Gerdau Gelecekteki Büyüme
Future kriter kontrolleri 3/6
Gerdau kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 31.4% ve 4% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 27.2% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 10% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.
Anahtar bilgiler
31.4%
Kazanç büyüme oranı
27.19%
EPS büyüme oranı
| Metals and Mining kazanç büyümesi | 20.9% |
| Gelir büyüme oranı | 4.0% |
| Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi | 10.05% |
| Analist kapsamı | Good |
| Son güncelleme | 07 May 2026 |
Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri
Recent updates
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 13
GGBR4: Share Repurchases And Higher Margin Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Gerdau higher to R$29.95 from R$29.52, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, following a series of recent upgrades and target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has leaned more constructive on Gerdau, with several bullish analysts adjusting their views and price targets in quick succession.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 28
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Higher P/E Framework Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have inched their average price target on Gerdau higher to about R$24.64 from roughly R$24.57, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. These changes reflect the latest rounds of target increases and rating changes across the Street.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 14
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Refined Margin Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Gerdau's updated R$29.52 analyst price target edges slightly below the prior R$29.66, with analysts citing refined assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E following a mix of recent upgrades and downgrades across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Gerdau shows a mix of upgrades, downgrades and price target tweaks, with several bullish analysts focusing on refined expectations for execution and earnings power rather than wholesale changes to the underlying story.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 31
GGBR4: Buyback Plan And Firmer Margins Will Likely Unlock Upside
Analysts raised the fair value estimate for Gerdau to R$21.00 from R$20.00, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that reflect the latest mix of upgrades and downgrades in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Gerdau presents a mixed picture, with some firms turning more constructive while others are taking a step back and reassessing risk.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 17
GGBR4: Share Buybacks Will Shape More Optimistic Future Earnings Profile
Analysts have trimmed their stance on Gerdau and now see fair value at about R$24.57 per share, a change of roughly R$0.44. This reflects expectations for lower revenue growth, a higher profit margin and a lower future P/E multiple.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 03
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Higher Margins Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have made only a slight upward adjustment to their R$ price target for Gerdau, reflecting more cautious views following recent downgrades that point to tempered expectations, despite updated assumptions for profit margins and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research has turned more cautious on Gerdau, with downgrades reflecting a preference to wait for clearer visibility on earnings and valuation.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 17
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on Gerdau to R$29.60 from R$27.96, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple, even as some recent research, such as BTG Pactual turning more cautious, reflects a more mixed stance on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the updated price target of R$29.60 as a sign that they see room for the shares to better reflect their assumptions on revenue, margins and a higher future P/E multiple.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 03
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Refined Earnings Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts now set their fair value estimate for Gerdau at US$24.13 per share, up from US$23.08. This reflects updated views on discount rates, long term profit margins and future P/E assumptions, even as some recent research has turned more cautious on the stock.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 20
GGBR4: Share Cancellations And Rich P/E Will Likely Restrain Returns
Analysts have lifted their price target on Gerdau from US$17.00 to US$20.00, citing revised assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and the future P/E they apply to the shares. What's in the News Between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, Gerdau repurchased 293,000 shares for BRL 4.59 million under its buyback program announced on January 20, 2025, bringing total repurchases under the program to 1,033,500 shares for BRL 16.17 million (company filing).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 05
GGBR4: Share Cancellations And Dividend Payout Will Support Bullish Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Gerdau higher from US$22.61 to about US$23.08, reflecting updated views that factor in slightly adjusted forecasts for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News From October 1, 2025 to December 19, 2025, Gerdau repurchased 466,500 shares for BRL 7.3 million, completing the 1,500,000 share buyback program announced on January 20, 2025 for a total of BRL 23.48 million (company filing).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 14
GGBR4: Share Cancellations And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on Gerdau to approximately $27.96 from $28.00, citing a combination of slower expected revenue growth, a slightly higher discount rate, and improved profit margin and future valuation assumptions. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for October 30, 2025, to evaluate the cancellation of 283,900 common shares (GGBR3) and 12,650,000 preferred shares (GGBR4) without reducing capital stock (company filing).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 25
GGBR4: Upcoming Dividend Payment and Share Buybacks Will Drive Market Optimism
Analysts have raised Gerdau's fair value estimate from $22.19 to $22.61, citing recent adjustments to growth and profitability expectations as key factors in the revised price target. What's in the News The Board of Directors approved the cancellation of 283,900 common shares (GGBR3) and 12,650,000 preferred shares (GGBR4) with no reduction in capital stock (Key Developments).
