New Risk • May 05
New major risk - Financial position The company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow trend. Free cash flow: -zł19m This is considered a major risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-zł19m free cash flow). Minor Risks Revenue is less than US$5m (zł16m revenue, or US$4.3m). Market cap is less than US$100m (zł158.3m market cap, or US$43.5m). Reported Earnings • May 05
Full year 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations Full year 2025 results: zł8.80 loss per share (further deteriorated from zł8.33 loss in FY 2024). Revenue: zł15.6m (up 14% from FY 2024). Net loss: zł23.3m (loss widened 5.7% from FY 2024). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 11%. Revenue is forecast to grow 64% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 8.7% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 43 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. New Risk • May 04
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings have declined by 36% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings have declined by 36% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on current free cash flow (-zł19m). Revenue is less than US$5m (zł18m revenue, or US$5.0m). Market cap is less than US$100m (zł151.9m market cap, or US$41.9m). Reported Earnings • Nov 27
Third quarter 2025 earnings released: zł1.25 loss per share (vs zł3.29 loss in 3Q 2024) Third quarter 2025 results: zł1.25 loss per share (improved from zł3.29 loss in 3Q 2024). Revenue: zł5.54m (up 379% from 3Q 2024). Net loss: zł3.31m (loss narrowed 57% from 3Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 66% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.3% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Poland. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 75 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Major Estimate Revision • Oct 16
Consensus revenue estimates fall by 30% The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from zł22.4m to zł15.7m. Forecast losses increased from -zł6.88 to -zł7.96 per share. Electronic industry in Poland expected to see average net income growth of 45% next year. Consensus price target down from zł74.50 to zł65.50. Share price fell 5.4% to zł67.00 over the past week. New Risk • Oct 15
New minor risk - Profitability The company is currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next year. Trailing 12-month net loss: zł25m Forecast net loss in 1 year: zł13m This is considered a minor risk. Companies that are not profitable are more likely to be burning through cash and less likely to be well established. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. Without profits, the company is under pressure to grow significantly while potentially having to reduce costs and possibly needing to take on debt or raise capital to remain afloat. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on current free cash flow (-zł23m). Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable next year (zł13m net loss next year). Revenue is less than US$5m (zł14m revenue, or US$3.7m). Market cap is less than US$100m (zł179.3m market cap, or US$49.0m). Reported Earnings • Sep 26
Second quarter 2025 earnings released: zł0.11 loss per share (vs zł1.95 loss in 2Q 2024) Second quarter 2025 results: zł0.11 loss per share. Revenue: zł3.58m (up 11% from 2Q 2024). Net loss: zł5.55m (loss widened 21% from 2Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 65% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.4% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Poland. New Risk • Jun 22
New major risk - Financial position The company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow trend. Free cash flow: -zł24m This is considered a major risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-zł24m free cash flow). Earnings have declined by 7.3% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risks Revenue is less than US$5m (zł13m revenue, or US$3.6m). Market cap is less than US$100m (zł223.5m market cap, or US$60.3m). New Risk • May 30
New minor risk - Financial position The company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow. Free cash flow: -zł24m This is considered a minor risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on current free cash flow (-zł24m). Revenue is less than US$5m (zł13m revenue, or US$3.6m). Market cap is less than US$100m (zł225.1m market cap, or US$60.3m). Reported Earnings • May 04
Full year 2024 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat Full year 2024 results: zł9.73 loss per share (further deteriorated from zł2.11 loss in FY 2023). Revenue: zł13.7m (down 11% from FY 2023). Net loss: zł22.1m (loss widened 355% from FY 2023). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 15%. Earnings per share (EPS) were mostly in line with analyst estimates. Revenue is forecast to grow 87% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 7.8% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 60% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 28% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Duyuru • Jan 23
XTPL S.A. Maintains Sales Guidance for the Year 2026 XTPL S.A. maintained sales guidance for the year 2026. For the year, the company maintains its goal to achieve PLN 100 million in commercial sales in 2026. Reported Earnings • Nov 08
Third quarter 2024 earnings released: zł3.29 loss per share (vs zł0.37 loss in 3Q 2023) Third quarter 2024 results: zł3.29 loss per share (further deteriorated from zł0.37 loss in 3Q 2023). Revenue: zł1.16m (down 71% from 3Q 2023). Net loss: zł7.74m (loss widened zł6.90m from 3Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 94% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.2% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Poland. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 29% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 26% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. New Risk • Oct 02
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Polish stocks, typically moving 6.8% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on current free cash flow (-zł22m). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.8% average weekly change). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (2.1% increase in shares outstanding). Revenue is less than US$5m (zł15m revenue, or US$3.8m). Market cap is less than US$100m (zł236.0m market cap, or US$60.7m). New Risk • Sep 24
