Orica Gelecekteki Büyüme
Future kriter kontrolleri 3/6
Orica kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 28.2% ve 2.8% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 26.3% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 15.7% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.
Anahtar bilgiler
28.2%
Kazanç büyüme oranı
26.26%
EPS büyüme oranı
| Chemicals kazanç büyümesi | 29.9% |
| Gelir büyüme oranı | 2.8% |
| Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi | 15.67% |
| Analist kapsamı | Good |
| Son güncelleme | 30 Apr 2026 |
Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri
Recent updates
ORI: Refined Assumptions Will Support A Sustained Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orica slightly lower to A$25.44 from A$25.64. This reflects updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.ORI: Refined Assumptions Will Support A Sustained Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Orica slightly to A$25.64 from A$25.75. This reflects small adjustments to assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple.ORI: Slightly Higher Assumptions Will Support A Steady Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Orica from A$26.50 to A$25.75 as small adjustments to key inputs, including discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, filter through their valuation models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$26.50 to A$25.75, a small downward adjustment to the modelled valuation.ORI: Slightly Lower Assumptions Will Support A Steady Bullish Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Orica slightly lower to A$26.50 from A$26.58, reflecting modest adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions while keeping the future P/E view broadly stable. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly to A$26.50 from A$26.58.ORI: Slightly Higher Return Assumptions Will Support A Steady Fair Value Outlook
Analysts now set their price target for Orica at about A$26.58, up slightly from around A$26.44, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$26.44 to A$26.58, a slight upward adjustment in the modelled estimate.Is Orica (ASX:ORI) A Risky Investment?
Feb 16
ORI: Expanded Buyback And Stable Assumptions Will Support Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orica slightly higher to A$26.44 from A$26.10, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Orica increased its equity buyback authorization by A$100 million to a total of A$500 million on November 13, 2025, expanding the size of its existing program (Key Developments).Why We're Not Concerned About Orica Limited's (ASX:ORI) Share Price
Jan 26ORI: Expanded Buyback And Steady Assumptions Will Support Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts now keep their fair value estimate for Orica steady at A$26.10, with only marginal adjustments to model inputs such as the discount rate, long-term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions resulting in an unchanged price target. What's in the News On November 13, 2025, Orica increased its equity buyback authority by A$100 million to a total of A$500 million, signaling continued use of capital for share repurchases (Key Developments).ORI: Expanded Buyback And Steady Assumptions Will Support Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts have reaffirmed their price target on Orica at A$26.10, with only minor tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate, long run revenue growth, profit margin and assumed future P/E. This keeps their valuation view broadly unchanged.ORI: Expanded Buyback And Higher Dividend Will Support Moderately Balanced Outlook
Narrative Update Analysts have raised their price target on Orica to approximately A$26.10 from A$23.68, reflecting slightly lower perceived risk, stronger expected revenue growth, and a higher future earnings multiple that more than offset a modest downward revision to profit margins. What's in the News Expanded equity buyback authorization by AUD 100 million, lifting the total program to AUD 500 million as of November 13, 2025 (company announcement) Declared an increased ordinary dividend of AUD 0.32 per share for the six months ended September 30, 2025, with ex date November 21, record date November 24, and payment date December 22, 2025 (company announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate has risen moderately to approximately A$26.10 from about A$23.68.ORI: Expanded Buyback And Dividend Will Support Moderately Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orica slightly higher to reflect a modest improvement in the company’s risk profile and earnings sustainability, with the updated valuation now implying a fair value of approximately $23.68 per share. What's in the News Orica increased its equity buyback plan by AUD 100 million on November 13, 2025, lifting the total authorization to AUD 500 million (company announcement).ORI: Buyback Expansion And Dividend Actions Will Shape Balanced Market Sentiment
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Orica upward from $23.38 to $23.68. This change reflects updated forecasts and supportive changes in core financial metrics.Orica (ASX:ORI) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
Nov 17ORI: Revenue Forecasts Will Drive Modest Shifts In Future Market Expectations
Analysts have raised their price target for Orica, increasing the estimated fair value from $22.95 to $23.38. This change reflects slightly improved revenue growth forecasts and updated discount rates.Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Orica Limited (ASX:ORI)
Nov 03Sustained Earnings Expected From Recent Acquisitions And Technology Improvements
Analysts have raised their price target for Orica from $22.56 to $22.95. They cite a slight improvement in projected revenue growth, while discount rates remain stable and profit margin expectations have been adjusted only slightly.Terra Insights And Cyanco Acquisitions, Advanced Blasting Tech, And Sustainability Efforts Will Boost Earnings Growth
Orica's fair value has been revised marginally higher as analysts factor in slightly improved revenue growth expectations, with the consensus price target moving from A$22.17 to A$22.56. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Orica The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from A$22.17 to A$22.56.Terra Insights And Cyanco Acquisitions, Advanced Blasting Tech, And Sustainability Efforts Will Boost Earnings Growth
