Northrop Grumman Gelecekteki Büyüme
Future kriter kontrolleri 1/6
Northrop Grumman kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 2.6% ve 5.2% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 3.1% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 21.2% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.
Anahtar bilgiler
2.6%
Kazanç büyüme oranı
3.13%
EPS büyüme oranı
| Aerospace & Defense kazanç büyümesi | 19.0% |
| Gelir büyüme oranı | 5.2% |
| Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi | 21.18% |
| Analist kapsamı | Good |
| Son güncelleme | 21 May 2026 |
Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri
Recent updates
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 18
NOC: Sector Pullback And Space AI Progress Will Drive Future Returns
Northrop Grumman's analyst price targets have shifted lower, with the fair value estimate moving from about $721.78 to $706.82 as analysts adjust models in light of recent sector-wide target cuts and a more cautious outlook on the timing of any recovery. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Northrop Grumman points to a mixed setup, with several firms revising their models and adjusting price targets while keeping a close eye on sector-wide trends and geopolitical risk.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 26
NOC: War Time Demand And Space AI Progress Will Shape Returns
Northrop Grumman's analyst price target has been cut by about $14, as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate and updated Street targets that reflect several recent cuts along with earlier increases. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Northrop Grumman shows a mix of optimistic and cautious views, with several firms adjusting price targets both higher and lower over the past few months.Seeking Alpha • Apr 23
Northrop Grumman: The Nuclear Triad Winner Is Now A Strong Buy
Summary Northrop Grumman is upgraded to Strong Buy after a 16% stock decline, and is now trading materially below intrinsic value. NOC's Q1 2026 results showed double-digit organic sales growth, but margin expansion remains muted due to ramp-up inefficiencies and development phase programs. 2026 guidance remains unchanged, with sales expected at $43.5–$44 billion and EPS at $27.40–$27.90, reflecting a ramp-up year rather than a breakout. Valuation disconnect versus peers and stable long-term estimates support a $711.67 base case price target (21% upside), with further upside possible. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 11
NOC: Sector Momentum And Policy Uncertainty Will Shape War Time Returns
Analysts have lifted the implied fair value for Northrop Grumman by about $10 to roughly $736 per share, reflecting Street research that cites updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and sector momentum in recent price target revisions across firms such as Jefferies, Citi and others. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a cluster of higher price targets on Northrop Grumman, with several firms revising their models after updating assumptions for revenue, margins and sector trends.
Yeni Anlatı • Mar 29
NOC: The Architect of the New Nuclear Triad
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) is currently solidifying its position as the premier partner for the United States' long-term strategic modernization. As of the market close on March 27, 2026, the stock is trading at $678.74 USD on the NYSE, experiencing a period of technical consolidation after hitting a 52-week high of $774 earlier in the year.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 28
NOC: Future Defense Budgets And Policy Limits Will Shape Returns
Analysts have slightly raised price targets for Northrop Grumman, with the model fair value estimate moving by about $1 to $725.72. This change reflects refinements to assumptions around discount rates, long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples in light of a series of recent target increases across the Street.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 11
NOC: Future Defense Budgets And China Sanctions Will Shape Returns
Analysts have increased their average price targets on Northrop Grumman by triple-digit dollar amounts across multiple firms, citing updated sector estimates, refined modeling assumptions, and a modest adjustment to discount rates and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around sizable price target revisions and refreshed models, giving you a clearer view of how the Street is framing risk and reward for Northrop Grumman right now.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 25
NOC: Future Defense Budgets And China Sanctions Will Shape Cash Flow
Our analyst price target for Northrop Grumman has been adjusted higher by about $3 to reflect a modestly higher fair value estimate and slightly richer future P/E assumptions, in line with a broad wave of recent target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary The recent wave of target changes reflects a cluster of fresh views on Northrop Grumman, with several firms updating models and valuation frameworks at roughly the same time.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 09
NOC: Future Defense Budgets And Sanctions Will Shape Cash Flow Durability
Analysts have lifted their price targets on Northrop Grumman in recent weeks, and our fair value estimate has moved up by about US$41 to US$721. This reflects slightly lower assumed discount rates, modestly adjusted long term growth and margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple in line with updated Street research.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 25
NOC: Future Defense Budgets And Buyback Curbs Will Shape Cash Flow Durability
Analysts have lifted their price targets for Northrop Grumman, supporting a fair value move from about US$665.20 to roughly US$680.44 as they factor in updated sector views, modestly higher projected revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around higher price targets and refreshed sector views, with analysts adjusting their models for Northrop Grumman as new policy headlines and defense budget discussions emerge.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 11
