TransDigm Group Framtida tillväxt
Future kriterier kontrolleras 1/6
TransDigm Group förväntas öka intäkter och intäkter med 15.9% respektive 8.4% per år. EPS förväntas tillväxt med 11.9% per år. Avkastningen på eget kapital förväntas bli 9.3% om 3 år.
Viktig information
15.9%
Tillväxttakt i vinsten
11.86%
Tillväxttakt för EPS
| Aerospace & Defense vinsttillväxt | 19.0% |
| Intäkternas tillväxttakt | 8.4% |
| Framtida avkastning på eget kapital | 9.32% |
| Bevakning av analytiker | Good |
| Senast uppdaterad | 21 May 2026 |
Senaste uppdateringarna om framtida tillväxt
Recent updates
Analysartikel • May 07
Results: TransDigm Group Incorporated Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
TransDigm Group Incorporated ( NYSE:TDG ) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers...
Uppdatering av berättelse • Apr 29
TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And M&A Discipline Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for TransDigm edges lower by about $15, as analysts factor in higher required returns and slightly softer margin assumptions while keeping revenue growth and P/E expectations broadly in line. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around TransDigm highlights a mix of caution and support, with several firms adjusting ratings and price targets in response to updated assumptions on required returns, margins, and execution risk after the latest quarterly report.Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
TransDigm: Commercial Exposure Drives Sell-Off, But Valuation Now Attractive
Summary TransDigm (TDG) shares have declined over 10%, but I maintain a buy rating with a $1,537 price target, implying 32% upside. Commercial aftermarket exposure presents risk from geopolitical tensions and cost inflation, but earnings estimates have held up relatively well. TDG is expected to deliver 10.5% annual sales growth and nearly 20% annual free cash flow growth through 2028, with margins dipping slightly before recovering. Despite demand risks, current valuation is oversold versus historical and peer multiples, and M&A opportunities could further enhance value. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaUppdatering av berättelse • Apr 10
TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And M&A Discipline Will Drive Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for TransDigm Group to about $1,552 from roughly $1,591, reflecting a mix of reduced price targets following recent downgrades and initiations, alongside some upward revisions from firms that remain constructive on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split field, with some firms trimming price targets or downgrading, while others are still raising their valuation work for TransDigm Group.Uppdatering av berättelse • Mar 27
TDG: Aftermarket Cash Flows And Buybacks Will Drive Future Returns
TransDigm Group's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly higher to $1,591.25, as analysts factor in updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples following a mix of recent target hikes and cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around TransDigm Group shows a split between bullish analysts lifting price targets and more cautious voices lowering targets or moving to neutral stances.Uppdatering av berättelse • Dec 27
TDG: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Aftermarket Cash Flows And Buyback Capacity
The analyst derived fair value estimate for TransDigm Group has inched higher to approximately $1,586 from about $1,581, as analysts modestly raise price targets on the back of Q3 and Q4 earnings beats, resilient aftermarket profitability, and expectations for continued 20% multi year EPS growth, despite some deceleration in aftermarket growth rates and conservative forward guidance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts remain broadly constructive on TransDigm, highlighting continued earnings outperformance, resilient margins, and a compelling relative valuation profile even as growth normalizes from post pandemic highs.Uppdatering av berättelse • Dec 13
TDG: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Aftermarket Margins And M&A Optionality
Our revised fair value estimate for TransDigm Group edges up to $1,581 from $1,578, reflecting analysts' slightly higher price targets supported by continued earnings outperformance, resilient aftermarket fundamentals, and the optionality from future large scale M&A. Analyst Commentary Street research remains broadly constructive on TransDigm, with most recent actions involving higher price targets and reaffirmed positive ratings, even where those targets have been modestly trimmed.Uppdatering av berättelse • Nov 27
TDG: Multi-Year Earnings Expansion Will Rely On Margin Strength And M&A Capacity
TransDigm Group's fair value estimate has been increased by analysts to $1,577.65 from $1,557.89. This change reflects continued conviction in strong organic growth, robust earnings performance, and expectations for future margin resilience despite a mixed outlook for certain market segments.Uppdatering av berättelse • Nov 05