Yeni Anlatı • Nov 30
Strategic Shifts And Efficiency Enhancements Set The Stage For Growth Amid Global Challenges
Cost reduction efforts and a strategic product mix are set to improve margins and efficiency, enhancing Gerdau's financial performance.Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri
| Tarih | Gelir | Kazançlar | Serbest Nakit Akışı | Faaliyetlerden Nakit | Avg. Analist Sayısı |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 75,943 | 5,505 | 4,603 | 8,641 | 11 |
| 12/31/2027 | 73,071 | 5,397 | 4,495 | 7,886 | 13 |
| 12/31/2026 | 70,276 | 5,360 | 3,901 | 7,849 | 11 |
| 3/31/2026 | 69,199 | 1,640 | 2,410 | 8,596 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 69,859 | 1,387 | 1,135 | 7,987 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 69,707 | 3,001 | 380 | 7,627 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 69,102 | 3,269 | 3,346 | 10,530 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 68,192 | 3,272 | 4,742 | 11,451 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 67,027 | 4,566 | 5,435 | 11,381 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 64,920 | 4,828 | 6,596 | 12,208 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 64,605 | 5,063 | 3,296 | 8,725 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 66,254 | 6,339 | 4,542 | 10,006 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 68,916 | 7,502 | 5,802 | 11,139 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 72,165 | 8,131 | 3,745 | 9,250 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 76,251 | 9,560 | 5,056 | 10,153 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 80,954 | 11,707 | 5,960 | 10,794 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 82,412 | 11,426 | 6,669 | 11,150 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 86,003 | 13,713 | 13,238 | 17,248 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 86,171 | 16,296 | 12,840 | 16,575 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 82,333 | 15,968 | 9,919 | 13,268 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 78,345 | 15,494 | 9,325 | 12,517 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 70,410 | 13,047 | 4,751 | 7,290 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 61,315 | 8,239 | 5,116 | 7,199 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 50,930 | 4,600 | 5,047 | 6,815 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 43,815 | 2,366 | 4,603 | 6,408 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 39,728 | 1,417 | 1,946 | 3,653 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 37,437 | 917 | 895 | 2,783 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 38,846 | 971 | 1,118 | 3,161 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 39,644 | 1,204 | N/A | 1,643 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 41,010 | 1,488 | N/A | 3,520 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 43,915 | 1,987 | N/A | 1,938 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 45,796 | 2,312 | N/A | 1,847 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 46,159 | 2,304 | N/A | 2,000 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 45,077 | 536 | N/A | 2,573 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 41,717 | -114 | N/A | 2,308 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 38,848 | -734 | N/A | 1,836 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 36,918 | -359 | N/A | 2,076 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 35,720 | -2,039 | N/A | 1,465 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 34,943 | -2,082 | N/A | 2,060 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 36,026 | -2,084 | N/A | 2,624 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 37,652 | -2,891 | N/A | 3,516 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 39,481 | -2,984 | N/A | 3,791 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 42,708 | -5,018 | N/A | 6,409 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 43,218 | -4,836 | N/A | 7,147 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 43,581 | -4,551 | N/A | 7,162 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 43,976 | -997 | N/A | 5,827 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 42,757 | 1,198 | N/A | 3,515 | N/A |
Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri
Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: GGBR4 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 31.4% ) tasarruf oranının ( 12.4% ) üzerindedir.
Kazançlar ve Piyasa: GGBR4 şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 31.4% ) BR pazarından (yıllık 12.6% ) daha hızlı büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: GGBR4 şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içerisinde önemli ölçüde artması bekleniyor.
Gelir ve Pazar: GGBR4 şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 4% ) BR pazarından (yıllık 6.5% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: GGBR4 şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 4% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri
Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi
Gelecekteki ROE: GGBR4 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde düşük olması tahmin ediliyor ( 10 %).
Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin
Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu
| Veri | Son Güncelleme (UTC saati) |
|---|---|
| Şirket Analizi | 2026/05/21 13:30 |
| Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı | 2026/05/20 00:00 |
| Kazançlar | 2026/03/31 |
| Yıllık Kazançlar | 2025/12/31 |
Veri Kaynakları
Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.
| Paket | Veri | Zaman Çerçevesi | Örnek ABD Kaynağı * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Şirket Finansalları | 10 yıl |
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| Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri | +3 yıl |
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| Piyasa Fiyatları | 30 yıl |
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| Sahiplik | 10 yıl |
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| Yönetim | 10 yıl |
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| Önemli Gelişmeler | 10 yıl |
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* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.
Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.
Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi
Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.
Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.
Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri
Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.
Analist Kaynakları
Gerdau S.A. 22 Bu analistlerden 13, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.
| Analist | Kurum |
|---|---|
| Leonardo Correa | Barclays |
| Mary Cleia da Silva | BB Banco de Investimento S.A. |
| Caio Ribeiro | BofA Global Research |