Despite lower consensus revenue growth forecasts, a higher future P/E multiple has supported a moderate increase in Orica’s analyst price target to A$22.17. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Orica The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from A$21.56 to A$22.17.Does Orica (ASX:ORI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Aug 08An Intrinsic Calculation For Orica Limited (ASX:ORI) Suggests It's 41% Undervalued
Jul 08The Price Is Right For Orica Limited (ASX:ORI)
Jun 20Orica's (ASX:ORI) Dividend Will Be A$0.25
May 10
Terra Insights And Cyanco Acquisitions, Advanced Blasting Tech, And Sustainability Efforts Will Boost Earnings Growth
Strategic acquisitions and focus on advanced technology are expected to drive revenue growth and enhance earnings through integration and cross-selling opportunities.Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri
| Tarih | Gelir | Kazançlar | Serbest Nakit Akışı | Faaliyetlerden Nakit | Avg. Analist Sayısı |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2028 | 8,865 | 705 | 922 | 1,220 | 14 |
| 9/30/2027 | 8,613 | 646 | 863 | 1,141 | 14 |
| 9/30/2026 | 8,328 | 391 | 468 | 758 | 14 |
| 9/30/2025 | 8,145 | 162 | 535 | 949 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 8,045 | 130 | 495 | 906 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 7,946 | 98 | 456 | 862 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 7,804 | 311 | 403 | 835 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 7,663 | 525 | 351 | 808 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 7,633 | 518 | 468 | 948 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 7,604 | 511 | 585 | 1,088 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 7,775 | 403 | 522 | 993 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 7,945 | 296 | 460 | 899 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 7,997 | 282 | 314 | 710 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 8,049 | 267 | 169 | 521 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 7,573 | 206 | 91 | 441 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 7,096 | 145 | 13 | 362 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,870 | -262 | -19 | 323 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 5,556 | -225 | 138 | 471 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,242 | -188 | 296 | 619 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,690 | -21 | -70 | 176 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,926 | 25 | -158 | 161 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 5,161 | 71 | -247 | 145 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 5,789 | 273 | -44 | 474 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 5,948 | 377 | 158 | 671 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 5,922 | 311 | 240 | 708 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 5,896 | 245 | 322 | 746 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 5,794 | 230 | N/A | 758 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 5,691 | 214 | N/A | 770 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 5,547 | 83 | N/A | 692 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 5,402 | -48 | N/A | 615 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 5,282 | -43 | N/A | 478 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 5,162 | -38 | N/A | 340 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 5,116 | 174 | N/A | 403 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,070 | 386 | N/A | 466 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 5,035 | 388 | N/A | 633 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4,999 | 389 | N/A | 800 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,055 | 366 | N/A | 789 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,111 | 343 | N/A | 778 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,431 | -1,336 | N/A | 593 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,552 | -1,306 | N/A | 666 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,673 | -1,275 | N/A | 739 | N/A |
Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri
Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: ORI 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 28.2% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.5% ) üzerindedir.
Kazançlar ve Piyasa: ORI şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 28.2% ) Australian pazarından (yıllık 12% ) daha hızlı büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: ORI şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içerisinde önemli ölçüde artması bekleniyor.
Gelir ve Pazar: ORI şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 2.8% ) Australian pazarından (yıllık 6.4% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: ORI şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 2.8% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri
Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi
Gelecekteki ROE: ORI 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde düşük olması tahmin ediliyor ( 15.7 %).
Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin
Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu
| Veri | Son Güncelleme (UTC saati) |
|---|---|
| Şirket Analizi | 2026/05/01 14:18 |
| Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı | 2026/05/01 00:00 |
| Kazançlar | 2025/09/30 |
| Yıllık Kazançlar | 2025/09/30 |
Veri Kaynakları
Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.
| Paket | Veri | Zaman Çerçevesi | Örnek ABD Kaynağı * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Şirket Finansalları | 10 yıl |
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| Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri | +3 yıl |
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| Piyasa Fiyatları | 30 yıl |
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| Sahiplik | 10 yıl |
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| Yönetim | 10 yıl |
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| Önemli Gelişmeler | 10 yıl |
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* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.
Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.
Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi
Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.
Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.
Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri
Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.
Analist Kaynakları
Orica Limited 32 Bu analistlerden 14, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.
| Analist | Kurum |
|---|---|
| Brook Campbell-Crawford | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Benjamin Brayshaw | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Joseph House | Bell Potter |