Will Drive Shares Higher

Analysts have reduced their price targets for TransDigm Group. Recent estimates have moved from a range of about $1,730 to $1,385 per share, citing factors including compressed valuation multiples, shifting after-market demand, and a more uncertain outlook for large acquisitions.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 22

Analysts Adjust TransDigm Group Outlook Amid Aftermarket Strength and Softer OEM Demand

Analysts have revised TransDigm Group's price target lower, reducing the fair value from $1,586 to $1,558. This adjustment is attributed to factors such as softening commercial OEM demand, compressed EBITDA multiples, and a more cautious outlook on large acquisitions.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 08

Air Travel Demand And OEM Backlogs Will Sustain Future Upside

TransDigm Group's analyst price target has been lowered slightly from approximately $1,608 to $1,586. Analysts cite concerns around compressed EBITDA multiples and reduced Commercial OEM expectations, despite ongoing acquisition capacity and robust after-market fundamentals.
Analiz Makalesi • Sep 21

TransDigm Group (NYSE:TDG) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Sep 04

Air Travel Demand And OEM Backlogs Will Sustain Future Upside

TransDigm Group’s price target remains steady at $1621 as weaker commercial OEM sales expectations are offset by bullish confidence in ongoing aerospace and defense strength, sector tailwinds, and the company’s resilient fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Recent reduction in price target reflects lowered sales guidance due to weaker Commercial OEM end-market expectations, driven by slower build rates and inventory destocking in the supply chain.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 14

TransDigm: Still A Buy Despite The Leverage And The Premium Valuation

Summary TransDigm holds a dominant market position, leveraging its pricing power to maintain high FCF margins and return capital to shareholders despite potential 2025 headwinds. 90% of its revenue comes from selling proprietary parts, ensuring FAA-certified exclusivity and pricing power. During the Q1 2025 earnings, the company showed commitment to returning capital to its shareholders with special dividend payments and share repurchases. Even though we are seeing growth in the commercial OEM segment of the business, that will be circumvented by the growth in defense spending. DOGE fears are exaggerated due to the fact that the DoD contributes less than 1% of TransDigm's revenue. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 21

TransDigm Group: Balanced Growth Outlook But Negative Near-Term Sentiment (Rating Downgrade)

Summary I recommend a hold rating for TransDigm stock due to near-term sentiment headwinds, despite strong structural tailwinds from aftermarket demand and increasing defense budgets. TDG benefits from robust air travel demand and supply chain disruptions, driving high demand for maintenance, repair, and overhaul services. TDG's defense segment is growing, supported by rising global defense spending, but regulatory scrutiny and growth deceleration pose risks. TDG trades at a premium multiple, making it less attractive now; investors should revisit once uncertainties subside or valuation improves. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 18

TransDigm: Expect Muted Upside With Balance Sheet And Regulatory Headwinds

Summary TransDigm's Q4'24 results show strong performance with a 19% EBITDA increase, driven by robust growth in Commercial OEM and Aftermarket sales. The company continues its aggressive M&A strategy, acquiring SEI Industries, an electron device business, and Raptor Scientific, adding significant high-margin revenue streams. Elevated debt levels and potential regulatory scrutiny pose risks, potentially limiting M&A flexibility and impacting future growth. Despite high-quality operations, TransDigm's valuation appears fully priced, suggesting limited near-term upside; I remain cautious and will avoid buying for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri

NYSE:TDG - Analistlerin gelecek tahminleri ve geçmiş finansal verileri (USD Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarSerbest Nakit AkışıFaaliyetlerden NakitAvg. Analist Sayısı
9/30/202812,2213,0293,3313,73714
9/30/202711,3462,5582,7872,94320
9/30/202610,3792,0572,3052,41720
3/28/20269,5031,8641,8502,105N/A
12/27/20259,1101,8081,8782,118N/A
9/30/20258,8311,8661,8162,038N/A
6/28/20258,5791,7511,9062,103N/A
3/29/20258,3881,7201,9012,080N/A
12/28/20248,1571,6441,9902,161N/A
9/30/20247,9401,4811,8802,045N/A
6/29/20247,6061,5601,7741,935N/A
3/30/20247,3041,4501,5761,733N/A
12/30/20236,9771,3511,4901,634N/A
9/30/20236,5851,2601,2361,375N/A
7/1/20236,2431,0711,0511,186N/A
4/1/20235,8979589611,089N/A
12/31/20225,6328539211,046N/A
9/30/20225,429779829948N/A
7/2/20225,198762853964N/A
4/2/20225,018841805907N/A
1/1/20224,884746819918N/A
9/30/20214,798607808913N/A
7/3/20214,692499723846N/A
4/3/20214,496178876991N/A
1/2/20214,7463969451,054N/A
9/30/20205,1034671,1081,213N/A
6/27/20205,4715941,1541,238N/A
3/28/20205,9707261,0481,156N/A
12/28/20195,695604N/A1,118N/A
9/30/20195,223728N/A1,015N/A
6/29/20194,731730N/A1,099N/A
3/30/20194,191820N/A1,021N/A
12/29/20183,956822N/A1,059N/A
9/30/20183,811906N/A1,022N/A
6/30/20183,686796N/A924N/A
3/31/20183,603748N/A852N/A
12/30/20173,538702N/A856N/A
9/30/20173,504469N/A789N/A
7/1/20173,456503N/A756N/A
4/1/20173,356494N/A787N/A
12/31/20163,284480N/A730N/A
9/30/20163,171583N/A683N/A
7/2/20163,106570N/A630N/A
4/2/20163,000509N/A625N/A
1/2/20162,822478N/A511N/A
9/30/20152,707444N/A521N/A

Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri

Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: TDG 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 15.6% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.5% ) üzerindedir.

Kazançlar ve Piyasa: TDG şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 15.6% ) US pazarından (yıllık 18.2% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: TDG şirketinin kazançlarının artması bekleniyor, ancak önemli ölçüde.

Gelir ve Pazar: TDG şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 8.4% ) US pazarından (yıllık 12.9% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: TDG şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 8.4% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri

Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi

Gelecekteki ROE: TDG 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde düşük olması tahmin ediliyor ( 9.3 %).

Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/07/09 04:25
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/07/09 00:00
Kazançlar2026/03/28
Yıllık Kazançlar2025/09/30

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntıları GitHub sayfamızda mevcuttur; ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınıza dair kılavuzlarımız ve YouTube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

TransDigm Group Incorporated 37 Bu analistlerden 20, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

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