Stock Analysis

African and Overseas Enterprises' (JSE:AOO) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

JSE:AOO
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Even though African and Overseas Enterprises Limited's (JSE:AOO) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. We think that investors have missed some encouraging factors underlying the profit figures.

See our latest analysis for African and Overseas Enterprises

earnings-and-revenue-history
JSE:AOO Earnings and Revenue History April 7th 2022

Zooming In On African and Overseas Enterprises' Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to December 2021, African and Overseas Enterprises recorded an accrual ratio of -0.37. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of R113m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of R23.6m. African and Overseas Enterprises' free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of African and Overseas Enterprises.

Our Take On African and Overseas Enterprises' Profit Performance

As we discussed above, African and Overseas Enterprises' accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that African and Overseas Enterprises' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And it's also positive that the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into African and Overseas Enterprises, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. When we did our research, we found 2 warning signs for African and Overseas Enterprises (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of African and Overseas Enterprises' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About JSE:AOO

African and Overseas Enterprises

Through its subsidiaries, engages in the fashion retail, property, media and broadcasting, and water infrastructure businesses in South Africa, Rest of Africa, Asia, Europe, North America, and Australia.

Fair value with imperfect balance sheet.