TDG: Aftermarket Demand And Acquisition Capacity Will Drive Shares Higher
Analysts have reduced their price targets for TransDigm Group. Recent estimates have moved from a range of about $1,730 to $1,385 per share, citing factors including compressed valuation multiples, shifting after-market demand, and a more uncertain outlook for large acquisitions.Uppdatering av berättelse • Oct 22
Analysts Adjust TransDigm Group Outlook Amid Aftermarket Strength and Softer OEM Demand
Analysts have revised TransDigm Group's price target lower, reducing the fair value from $1,586 to $1,558. This adjustment is attributed to factors such as softening commercial OEM demand, compressed EBITDA multiples, and a more cautious outlook on large acquisitions.Uppdatering av berättelse • Oct 08
Air Travel Demand And OEM Backlogs Will Sustain Future Upside
TransDigm Group's analyst price target has been lowered slightly from approximately $1,608 to $1,586. Analysts cite concerns around compressed EBITDA multiples and reduced Commercial OEM expectations, despite ongoing acquisition capacity and robust after-market fundamentals.Analysartikel • Sep 21
TransDigm Group (NYSE:TDG) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...Uppdatering av berättelse • Sep 04
Air Travel Demand And OEM Backlogs Will Sustain Future Upside
TransDigm Group’s price target remains steady at $1621 as weaker commercial OEM sales expectations are offset by bullish confidence in ongoing aerospace and defense strength, sector tailwinds, and the company’s resilient fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Recent reduction in price target reflects lowered sales guidance due to weaker Commercial OEM end-market expectations, driven by slower build rates and inventory destocking in the supply chain.Analysartikel • Jun 29
Why TransDigm Group Incorporated (NYSE:TDG) Could Be Worth Watching
Let's talk about the popular TransDigm Group Incorporated ( NYSE:TDG ). The company's shares received a lot of...Analysartikel • Jun 11
Does TransDigm Group (NYSE:TDG) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Seeking Alpha • Mar 14
TransDigm: Still A Buy Despite The Leverage And The Premium Valuation
Summary TransDigm holds a dominant market position, leveraging its pricing power to maintain high FCF margins and return capital to shareholders despite potential 2025 headwinds. 90% of its revenue comes from selling proprietary parts, ensuring FAA-certified exclusivity and pricing power. During the Q1 2025 earnings, the company showed commitment to returning capital to its shareholders with special dividend payments and share repurchases. Even though we are seeing growth in the commercial OEM segment of the business, that will be circumvented by the growth in defense spending. DOGE fears are exaggerated due to the fact that the DoD contributes less than 1% of TransDigm's revenue. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 21
TransDigm Group: Balanced Growth Outlook But Negative Near-Term Sentiment (Rating Downgrade)
Summary I recommend a hold rating for TransDigm stock due to near-term sentiment headwinds, despite strong structural tailwinds from aftermarket demand and increasing defense budgets. TDG benefits from robust air travel demand and supply chain disruptions, driving high demand for maintenance, repair, and overhaul services. TDG's defense segment is growing, supported by rising global defense spending, but regulatory scrutiny and growth deceleration pose risks. TDG trades at a premium multiple, making it less attractive now; investors should revisit once uncertainties subside or valuation improves. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 18
TransDigm: Expect Muted Upside With Balance Sheet And Regulatory Headwinds
Summary TransDigm's Q4'24 results show strong performance with a 19% EBITDA increase, driven by robust growth in Commercial OEM and Aftermarket sales. The company continues its aggressive M&A strategy, acquiring SEI Industries, an electron device business, and Raptor Scientific, adding significant high-margin revenue streams. Elevated debt levels and potential regulatory scrutiny pose risks, potentially limiting M&A flexibility and impacting future growth. Despite high-quality operations, TransDigm's valuation appears fully priced, suggesting limited near-term upside; I remain cautious and will avoid buying for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Ny berättelse • Sep 24
Skyrocketing Through Challenges, A Future Of Growth And Strategic Wins In Aerospace
Strong aftermarket demand and favorable aerospace market trends suggest potential for significant revenue and earnings growth.Prognoser för vinst- och omsättningstillväxt
| Datum | Intäkter | Intäkter | Fritt kassaflöde | Kassaflöde från rörelsen | Genomsnittligt Antal analytiker |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2028 | 12,174 | 3,016 | 3,220 | 3,582 | 16 |
| 9/30/2027 | 11,317 | 2,550 | 2,782 | 2,956 | 21 |
| 9/30/2026 | 10,373 | 2,052 | 2,312 | 2,445 | 20 |
| 3/28/2026 | 9,503 | 1,864 | 1,850 | 2,105 | N/A |
| 12/27/2025 | 9,110 | 1,808 | 1,878 | 2,118 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 8,831 | 1,866 | 1,816 | 2,038 | N/A |