NOC: Future Defense Budgets And Buyback Limits Will Shape Cash Flow Durability
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Northrop Grumman to about $665 per share from roughly $663, reflecting recent price target increases anchored in expectations for mid single digit organic growth, relatively stable guidance into 2026, and potential budget tailwinds for key defense programs such as Sentinel, B 21, TACAMO, E 2D, and related nuclear deterrence and munitions work, while also factoring in scenario analysis around future buyback constraints. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Northrop Grumman, with optimism around growth visibility and program funding set against questions about future capital returns and policy risk.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 18
NOC: Future Defense Budgets Will Drive Durable Cash Flows And Share Outperformance
Analysts have nudged their consolidated price target for Northrop Grumman modestly higher to reflect stable mid single digit organic growth, improving long term cash flow visibility from programs like B 21 and Sentinel, and increased budget support across key defense platforms, while fair value edged slightly lower from approximately $667 to $663 per share as a lower discount rate and marginally stronger profit margin outlook were largely offset by a slightly reduced future P E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight that Northrop Grumman's outlook remains steady, with guidance pointing to mid single digit organic growth through 2026 and visibility into long duration defense programs that underpin both revenue and margin durability.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 03
NOC: Future Defense Budgets Will Support Cash Flows And Share Outperformance
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Northrop Grumman to approximately $670 per share, reflecting confidence in the company’s stable mid single digit growth outlook, expanding 2026 budget visibility across key programs, and improving long term cash generation from platforms like B 21 and Sentinel. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a generally constructive stance on Northrop Grumman, with multiple price target increases clustered around the mid to high $600s and at least one upgrade to a Buy rating.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 19
NOC: Defense Spending Increases Will Drive Outperformance Amid Lower Execution Risks
Northrop Grumman’s analyst price target has been raised by analysts from approximately $665 to $667 per share. This reflects stable outlooks and optimism over growth in key defense programs and future cash generation.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 05
NOC: Multi-Year Budget Allocations Will Likely Drive Strong Defense Sector Upside
Northrop Grumman's analyst price target was recently raised by analysts from approximately $647 to $665 per share. The increase reflects confidence in the company's stable growth outlook, strong alignment with strategic defense priorities, and anticipated benefits from new budget allocations and program execution.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 22
Analysts Boost Northrop Grumman Price Target Amid Defense Growth and Mixed Sector Outlook
Northrop Grumman's analyst price target was raised from approximately $616 to $647. Analysts cited increased confidence in the company's long-term defense program exposure and strong positioning within key Department of Defense budget priorities.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Oct 08
US And Allied Defense Budgets Will Unlock New Opportunities
Northrop Grumman’s analyst price target has been raised from $603.32 to $615.56, reflecting analysts’ increased confidence in the company’s improving revenue growth, expanding profit margins, and favorable positioning within defense sector budgets. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst research has showcased a largely optimistic outlook on Northrop Grumman, with multiple firms raising their price targets and affirming positive ratings.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Sep 06
US And Allied Defense Budgets Will Unlock New Opportunities
Analysts have raised Northrop Grumman’s price target to $603.32, citing accelerating revenue growth tied to Department of Defense priorities, robust international sales momentum, and strong Q2 performance, while valuation concerns and uncertainty around future earnings temper some optimism. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight accelerating revenue growth projected for the second half of 2025, underpinned by alignment with Department of Defense budget priorities and management’s positive outlook.Analiz Makalesi • Jul 06
An Intrinsic Calculation For Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE:NOC) Suggests It's 21% Undervalued
Key Insights Northrop Grumman's estimated fair value is US$637 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Northrop...Analiz Makalesi • Jun 20
Does Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...Analiz Makalesi • May 27
Northrop Grumman's (NYSE:NOC) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
The board of Northrop Grumman Corporation ( NYSE:NOC ) has announced that the dividend on 18th of June will be...Seeking Alpha • Apr 25
Northrop Grumman: B-21 Blow Triggers Earnings Disappointment
Summary Northrop Grumman's Q1 earnings missed expectations due to significant cost growth on the B-21 program, leading to a 49% profit decline. Despite a challenging environment, the company maintained sales guidance but lowered its profit outlook, reflecting B-21 charges and cost pressures. The stock is downgraded to hold due to high valuation and ongoing cost issues, despite the potential for future cost efficiencies and production rate increases. Northrop Grumman's 21-year dividend growth streak is commendable. But current stock levels are considered pricey with limited upside absent multiple expansions. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 18
