Shoprite Holdings Valuation
Is SHOPRITE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of SHOPRITE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: SHOPRITE (ZMW250) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ZMW59.41)
Significantly Below Fair Value: SHOPRITE is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SHOPRITE?
Key metric: As SHOPRITE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is SHOPRITE's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 25.7x |
| Earnings | R6.57b |
| Market Cap | R169.00b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.9x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 13.6x |
| PEG Ratio | 2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does SHOPRITE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 19.5x | ||
2912 President Chain Store | 20.6x | 2.9% | NT$278.6b |
AMRT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya | 33.8x | 17.9% | Rp122.1t |
MKS Marks and Spencer Group | 15.6x | 9.3% | UK£7.9b |
MGNT Magnit | 7.9x | 27.1% | ₽435.4b |
SHOPRITE Shoprite Holdings | 25.7x | 12.8% | K169.0b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SHOPRITE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the peer average (23.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does SHOPRITE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Consumer Retailing Industry?
| 9 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SHOPRITE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the Global Consumer Retailing industry average (16.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is SHOPRITE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 25.7x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SHOPRITE's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | K250.00 | K489.81 +95.9% | 8.8% | K561.57 | K414.94 | n/a | 7 |
| Dec ’25 | K250.00 | K474.47 +89.8% | 9.4% | K547.97 | K404.89 | n/a | 7 |
| Nov ’25 | K197.00 | K474.47 +140.8% | 9.4% | K547.97 | K404.89 | n/a | 7 |
| Oct ’25 | K156.00 | K483.68 +210.1% | 9.8% | K565.07 | K411.80 | n/a | 7 |
| Sep ’25 | K125.00 | K443.65 +254.9% | 8.0% | K501.56 | K388.96 | n/a | 7 |
| Aug ’25 | n/a | K429.64 0% | 8.5% | K491.04 | K379.37 | n/a | 7 |
| Jul ’25 | n/a | K385.21 0% | 6.5% | K417.23 | K351.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Jun ’25 | n/a | K421.15 0% | 7.0% | K462.97 | K389.49 | n/a | 7 |
| May ’25 | n/a | K405.97 0% | 8.0% | K449.43 | K358.11 | n/a | 7 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | K369.81 0% | 11.5% | K419.07 | K292.69 | n/a | 7 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | K373.24 0% | 11.7% | K446.46 | K314.81 | n/a | 6 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | K391.87 0% | 13.7% | K477.69 | K318.46 | n/a | 7 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | K331.33 0% | 13.6% | K409.08 | K272.72 | n/a | 7 |
| Dec ’24 | n/a | K331.33 0% | 13.6% | K409.08 | K272.72 | K250.00 | 7 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | K293.44 0% | 13.3% | K361.04 | K244.40 | K197.00 | 7 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | K292.19 0% | 13.0% | K357.19 | K241.79 | K156.00 | 7 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | K267.42 0% | 14.5% | K338.43 | K221.24 | K125.00 | 7 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | K274.51 0% | 14.4% | K350.24 | K228.96 | n/a | 7 |
| Jul ’24 | K64.00 | K248.56 +288.4% | 9.9% | K289.32 | K206.52 | n/a | 6 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | K256.65 0% | 11.6% | K301.44 | K201.29 | n/a | 6 |
| May ’24 | n/a | K276.79 0% | 11.7% | K322.19 | K215.15 | n/a | 6 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | K301.72 0% | 10.5% | K348.97 | K244.51 | n/a | 6 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | K282.56 0% | 13.6% | K350.32 | K231.74 | n/a | 7 |
| Feb ’24 | K64.00 | K292.88 +357.6% | 13.7% | K362.52 | K239.81 | n/a | 7 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | K277.05 0% | 13.3% | K341.05 | K225.60 | n/a | 7 |
| Dec ’23 | n/a | K253.72 0% | 13.0% | K314.57 | K208.09 | n/a | 7 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.