| 6/28/2025 | 8,579 | 1,751 | 1,906 | 2,103 | N/A |
| 3/29/2025 | 8,388 | 1,720 | 1,901 | 2,080 | N/A |
| 12/28/2024 | 8,157 | 1,644 | 1,990 | 2,161 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 7,940 | 1,481 | 1,880 | 2,045 | N/A |
| 6/29/2024 | 7,606 | 1,560 | 1,774 | 1,935 | N/A |
| 3/30/2024 | 7,304 | 1,450 | 1,576 | 1,733 | N/A |
| 12/30/2023 | 6,977 | 1,351 | 1,490 | 1,634 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 6,585 | 1,260 | 1,236 | 1,375 | N/A |
| 7/1/2023 | 6,243 | 1,071 | 1,051 | 1,186 | N/A |
| 4/1/2023 | 5,897 | 958 | 961 | 1,089 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 5,632 | 853 | 921 | 1,046 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5,429 | 779 | 829 | 948 | N/A |
| 7/2/2022 | 5,198 | 762 | 853 | 964 | N/A |
| 4/2/2022 | 5,018 | 841 | 805 | 907 | N/A |
| 1/1/2022 | 4,884 | 746 | 819 | 918 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,798 | 607 | 808 | 913 | N/A |
| 7/3/2021 | 4,692 | 499 | 723 | 846 | N/A |
| 4/3/2021 | 4,496 | 178 | 876 | 991 | N/A |
| 1/2/2021 | 4,746 | 396 | 945 | 1,054 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 5,103 | 467 | 1,108 | 1,213 | N/A |
| 6/27/2020 | 5,471 | 594 | 1,154 | 1,238 | N/A |
| 3/28/2020 | 5,970 | 726 | 1,048 | 1,156 | N/A |
| 12/28/2019 | 5,695 | 604 | N/A | 1,118 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 5,223 | 728 | N/A | 1,015 | N/A |
| 6/29/2019 | 4,731 | 730 | N/A | 1,099 | N/A |
| 3/30/2019 | 4,191 | 820 | N/A | 1,021 | N/A |
| 12/29/2018 | 3,956 | 822 | N/A | 1,059 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,811 | 906 | N/A | 1,022 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,686 | 796 | N/A | 924 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,603 | 748 | N/A | 852 | N/A |
| 12/30/2017 | 3,538 | 702 | N/A | 856 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,504 | 469 | N/A | 789 | N/A |
| 7/1/2017 | 3,456 | 503 | N/A | 756 | N/A |
| 4/1/2017 | 3,356 | 494 | N/A | 787 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,284 | 480 | N/A | 730 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,171 | 583 | N/A | 683 | N/A |
| 7/2/2016 | 3,106 | 570 | N/A | 630 | N/A |
| 4/2/2016 | 3,000 | 509 | N/A | 625 | N/A |
| 1/2/2016 | 2,822 | 478 | N/A | 511 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,707 | 444 | N/A | 521 | N/A |
| 6/27/2015 | 2,540 | 410 | N/A | 565 | N/A |
Analytiker Framtid Tillväxt Prognoser
Intäkter kontra sparande: TDG s prognostiserade vinsttillväxt ( 15.9% per år) är över sparkvoten ( 3.5% ).
Resultat vs marknad: TDG s intäkter ( 15.9% per år) förväntas växa långsammare än marknaden för US ( 16.8% per år).
Höga tillväxtresultat: TDG s intäkter förväntas växa, men inte avsevärt.
Intäkt vs marknad: TDG s intäkter ( 8.4% per år) förväntas växa långsammare än marknaden för US ( 11.8% per år).
Hög tillväxtintäkter: TDG s intäkter ( 8.4% per år) förväntas växa långsammare än 20% per år.
Tillväxtprognoser för vinst per aktie
Framtida avkastning på eget kapital
Framtida ROE: TDG s avkastning på eget kapital förväntas bli låg om 3 år ( 9.3 %).
Upptäck tillväxtföretag
Företagsanalys och finansiella data Status
| Uppgifter | Senast uppdaterad (UTC-tid) |
|---|---|
| Analys av företag | 2026/05/27 22:43 |
| Aktiekurs vid dagens slut | 2026/05/27 00:00 |
| Intäkter | 2026/03/28 |
| Årlig intjäning | 2025/09/30 |
Datakällor
Den data som används i vår företagsanalys kommer från S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Följande data används i vår analysmodell för att generera denna rapport. Data är normaliserade vilket kan medföra en fördröjning från det att källan är tillgänglig.
| Paket | Uppgifter | Tidsram | Exempel US-källa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Företagets finansiella ställning | 10 år |
| |
| Analytikernas konsensusuppskattningar | +3 år |
|
|
| Marknadspriser | 30 år |
| |
| Ägarskap | 10 år |
| |
| Förvaltning | 10 år |
| |
| Viktiga utvecklingstendenser | 10 år |
|
* Exempel för amerikanska värdepapper, för icke-amerikanska värdepapper används motsvarande regelverk och källor.
Om inget annat anges är all finansiell data baserad på en årsperiod men uppdateras kvartalsvis. Detta kallas data för efterföljande tolv månader (TTM) eller senaste tolv månader (LTM). Lär dig mer om detta.
Analysmodell och snöflinga
Detaljer om analysmodellen som användes för att skapa den här rapporten finns på vår Github-sida, vi har också guider om hur du använder våra rapporter och tutorials på Youtube.
Lär dig mer om det team i världsklass som utformade och byggde analysmodellen Simply Wall St.
Industri- och sektormått
Våra bransch- och sektionsmått beräknas var sjätte timme av Simply Wall St, detaljer om vår process finns tillgängliga på Github.
Källor för analytiker
TransDigm Group Incorporated bevakas av 39 analytiker. 21 av dessa analytiker lämnade de uppskattningar av intäkter eller resultat som användes som indata till vår rapport. Analytikernas inskickade estimat uppdateras löpande under dagen.
| Analytiker | Institution |
|---|---|
| Peter Arment | Baird |
| David Strauss | Barclays |
| Carter Copeland | Barclays |