Birkenstock Holding (BIRK) Aktievy
Birkenstock Holding plc bedriver tillverkning och försäljning av skoprodukter i Nord- och Sydamerika, Europa, Mellanöstern, Afrika och Asien/Stillahavsområdet. Mer information
| Snöflinga Score | |
|---|---|
| Värdering | 4/6 |
| Framtida tillväxt | 1/6 |
| Tidigare resultat | 5/6 |
| Finansiell hälsa | 4/6 |
| Utdelningar | 0/6 |
BIRK Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 43 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Birkenstock Holding plc Konkurrenter
Prishistorik och prestanda
| Historiska aktiekurser | |
|---|---|
| Aktuell aktiekurs | US$44.42 |
| 52 veckors högsta | US$53.53 |
| 52 veckors lägsta | US$31.12 |
| Beta | 1.25 |
| 1 månads förändring | 3.81% |
| 3 månaders förändring | 29.92% |
| 1 års förändring | -10.15% |
| 3 års förändring | n/a |
| 5 års förändring | n/a |
| Förändring sedan börsintroduktionen | 10.50% |
Senaste nyheter och uppdateringar
Uppdatering av berättelse • Jun 26
BIRK: Future Profitability Pressures Will Challenge Confidence After $250M Buyback
The analyst fair value estimate for Birkenstock Holding has been revised from about $45.35 to about $40.18, as recent Street price target changes and updated models reflect a mix of slightly lower long term profitability assumptions and ongoing confidence in demand and capital returns, such as the $250M accelerated share repurchase. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Birkenstock Holding reflects a mixed backdrop, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets after the latest Q2 results while still acknowledging ongoing demand drivers and the recently announced US$250M accelerated share repurchase.Seeking Alpha • Jun 12
Birkenstock: Good Fundamentals, But I Am Moving To Hold (Downgrade)
Summary Birkenstock Holding is moved to a hold rating as valuation rises to 17.6x forward P/E, reducing the margin of safety amid margin pressures. Demand for BIRK remains robust across all regions and channels, with 14% constant-currency revenue growth and strong full-price sell-through above 90%. Margin concerns persist: adj. gross margin fell 310 bps to 54.6% and adj. EBITDA margin dropped 270 bps to 32.1%, pressured by FX, tariffs, and EMEA risks. Management guides for margin recovery in H2 and backs the long-term story with a $250 million accelerated share repurchase, but near-term risk warrants caution. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Uppdatering av berättelse • Jun 26
BIRK: Future Profitability Pressures Will Challenge Confidence After $250M Buyback
The analyst fair value estimate for Birkenstock Holding has been revised from about $45.35 to about $40.18, as recent Street price target changes and updated models reflect a mix of slightly lower long term profitability assumptions and ongoing confidence in demand and capital returns, such as the $250M accelerated share repurchase. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Birkenstock Holding reflects a mixed backdrop, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets after the latest Q2 results while still acknowledging ongoing demand drivers and the recently announced US$250M accelerated share repurchase.Seeking Alpha • Jun 12
Birkenstock: Good Fundamentals, But I Am Moving To Hold (Downgrade)
Summary Birkenstock Holding is moved to a hold rating as valuation rises to 17.6x forward P/E, reducing the margin of safety amid margin pressures. Demand for BIRK remains robust across all regions and channels, with 14% constant-currency revenue growth and strong full-price sell-through above 90%. Margin concerns persist: adj. gross margin fell 310 bps to 54.6% and adj. EBITDA margin dropped 270 bps to 32.1%, pressured by FX, tariffs, and EMEA risks. Management guides for margin recovery in H2 and backs the long-term story with a $250 million accelerated share repurchase, but near-term risk warrants caution. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysartikel • Feb 15
Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year
It's been a good week for Birkenstock Holding plc ( NYSE:BIRK ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...Analysartikel • Dec 11
Is There An Opportunity With Birkenstock Holding plc's (NYSE:BIRK) 21% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Birkenstock Holding fair value estimate is US$56.74 Current...Analysartikel • Nov 05
Is Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE:BIRK) Potentially Undervalued?
While Birkenstock Holding plc ( NYSE:BIRK ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share...