New minor risk - Financial position The company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow. Free cash flow: -zł22m This is considered a minor risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on current free cash flow (-zł22m). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (2.1% increase in shares outstanding). Revenue is less than US$5m (zł15m revenue, or US$3.9m). Market cap is less than US$100m (zł213.8m market cap, or US$56.2m). Price Target Changed • Jul 25
Price target decreased by 30% to zł152 Down from zł216, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 33% above last closing price of zł114. Stock is down 34% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of zł6.34 next year compared to a net loss per share of zł2.11 last year. Duyuru • Jun 05
XTPL S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 28, 2024 XTPL S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 28, 2024. Reported Earnings • May 02
Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Full year 2023 results: zł2.11 loss per share (further deteriorated from zł1.11 loss in FY 2022). Revenue: zł15.5m (up 21% from FY 2022). Net loss: zł4.85m (loss widened 115% from FY 2022). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 18%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates significantly. Revenue is forecast to grow 58% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 5.9% decline forecast for the Electronic industry in Poland. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 52% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 22% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Reported Earnings • Nov 24
Third quarter 2023 earnings released: zł0.37 loss per share (vs zł0.29 profit in 3Q 2022) Third quarter 2023 results: zł0.37 loss per share (down from zł0.29 profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue: zł3.94m (up 5.5% from 3Q 2022). Net loss: zł843.0k (down 241% from profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 56% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.5% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 61% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 26% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Price Target Changed • Oct 18
Price target decreased by 19% to zł170 Down from zł210, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of zł167. Stock is up 174% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of zł0.22 next year compared to a net loss per share of zł1.11 last year. Breakeven Date Change • Sep 21
Forecast to breakeven in 2024 The analyst covering XTPL expects the company to break even for the first time. New forecast suggests the company will make a profit of zł3.05m in 2024. Average annual earnings growth of 122% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule. New Risk • Aug 06
New minor risk - Shareholder dilution The company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 14% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (9.5% average weekly change). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (14% increase in shares outstanding). Revenue is less than US$5m (zł12m revenue, or US$3.0m). Market cap is less than US$100m (zł379.2m market cap, or US$94.1m). Duyuru • Jun 13
XTPL S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 30, 2023 XTPL S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 30, 2023, at 12:00 Central European Standard Time. Reported Earnings • Sep 23
Second quarter 2022 earnings released Second quarter 2022 results: Revenue: zł3.17m (up zł3.11m from 2Q 2021). Net loss: zł90.0k (loss narrowed 96% from 2Q 2021). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 56% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 21% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Price Target Changed • Apr 27
Price target increased to zł225 Up from zł210, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 284% above last closing price of zł58.60. Stock is down 26% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of zł4.76 next year compared to a net loss per share of zł4.23 last year. Reported Earnings • Sep 29
Second quarter 2021 earnings released: zł1.18 loss per share (vs zł1.06 loss in 2Q 2020) Second quarter 2021 results: Net loss: zł2.40m (loss widened 19% from 2Q 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 29% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Reported Earnings • May 30
First quarter 2021 earnings released: zł1.11 loss per share (vs zł1.81 loss in 1Q 2020) First quarter 2021 results: Net loss: zł2.25m (loss narrowed 35% from 1Q 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 15% per year but the company’s share price has remained flat, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Is New 90 Day High Low • Mar 08
New 90-day low: zł65.00 The company is down 17% from its price of zł78.00 on 08 December 2020. The Polish market is up 4.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Electronic industry, which is up 20% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 30
New 90-day low: zł66.60 The company is down 1.0% from its price of zł67.40 on 30 October 2020. The Polish market is up 27% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Electronic industry, which is up 19% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 23
New 90-day low: zł67.20 The company is down 23% from its price of zł86.80 on 23 September 2020. The Polish market is up 12% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Electronic industry, which is up 3.0% over the same period. Reported Earnings • Nov 28
Third quarter 2020 earnings released: zł0.42 loss per share Third quarter 2020 results: Net loss: zł956.0k (loss narrowed 67% from 3Q 2019). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 46% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 7% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 29
New 90-day low: zł68.00 The company is down 16% from its price of zł81.00 on 30 July 2020. The Polish market is down 13% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Electronic industry, which is down 1.0% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 09
New 90-day low: zł80.00 The company is down 28% from its price of zł111 on 10 July 2020. The Polish market is down 3.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Electronic industry, which is up 2.0% over the same period. Reported Earnings • Sep 28
First half earnings released Over the last 12 months the company has reported total losses of zł13.1m, with losses narrowing by 37% from the prior year.