Northrop Grumman Q1 Preview: A Hedge Amid Global Restructuring (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Northrop Grumman's $91.5B backlog (+9% YoY) is driven by B-21, E-130J, and NATO demand offers strong 2025 revenue visibility despite modest 3% sales growth. Trading at 19x forward EPS vs. 5Y avg of 17.5x; base-case PT of $585 reflects 8% upside on $28.55 EPS amid macro tailwinds. DOGE-driven budget risks, drone/AI disruptors like Anduril, and reliance on U.S. contracts (~85% revenue) temper alpha expectations. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 31
Weighing Northrop Grumman As The F/A-XX Program Winner (Rating Downgrade)
Summary In this update, I will take a closer look at the Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) initiative and the role Northrop Grumman Corporation could play in it. I focus on the U.S. Navy's F/A-XX program, the winner of which has not yet been announced. I give reasons why I believe that Northrop could be selected as the prime contractor for this prestigious project. At the same time, I explain why I chose not to include potential cash flows associated with the F/A-XX program in my updated valuation assessment of NOC shares. I give a brief update on my current stance on NOC stock and whether I am currently increasing my NOC position. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 24
Northrop Grumman: The Forgotten Winner Of Boeing's F-47
Summary Boeing's win of the US Air Force NGAD contract is significant, marking its first clean-sheet fighter jet design, estimated to be worth more than $300 billion. The NGAD program includes two distinct fighter jets for the US Air Force and Navy, avoiding past complexities seen with the F-35's commonality approach. Northrop Grumman, with its historical expertise and current success in digital engineering, is well positioned to win the F/A-XX contract, revitalizing its fighter jet capabilities. Awarding the F/A-XX to Northrop Grumman would ensure healthy competition among three major defense contractors, balancing cost and schedule effectively. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 09
Northrop Grumman: Buy The Dip As Recent Contract Wins Could Drive Growth
Summary Northrop Grumman gets prior buy rating reaffirmed, agreeing with today's bullish consensus from Wall St. and SA analysts. With major recent contract wins in the billions-of-dollars range, strong margins, proven dividend growth, and strong credit ratings, this one is a winner. The firm's globally diversified portfolio and market penetration could take advantage of heightened defense spending in Europe. Recent talk of US defense cuts can pose headwinds if they materialize, while another risk is cost overruns on existing contracts. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 31
Northrop Grumman: Technological Innovation Can Fuel Future Success
Summary Northrop Grumman is a strong long-term investment due to its strong market position, fair valuation, and expected growth in the aerospace and defense sector. NOC's advancements in A.I. and autonomous systems will drive demand for modern military equipment, boosting revenue and margins. The current political climate and global tensions support steady defense spending, benefiting NOC's innovative technology and product offerings. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 12
Northrop Grumman: Double-Digit Free Cash Flow And Why I Am Buying More
Summary Northrop Grumman's EBITDA growth is projected to be mid-single digits, while free cash flow growth is expected to exceed 15% annually through 2026. Despite share repurchases, Northrop Grumman's stock price has declined, but the company has a strong 21-year dividend growth track record. Key growth drivers include strong demand for defense equipment, space-based defense solutions, and involvement in hypersonics and major defense programs. Northrop Grumman stock is undervalued compared to peers, with a conservative price target of $550 for 2025, providing a 15.6% upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 08
Northrop Grumman Could Offer Investors A Lucrative Return
Summary Northrop Grumman's revenue per share has grown at 9.42% annually, since FY 2014; however, its gross profit margin and return on invested capital have shown concerning trends. The company pays a quarterly dividend of $2.06, with a current yield of 1.58%, and has room for future dividend growth. Recent earnings report showed a 13% increase in EPS and positive segment performance, leading to a 3% stock price rise. Valuation suggests NOC is trading at a 14% discount to fair value, making it a Buy with a long-term expected return of 34.12%. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 13
Northrop Grumman: A High-Flying Defense Stock For Total Return Investors
Summary Northrop Grumman offers a balanced investment profile with growth and income potential, boasting a strong backlog and impressive revenue growth across key segments. The company is well-positioned with a $83 billion backlog and favorable U.S. defense budget outlook, supporting sustained performance and growth. NOC's valuation at a forward PE of 21 is justified by its solid fundamentals, growing global defense needs, and high single-digit EPS growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 03
Northrop Grumman Doesn't Need War To Be A Great Investment
Summary Global geopolitical tensions are high, but I don't foresee a full-scale global war. Northrop Grumman's innovation-driven growth, anti-cyclical demand, and expanding international programs position it well for sustained revenue and technological leadership. Despite current high valuations, NOC's strong fundamentals, dividend growth, and buybacks make it a compelling buy on corrections. Elevated global tensions and NATO's need for innovation support resilient demand for NOC, enhancing its stability and long-term growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaKazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri
| Tarih | Gelir | Kazançlar | Serbest Nakit Akışı | Faaliyetlerden Nakit | Avg. Analist Sayısı |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 49,657 | 4,552 | 3,644 | 5,652 | 17 |
| 12/31/2027 | 46,833 | 4,234 | 3,453 | 5,372 | 21 |
| 12/31/2026 | 43,984 | 3,985 | 3,349 | 5,189 | 21 |