Uppdatering av berättelse • Sep 26
APAC And China Trends Will Unlock Future Potential
Birkenstock Holding’s modestly lower consensus price target reflects a significant rise in its future P/E multiple, while profit margins remained stable, resulting in a revised fair value of $69.17. What's in the News Birkenstock raised its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to at least €2.09 billion, reflecting 15.9% reported growth and 17.5% growth in constant currency, above previous guidance.Analysartikel • Sep 12
Here's Why We Think Birkenstock Holding (NYSE:BIRK) Is Well Worth Watching
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Analysartikel • Aug 18
Results: Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
NYSE:BIRK 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Birkenstock Holding's Fair Values from the Community and select...Analysartikel • Jul 09
Calculating The Fair Value Of Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE:BIRK)
Key Insights Birkenstock Holding's estimated fair value is US$44.94 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...Seeking Alpha • Apr 13
Birkenstock: Upgrade To Buy On Cheaper Valuation
Summary I upgrade Birkenstock to a buy rating as the stock now trades at ~22x forward P/E, making it more attractive. BIRK shows resilient top-line growth across all regions and channels, with 1Q25 revenue up 19% y/y, exceeding management’s FY25 guidance. The DTC strategy is gaining momentum, with plans to increase store count by ~40% and a growing membership base driving higher transaction values. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 21
Birkenstock Adds Winter Assortment, But The Stock Remains Too Expensive
Summary Birkenstock Holding plc reported 19% YOY revenue growth, but the market reacted negatively due to maintained full-year guidance of 15%-17%, indicating potential deceleration from last year's 20%. Wholesale growth outperformed at 30%, but 90% came from existing doors, raising saturation concerns; DTC growth slowed to 10% from 30% last year. Product diversification is promising, with closed-toe silhouettes making up 50% of revenue; Asia grew 47% YoY, now 13% of sales. BIRK stock valuation remains high at 27x NTM earnings, requiring flawless execution and sustained growth; maintain a Hold rating due to high fashion risk and revenue deceleration signs. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 03
Birkenstock: There's Still Room To Rise As ASP Expansion And China Growth Power Earnings
Summary I favor "growth at a reasonable price" stocks like Birkenstock, which has seen a ~20% rise and strong Q4 results. Birkenstock's gross margins fell in FY24 due to facility expansion but are expected to improve in FY25, moving closer to long-term targets. Increased production efficiency and an 8% ASP increase are boosting Birkenstock's margins, forecasting up to 50bps y/y expansion in adjusted EBITDA. Birkenstock shows strong growth potential in underpenetrated markets like Asia, making it a solid investment for continued success in 2025. The stock trades at a reasonable ~18x forward adjusted EBITDA multiple. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Ny berättelse • Dec 22
APAC Expansion And Closed-Toe Product Surge To Propel Revenue And Margins
Aggressive expansion in APAC and increased DTC sales boost revenue, with new store openings enhancing global retail presence.Seeking Alpha • Dec 22
Birkenstock: Upside Is Not Attractive At The Current Valuation
Summary I assign a hold rating to Birkenstock due to limited upside potential despite strong fundamentals and positive outlook. BIRK's recent performance is impressive, with 22% y/y growth in 4Q24 and strong demand across all regions and channels. Management's conservative FY25 guidance of 15-17% y/y growth suggests potential for a "beat and raise" motion, but valuation limits upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 23
Birkenstock Holding: Undervalued, With Tailwinds Ahead
Summary Birkenstock is expanding into untapped Asian markets and emphasizing sustainability, creating strong growth potential and differentiation from competitors. Financial performance has been robust, with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, demonstrating resilience in a challenging economic environment. My DCF analysis indicates the stock is undervalued, with a potential 67.1% upside, supporting a "BUY" recommendation. Despite competition, Birkenstock's unique product features and sustainable practices mitigate risks, reinforcing its market position. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 05
Birkenstock: Stock Is Still Not Attractive After Price Drop
Summary Birkenstock's Q3 2024 showed an impressive 19% YoY revenue growth, but the stock price dropped 20% due to a revenue and earnings miss. Despite strong performance, high valuations and fashion risk make Birkenstock's stock inherently risky, leading me to maintain a Hold rating. The company's shift from DTC to B2B impacted gross margins, but management's guidance of 20% topline growth and 30% EBITDA margins remains intact. Birkenstock's current valuation requires excessive growth to justify its price, making future returns uncertain and supporting my Hold recommendation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 30
Birkenstock: Decelerating Growth And Inflated Valuations Do Not Mix Well
