THK Co., Ltd.

TSE:6481 Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: JP¥792.5b

THK Gelecekteki Büyüme

Future kriter kontrolleri 3/6

THK kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 17.9% ve 5.9% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 20.4% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 13.2% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.

Anahtar bilgiler

17.9%

Kazanç büyüme oranı

20.41%

EPS büyüme oranı

Machinery kazanç büyümesi10.2%
Gelir büyüme oranı5.9%
Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi13.16%
Analist kapsamı

Good

Son güncelleme28 May 2026

Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri

Recent updates

Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 10

6481: Post Automotive Exit Re Rating Looks Vulnerable To Lower Future P E

Analysts have lifted their price target on THK stock to ¥7,500 from ¥5,200, pointing to updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. These changes reflect a more balanced view of demand beyond the current AI spending cycle.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 26

6481: Upgraded Margin Outlook And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support Stronger Earnings Base

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for THK from ¥6,020 to ¥9,550, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers of the new price target. What's in the News THK revised consolidated guidance for the six months ending June 30, 2026, now expecting revenue of ¥138,000 million, operating income of ¥15,400 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥10,500 million, compared with prior guidance of ¥127,000 million, ¥10,200 million, and ¥8,300 million respectively (Key Developments).
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 06

6481: Higher Assumed P/E Will Likely Limit Future Equity Returns

Analysts have raised their price target on THK to ¥3,787 from ¥2,999, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and an increased future P/E multiple. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 20, 2026 to consider disposing of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (Board Meeting).
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 21

6481: Stable Assumptions And Governance Moves Will Shape Balanced Future Outlook

Analysts have kept their ¥5,376 price target on THK steady, with only small adjustments to assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that fine tune rather than reset their view on the stock. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 20, 2026, with an agenda item to consider disposal of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (Key Developments).
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 07

6481: Higher Profitability Assumptions And Capital Moves Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for THK from about ¥4,400 to roughly ¥5,400, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers behind the higher price target. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 20, 2026 to consider disposal of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (company board meeting) Resolution passed on February 19, 2026 to change THK's accounting auditor from Grant Thornton Taiyo LLC, with a proposal for a new auditor to be submitted at the 56th general shareholders meeting on March 20, 2026 (Audit & Supervisory Committee meeting) Board meeting held on February 12, 2026 to consider and approve Special Measures for the Next Career Support Program for employees, indicating ongoing adjustments in workforce and human capital policies (company board meeting) Board meeting on February 2, 2026 to review transfer of shares of consolidated subsidiaries and assignment of receivables, indicating changes in group structure and internal financing arrangements (company board meeting) Valuation Changes Fair Value: raised from about ¥4,441 to roughly ¥5,376, reflecting higher assumptions in the model.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 24

6481: Higher Margin Outlook And Governance Changes Will Set Up A Stronger Earnings Base

Analysts have raised their price target for THK to ¥6,020 from ¥5,310, citing updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, a stronger profit margin outlook, a slightly lower discount rate, and a revised future P/E expectation. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 20, 2026, to consider the disposal of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (Key Developments).
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 09

6481: Lower Profit Margin Outlook Will Pressure Future Equity Returns

Analysts have lifted their price target on THK from about ¥2,857 to roughly ¥2,999, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and a higher expected future P/E multiple. What's in the News THK resolved at its Audit & Supervisory Committee meeting on February 19, 2026, to change its accounting auditor from Grant Thornton Taiyo LLC and plans to submit the appointment of a new accounting auditor to the 56th general shareholders meeting on March 20, 2026 (Key Developments).
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 23

6481: Lower Future P/E Assumptions Will Pressure Equity Returns

Analysts have reduced their price target on THK to ¥2,856.81 from ¥3,034.68 after revising their assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate and the future P/E, which has changed their view of fair value. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for February 12, 2026 to consider and approve Special Measures for the Next Career Support Program for employees, highlighting a focus on workforce related policies (Key Developments).
Analiz Makalesi • Feb 13

Need To Know: This Analyst Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481) Estimates

The analyst covering THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a...
Analiz Makalesi • Feb 09

Revenues Not Telling The Story For THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481) After Shares Rise 25%

The THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 09

6481: Weaker Industrial Machinery Outlook And Tariff Headwinds Will Pressure Earnings

Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for THK from ¥4,322 to ¥4,442, reflecting updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for February 2, 2026, to discuss the transfer of shares of consolidated subsidiaries and the assignment of receivables, which could reshape parts of the group structure (Key Developments).
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 26

6481: Tariff And Restructuring Headwinds Will Set Up A Stronger Earnings Base

Analysts have revised their view on THK's outlook, keeping fair value steady at ¥5,310.0 while adjusting their assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect a more updated mix of risk and earnings. What's in the News THK revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2025, now expecting revenue of ¥360,000 million, operating income of ¥16,000 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥10,000 million, or earnings per share of ¥89.27, compared with prior guidance of revenue of ¥363,500 million, operating income of ¥23,500 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥18,000 million, or earnings per share of ¥148.14 (company guidance).
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 11

