Stock Analysis

Combined Motor Holdings Limited's (JSE:CMH) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

JSE:CMH
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Combined Motor Holdings Limited's (JSE:CMH) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in South Africa, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 15x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Combined Motor Holdings could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Combined Motor Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
JSE:CMH Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 14th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Combined Motor Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Combined Motor Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.9%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 142% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.4% per annum as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 12% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Combined Motor Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Combined Motor Holdings' P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Combined Motor Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Combined Motor Holdings that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Combined Motor Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.