Summary Birkenstock's shares trade at a very high valuation despite decelerating revenue growth, contracting gross profit margins, and insiders selling. The company's third-quarter results missed revenue and profit expectations, and forward guidance was weak. Birkenstock's strategy of creating artificial scarcity is risky and could backfire, giving competitors an opportunity to capture unmet demand. Despite generating significant cash flow and reducing net debt, the high valuation, and potential governance issues remain major concerns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 30
Birkenstock Has A Great Brand And Potential, But The Stock Is Overvalued
Summary Birkenstock IPOed last year with a frothy valuation based on significant growth that has continued in FY24. The company has several interesting characteristics, including great brand equity, pricing power, and a relatively loyal customer base. The company is also growing tremendously in FY23 and FY24, which is more impressive in comparison with the generally bad performance of most discretionary companies during this period. Despite these positive aspects, Birkenstock's stock price already discounts most future positive developments, and exposes investors to significant risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 11
Birkenstock: Stellar Growth In Asia And Closed-Toe Shoes
Summary Birkenstock stock remains a long-term hold despite a 20%+ run-up year to date. The company's Q2 earnings release showed slightly accelerating revenue growth, with continued performance in Asia and strong sell-through results in Europe. The company is also noting that closed-toe shoes, in particular clogs, are making up a larger share of its revenue. Gross margins are suffering a current headwind from a manufacturing capacity expansion, but this is a signal that the company is preparing for operating at a much larger scale. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 30
Birkenstock: Aggressive Growth Trajectory Continues
Summary Birkenstock, the shoemaker that went public last year, has failed to rally beyond its IPO price, despite incredible financials. The company has shown strong Q4 results, with aggressive growth in direct-channel sales and a reduction in debt leverage. Birkenstock has an incredible growth trajectory, a broad product portfolio, efficient marketing strategies, and a stellar margin profile, making it a promising investment. It's growing >50% y/y in Asia, which is a largely underpenetrated market for the company. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 27
Birkenstock's Valuation Conundrum: Lofty Market Expectations Vs. Real Growth Hurdles
Summary Birkenstock's is trading at 6.5x NTM EV/Sales and 21.4x NTM EV/EBITDA respectively, with the current valuation implying a 17.7% annual growth rateover the next decade, while maintaining 30% EBITDA margin. The company is facing hurdles such as low/stagnant unit sales growth, rising costs, limited room for further price increases and hence a potential margin decline. With inventories levels at 40% of revenues, exceeding 30 million units, and a modest 5.5% unit growth in FY2023, signs point to potential low consumer demand. Given the free float is under 10%, skewing the current valuation from the market's true sentiment, our outlook on the stock is bearish. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 30
Birkenstock: Right Time To Buy
Summary Birkenstock, the German shoemaker, is experiencing incredible growth with a multi-year trajectory above 20% y/y. Future growth drivers include relatively low penetration in Asian markets as well as retail/DTC expansion. The company boasts a stellar margin profile with a gross margin in the low 60s (versus mid-40s for competitors). Though not cheap at ~18x forward adjusted EBITDA, Birkenstock's premium growth and margin profile justify a premium valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 19
Birkenstock: Landing On Its Feet
Summary Birkenstock, a German-based global brand, went public in October 2023 at a premium valuation. The company saw strong growth in sales and profits, with revenues up 20% in 2023. Despite a slowdown in growth in the fourth quarter, Birkenstock's revenue guidance for 2024 is promising, with sales expected to reach EUR 1.75 billion. While there is much to like about the business and its growth prospects, valuations are too stretched to get involved. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 06
Birkenstock: Walking On Overvalued Ground
Summary Birkenstock, controlled by L Catterton, has seen significant growth in the past decade, but its valuation may be too high. The company's strategy of expanding in markets like China and India and focusing on direct-to-consumer sales appears to be successful. While Birkenstock has a strong brand and potential for growth, its current valuation is demanding and may not be sustainable long term. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAktieägarnas avkastning
| BIRK | US Luxury | US Marknad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -3.7% | -3.5% | -2.6% |
| 1Y | -10.2% | -13.6% | 20.0% |
Avkastning vs industri: BIRK presterade sämre än US Luxury branschen som gav -13.6 % under det senaste året.
Avkastning vs Marknaden: BIRK presterade sämre än US marknaden som gav 20 % under det senaste året.
