Grindrod Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 6/6
Grindrod has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 46.4%, while the Infrastructure industry saw earnings growing at 36.7% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 7.2% per year. Grindrod's return on equity is 22%, and it has net margins of 37.2%.
Key information
46.42%
Earnings growth rate
46.37%
EPS growth rate
| Infrastructure Industry Growth | 6.15% |
| Revenue growth rate | 7.20% |
| Return on equity | 22.04% |
| Net Margin | 37.23% |
| Next Earnings Update | 25 Aug 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
GND: New Shareholder Entry Will Sustain Rich Pricing And Cap Near-Term Upside
Analysts have kept their ZAR fair value estimate for Grindrod steady at about ZAR22.30 per share, with only marginal technical adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Coronation Asset Management Proprietary Ltd.GND: Strong EPS Guidance And New Shareholder Support Will Shape Balanced Returns
Grindrod’s analyst price target has been revised to ZAR22.30 per share, with analysts attributing this updated view to a slightly lower discount rate and marginally reduced forward P/E assumptions. What's in the News Coronation Asset Management Proprietary Ltd.GND: Strong 2025 EPS Guidance Will Support Balanced Medium Term Return Potential
Analysts have kept their ZAR price target for Grindrod broadly in line with prior views. The updated fair value holds at about ZAR22.30, as small model refinements to the discount rate, revenue growth outlook, profit margin assumptions and future P/E result in a largely unchanged valuation picture.GND: Strong 2025 EPS Guidance Will Support Further Upside Potential
Grindrod's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly lower to ZAR22.30 from ZAR22.70, reflecting analysts' fine tuning of fair value and P/E assumptions rather than a change in the core outlook. What's in the News Grindrod issued earnings guidance for the year ending 31 December 2025, giving a clearer view of expected profitability for the period (company guidance).GND: Strong 2025 EPS Guidance Will Support Further Upside Potential
Analysts have updated their view on Grindrod with a refreshed price target of ZAR22.70 per share, reflecting revised assumptions for profit margins, revenue growth and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Grindrod issued earnings guidance for the year ending 31 December 2025, setting an expected EPS range of 306.3 to 313.8 cents.GND: Strong 2025 Earnings Guidance Will Support Further Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their ZAR price target for Grindrod broadly steady at around ZAR22.00, as a slightly higher discount rate and future P/E assumptions offset softer revenue growth and profit margin expectations in their updated models. What's in the News Grindrod issued earnings guidance for the year ending 31 December 2025, giving the market more clarity on expected performance for the period.GND: Earnings Guidance Surge Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their ZAR fair value estimate for Grindrod unchanged at around ZAR22.00 per share, citing only small tweaks to assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and expected future P/E as the basis for maintaining their price view. What's in the News Grindrod issued earnings guidance for the year ending 31 December 2025, giving the market a clearer view of management expectations for the next reporting period (Key Developments).GND: Steady Assumptions And Discount Rate Shift Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their price target for Grindrod steady at R22.00, citing largely unchanged assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with a slightly adjusted discount rate in their valuation work. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share is kept unchanged at R22.00.GND: Stable Assumptions And Steady Fair Value Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Grindrod steady at R22.00 per share, attributing this to only very small tweaks in their discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that do not materially change the overall valuation story. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Kept unchanged at R22.00 per share, with the updated figure aligned to R22.0. Discount Rate: Adjusted slightly from 17.259717% to 17.26525614083472%, reflecting a very small change in the required return assumption.GND: Upcoming CEO Transition And Stable Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Grindrod steady at R22.00. A slightly lower discount rate and a marginally reduced future P/E assumption support the updated price target narrative.GND: New Leadership And Lower Risk Profile Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their price target on Grindrod from R18.50 to R22.00, citing a lower perceived risk profile reflected in a reduced discount rate, slightly more resilient margin expectations, and support from a richer projected earnings multiple despite marginally softer long term revenue growth assumptions. What's in the News Grindrod Limited appointed Kwazi Mabaso as CEO, effective 1 December 2025, succeeding Xolani Mbambo after a comprehensive external search process (Key Developments).Maputo Port Upgrades And Richards Bay Expansion Will Improve Future Capacity
Grindrod’s consensus price target has been raised to ZAR18.50, reflecting modest improvements in both net profit margin and future P/E ratio. What's in the News Xolani Mbambo is stepping down as Group Chief Executive Officer of Grindrod Limited effective 31 December 2025.
Maputo Port Upgrades And Richards Bay Expansion Will Improve Future Capacity
Redeploying locomotives and infrastructure investments in South Africa could enhance asset utilization, revenue, and future earnings.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Grindrod makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 5,558 | 2,069 | 74 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 5,218 | 1,682 | 96 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 4,877 | 1,295 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 4,926 | 805 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 4,976 | 314 | 117 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 4,916 | 672 | 115 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 4,855 | 1,030 | 112 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 4,850 | 1,009 | 124 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 4,846 | 988 | 136 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 5,489 | 953 | 101 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 6,132 | 919 | 65 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 6,008 | 847 | 56 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 5,884 | 776 | 47 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 3,723 | 785 | 53 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 3,570 | 422 | 69 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 3,417 | 59 | 85 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 3,878 | -213 | 195 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 3,851 | -601 | 291 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 3,801 | -508 | 286 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 3,751 | -415 | 280 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 3,773 | -707 | 478 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 3,796 | -999 | 676 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 3,815 | -808 | 657 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 3,834 | -616 | 639 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 3,767 | -36 | 548 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 3,699 | 543 | 458 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 3,583 | 261 | 459 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 3,467 | -20 | 460 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 3,348 | -40 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 3,200 | -114 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 3,130 | 266 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 3,059 | 646 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 120 | 1,607 | 80 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 1,704 | 876 | 80 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 3,288 | 144 | 80 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 9,404 | -2,379 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 9,776 | -2,850 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 9,984 | -2,138 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 10,192 | -1,426 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 10,518 | -408 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 10,843 | 611 | 0 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: GND has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: GND's current net profit margins (37.2%) are higher than last year (6.3%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: GND has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 46.4% per year.
Accelerating Growth: GND's earnings growth over the past year (558.6%) exceeds its 5-year average (46.4% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: GND earnings growth over the past year (558.6%) exceeded the Infrastructure industry 18.6%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: GND's Return on Equity (22%) is considered high.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/21 05:28 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/19 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Grindrod Limited is covered by 4 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mpho Mokotso | Avior Capital Markets |
| Kenneth Hearn | Barclays |
| Rowan Goeller | Chronux Research |