6481: Weaker Industrial Orders And Tariff Costs Will Pressure Earnings

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for THK from ¥3,021.55 to ¥3,034.68, reflecting updated assumptions of higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, a modestly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E. What's in the News THK lowered its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2025, now guiding to revenue of ¥360,000 million, operating income of ¥16,000 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥10,000 million, or earnings per share of ¥89.27, compared with its earlier outlook.
Analiz Makalesi • Dec 22

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481)

Key Insights THK's estimated fair value is JP¥3,541 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity THK's JP¥4,061 share...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 14

6481: Higher Discount Rate And Weaker Orders Will Pressure Earnings

Narrative Update The analyst price target for THK has been trimmed slightly. Fair value is edging down by approximately ¥0.34 per share as analysts factor in a higher discount rate and more moderate revenue growth assumptions, partially offset by a modestly improved profit margin outlook and a marginally lower future P/E multiple.
Analiz Makalesi • Dec 06

Does THK (TSE:6481) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analiz Makalesi • Nov 13

THK Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Last week, you might have seen that THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) released its quarterly result to the market. The early...
Analiz Makalesi • Oct 01

THK (TSE:6481) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two...
Analiz Makalesi • Sep 09

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, THK fair value estimate is JP¥3,747 Current share price of...
Analiz Makalesi • Aug 08

THK Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Last week, you might have seen that THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) released its half-year result to the market. The early...
Analiz Makalesi • Jul 24

Investors Interested In THK Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:6481) Earnings

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 51.2x THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) may be sending very bearish signals at...
Analiz Makalesi • Jun 19

Here's Why THK (TSE:6481) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
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Yeni Anlatı • Jun 15

Lean Reforms And Automation Will Drive Global Efficiency

Structural reforms, automation investments, and resource reallocation are aimed at improving profitability, operating margins, and revenue resilience through efficiency and market diversification.

Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri

TSE:6481 - Analistlerin gelecek tahminleri ve geçmiş finansal verileri (JPY Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarSerbest Nakit AkışıFaaliyetlerden NakitAvg. Analist Sayısı
12/31/2028315,18935,35629,13148,4759
12/31/2027308,50833,06632,09249,62311
12/31/2026289,78929,60925,98448,44810
3/31/2026255,30614,70221,76038,965N/A
12/31/2025240,44410,14923,85342,748N/A
9/30/2025355,8566,50315,12436,741N/A
6/30/2025349,1546,9536,24130,200N/A
3/31/2025352,5788,798626,946N/A
12/31/2024352,75910,439-1,15128,412N/A
9/30/2024348,95013,5143,88932,542N/A
6/30/2024346,19713,5697,50136,714N/A
3/31/2024343,52913,46715,60943,554N/A
12/31/2023351,93918,39812,28739,332N/A
9/30/2023374,27011,95818,62346,312N/A
6/30/2023392,61018,87421,47649,867N/A
3/31/2023399,12721,19515,30344,766N/A
12/31/2022393,68721,1988,15437,561N/A
9/30/2022375,57833,408-3,10123,820N/A
6/30/2022353,81829,852-15,00310,488N/A
3/31/2022335,53327,203-14,1958,614N/A
12/31/2021318,18823,007-3,60515,643N/A
9/30/2021292,6086,4133,12620,741N/A
6/30/2021266,98788711,22126,373N/A
3/31/2021234,315-4,6398,55024,173N/A
12/31/2020218,998-9,9927,39025,399N/A
9/30/2020216,145-1,096N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2020228,516-1,5237,91929,730N/A
3/31/2020253,7003,382N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2019274,59911,690N/A28,383N/A
9/30/2019303,24616,213N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2019323,16325,648N/A40,392N/A
3/31/2019342,41831,866N/AN/AN/A
12/31/2018353,47935,400N/A55,177N/A
12/31/2017382,13734,305N/A34,155N/A
9/30/2017339,71329,305N/A39,572N/A
6/30/2017328,85624,925N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2017273,57716,731N/A40,175N/A
12/31/2016270,18213,483N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2016264,52411,094N/A30,807N/A
6/30/2016252,9438,928N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2016240,47813,575N/A19,753N/A
12/31/2015230,11215,773N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2015223,65719,527N/A20,772N/A
6/30/2015221,89323,218N/AN/AN/A

Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri

Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: 6481 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 17.9% ) tasarruf oranının ( 0.8% ) üzerindedir.

Kazançlar ve Piyasa: 6481 şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 17.9% ) JP pazarından (yıllık 9.3% ) daha hızlı büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: 6481 şirketinin kazançlarının artması bekleniyor, ancak önemli ölçüde.

Gelir ve Pazar: 6481 şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 5.9% ) JP pazarından (yıllık 6% ) daha hızlı büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: 6481 şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 5.9% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri

Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi

Gelecekteki ROE: 6481 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde düşük olması tahmin ediliyor ( 13.2 %).

Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/06/12 13:03
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/06/12 00:00
Kazançlar2026/03/31
Yıllık Kazançlar2025/12/31

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

THK Co., Ltd. 23 Bu analistlerden 11, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
Tsutomu KijimaBarclays
Kenjin HottaBofA Global Research
Graeme McDonaldCitigroup Inc