Prisvolatilitet
| BIRK volatility | |
|---|---|
| BIRK Average Weekly Movement | 10.0% |
| Luxury Industry Average Movement | 6.9% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.7% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stabil aktiekurs: BIRK har inte haft någon betydande prisvolatilitet under de senaste 3 månaderna jämfört med marknaden för US.
Volatilitet över tid: BIRK s veckovolatilitet ( 10% ) har varit stabil under det senaste året.
Om företaget
| Grundad | Anställda | VD OCH KONCERNCHEF | Webbplats |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1774 | 6,800 | Oliver Joachim Reichert | www.birkenstock-holding.com |
Birkenstock Holding plc bedriver tillverkning och försäljning av skoprodukter i Nord- och Sydamerika, Europa, Mellanöstern, Afrika och Asien/Stillahavsområdet. Företaget erbjuder fotbäddsbaserade produkter, inklusive sandaler och skor med sluten tå, samt hudvårdsprodukter och tillbehör. Företaget säljer sina produkter via e-handelssajter och ett nätverk av egna detaljhandelsbutiker, samt via business-to-business-kanaler.
Birkenstock Holding plc Sammanfattning av grunderna
| BIRK grundläggande statistik | |
|---|---|
| Börsvärde | US$8.19b |
| Vinst(TTM) | US$404.86m |
| Intäkter(TTM) | US$2.48b |
20.2x
P/E-förhållande3.3x
P/S-förhållandeÄr BIRK övervärderat?
Se Verkligt värde och värderingsanalysResultat & intäkter
| BIRK resultaträkning (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Intäkter | €2.18b |
| Kostnad för intäkter | €921.63m |
| Bruttovinst | €1.26b |
| Övriga kostnader | €904.48m |
| Intäkter | €355.51m |
Senast redovisade vinst
Mar 31, 2026
Nästa vinstdatum
n/a
| Vinst per aktie (EPS) | 1.93 |
| Bruttomarginal | 57.75% |
| Nettovinstmarginal | 16.30% |
| Skuld/egenkapitalförhållande | 40.0% |
Hur har BIRK utvecklats på lång sikt?
Se historisk utveckling och jämförelseFöretagsanalys och finansiella data Status
| Uppgifter | Senast uppdaterad (UTC-tid) |
|---|---|
| Analys av företag | 2026/06/26 06:26 |
| Aktiekurs vid dagens slut | 2026/06/26 00:00 |
| Intäkter | 2026/03/31 |
| Årlig intjäning | 2025/09/30 |
Datakällor
Den data som används i vår företagsanalys kommer från S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Följande data används i vår analysmodell för att generera denna rapport. Data är normaliserade vilket kan medföra en fördröjning från det att källan är tillgänglig.
| Paket | Uppgifter | Tidsram | Exempel US-källa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Företagets finansiella ställning | 10 år |
| |
| Analytikernas konsensusuppskattningar | +3 år |
|
|
| Marknadspriser | 30 år |
| |
| Ägarskap | 10 år |
| |
| Förvaltning | 10 år |
| |
| Viktiga utvecklingstendenser | 10 år |
|
* Exempel för amerikanska värdepapper, för icke-amerikanska värdepapper används motsvarande regelverk och källor.
Om inget annat anges är all finansiell data baserad på en årsperiod men uppdateras kvartalsvis. Detta kallas data för efterföljande tolv månader (TTM) eller senaste tolv månader (LTM). Lär dig mer om detta.
Analysmodell och snöflinga
Detaljer om analysmodellen som används för att skapa denna rapport finns på vår Github-sida; vi har också guider om hur du använder våra rapporter och handledningar på Youtube.
Lär dig mer om det team i världsklass som utformade och byggde analysmodellen Simply Wall St.
Industri- och sektormått
Våra bransch- och sektionsmått beräknas var sjätte timme av Simply Wall St, detaljer om vår process finns tillgängliga på Github.
Källor för analytiker
Birkenstock Holding plc bevakas av 24 analytiker. 21 av dessa analytiker lämnade de uppskattningar av intäkter eller resultat som användes som indata till vår rapport. Analytikernas inskickade estimat uppdateras löpande under dagen.
| Analytiker | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mark Altschwager | Baird |
| Luca Solca | Bernstein |
| Melania Grippo | BNP Paribas |