Shoprite Holdings Ltd

LUSE:SHOPRITE Stock Report

Market Cap: K263.6b

Shoprite Holdings Valuation

Is SHOPRITE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SHOPRITE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SHOPRITE (ZMW250) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ZMW59.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SHOPRITE is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SHOPRITE?

Key metric: As SHOPRITE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SHOPRITE. This is calculated by dividing SHOPRITE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SHOPRITE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.7x
EarningsR6.57b
Market CapR169.00b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SHOPRITE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SHOPRITE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.5x
2912 President Chain Store
20.6x2.9%NT$278.6b
AMRT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya
33.8x17.9%Rp122.1t
MKS Marks and Spencer Group
15.6x9.3%UK£7.9b
MGNT Magnit
7.9x27.1%₽435.4b
SHOPRITE Shoprite Holdings
25.7x12.8%K169.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SHOPRITE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the peer average (23.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SHOPRITE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Consumer Retailing Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SHOPRITE 25.7xIndustry Avg. 16.5xNo. of Companies50PE01224364860+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SHOPRITE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the Global Consumer Retailing industry average (16.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SHOPRITE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SHOPRITE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SHOPRITE's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SHOPRITE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentK250.00
K489.81
+95.9%
8.8%K561.57K414.94n/a7
Dec ’25K250.00
K474.47
+89.8%
9.4%K547.97K404.89n/a7
Nov ’25K197.00
K474.47
+140.8%
9.4%K547.97K404.89n/a7
Oct ’25K156.00
K483.68
+210.1%
9.8%K565.07K411.80n/a7
Sep ’25K125.00
K443.65
+254.9%
8.0%K501.56K388.96n/a7
Aug ’25n/a
K429.64
0%
8.5%K491.04K379.37n/a7
Jul ’25n/a
K385.21
0%
6.5%K417.23K351.00n/a7
Jun ’25n/a
K421.15
0%
7.0%K462.97K389.49n/a7
May ’25n/a
K405.97
0%
8.0%K449.43K358.11n/a7
Apr ’25n/a
K369.81
0%
11.5%K419.07K292.69n/a7
Mar ’25n/a
K373.24
0%
11.7%K446.46K314.81n/a6
Feb ’25n/a
K391.87
0%
13.7%K477.69K318.46n/a7
Jan ’25n/a
K331.33
0%
13.6%K409.08K272.72n/a7
Dec ’24n/a
K331.33
0%
13.6%K409.08K272.72K250.007
Nov ’24n/a
K293.44
0%
13.3%K361.04K244.40K197.007
Oct ’24n/a
K292.19
0%
13.0%K357.19K241.79K156.007
Sep ’24n/a
K267.42
0%
14.5%K338.43K221.24K125.007
Aug ’24n/a
K274.51
0%
14.4%K350.24K228.96n/a7
Jul ’24K64.00
K248.56
+288.4%
9.9%K289.32K206.52n/a6
Jun ’24n/a
K256.65
0%
11.6%K301.44K201.29n/a6
May ’24n/a
K276.79
0%
11.7%K322.19K215.15n/a6
Apr ’24n/a
K301.72
0%
10.5%K348.97K244.51n/a6
Mar ’24n/a
K282.56
0%
13.6%K350.32K231.74n/a7
Feb ’24K64.00
K292.88
+357.6%
13.7%K362.52K239.81n/a7
Jan ’24n/a
K277.05
0%
13.3%K341.05K225.60n/a7
Dec ’23n/a
K253.72
0%
13.0%K314.57K208.09n/a7

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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