| 3/31/2026 | 42,367 | 4,576 | 3,305 | 4,666 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 41,954 | 4,182 | 3,307 | 4,757 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 40,928 | 4,019 | 1,834 | 3,438 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 40,501 | 3,945 | 1,308 | 2,972 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 40,368 | 3,711 | 1,776 | 3,529 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 41,033 | 4,174 | 2,621 | 4,388 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 40,985 | 2,375 | 2,486 | 4,240 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 40,764 | 2,286 | 2,625 | 4,377 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 40,122 | 2,158 | 2,135 | 3,871 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 39,290 | 2,056 | 2,100 | 3,875 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 38,685 | 4,671 | 2,092 | 3,696 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 37,881 | 4,649 | 2,262 | 3,803 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 37,106 | 4,783 | 1,187 | 2,687 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 36,602 | 4,896 | 1,466 | 2,901 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 35,208 | 5,526 | 556 | 2,092 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 34,957 | 5,674 | 433 | 1,920 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 35,307 | 5,765 | 1,691 | 3,145 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 35,667 | 7,005 | 2,152 | 3,567 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 37,240 | 4,625 | 2,453 | 3,727 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 37,603 | 4,548 | 2,609 | 3,923 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 37,336 | 4,516 | 3,879 | 5,232 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 36,799 | 3,189 | 2,885 | 4,305 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 35,308 | 2,450 | 3,868 | 5,167 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 34,700 | 2,397 | 3,678 | 4,947 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 34,272 | 2,253 | 2,965 | 4,217 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 33,841 | 2,248 | N/A | 4,297 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 33,276 | 3,013 | N/A | 4,210 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 32,886 | 3,324 | N/A | 3,883 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 31,549 | 3,252 | N/A | 3,151 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 30,095 | 3,229 | N/A | 3,827 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 28,491 | 3,894 | N/A | 3,057 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 26,975 | 3,293 | N/A | 3,183 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 26,329 | 3,059 | N/A | 2,815 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 26,004 | 2,869 | N/A | 2,613 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 25,849 | 2,373 | N/A | 2,537 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 25,435 | 2,332 | N/A | 2,337 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 24,962 | 2,294 | N/A | 2,434 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 24,706 | 2,043 | N/A | 2,813 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 23,805 | 2,134 | N/A | 2,915 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 23,629 | 2,048 | N/A | 2,734 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 23,525 | 2,062 | N/A | 2,756 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 23,526 | 1,990 | N/A | 2,162 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 23,940 | 2,037 | N/A | 2,019 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 23,945 | 1,994 | N/A | 2,395 | N/A |
Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri
Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: NOC 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 2.6% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.5% ) altındadır.
Kazançlar ve Piyasa: NOC şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 2.6% ) US pazarından (yıllık 16.8% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: NOC şirketinin kazançlarının artması bekleniyor, ancak önemli ölçüde.
Gelir ve Pazar: NOC şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 5.2% ) US pazarından (yıllık 11.7% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: NOC şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 5.2% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri
Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi
Gelecekteki ROE: NOC 'in Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde yüksek olması tahmin ediliyor ( 21.2 %)
Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin
Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu
| Veri | Son Güncelleme (UTC saati) |
|---|---|
| Şirket Analizi | 2026/05/24 18:47 |
| Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Kazançlar | 2026/03/31 |
| Yıllık Kazançlar | 2025/12/31 |
Veri Kaynakları
Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.
| Paket | Veri | Zaman Çerçevesi | Örnek ABD Kaynağı * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Şirket Finansalları | 10 yıl |
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| Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri | +3 yıl |
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| Piyasa Fiyatları | 30 yıl |
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| Sahiplik | 10 yıl |
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| Yönetim | 10 yıl |
| |
| Önemli Gelişmeler | 10 yıl |
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* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.
Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.
Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi
Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.
Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.
Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri
Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.
Analist Kaynakları
Northrop Grumman Corporation 35 Bu analistlerden 21, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.
| Analist | Kurum |
|---|---|
| John Eade | Argus Research Company |
| Peter Arment | Baird |
| Joseph Campbell | Barclays |