Adcock Ingram Holdings Limited

JSE:AIP Stock Report

Market Cap: R8.0b

Adcock Ingram Holdings Valuation

Is AIP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AIP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AIP (ZAR54.96) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ZAR47.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AIP is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AIP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AIP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.5x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AIP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AIP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.2x
APN Aspen Pharmacare Holdings
20.8x27.2%R101.3b
002864 Shaanxi Panlong Pharmaceutical Group Limited By Share
26.4xn/aCN¥3.2b
A170900 Dong-A ST
50.7x38.1%₩563.8b
002688 Jinhe Biotechnology
43.1xn/aCN¥3.3b
AIP Adcock Ingram Holdings
9.5xn/aR8.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AIP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the peer average (35.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AIP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AIP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the Global Pharmaceuticals industry average (24.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AIP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AIP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AIP's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AIP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR54.96
R56.00
+1.9%
1.8%R57.00R55.00n/a2
Apr ’25R55.00
R56.00
+1.8%
1.8%R57.00R55.00n/a2
Mar ’25R55.65
R56.00
+0.6%
1.8%R57.00R55.00n/a2
Feb ’25R55.10
R55.97
+1.6%
1.7%R56.94R55.00n/a2
Jan ’25R60.10
R55.97
-6.9%
1.7%R56.94R55.00n/a2
Dec ’24R54.00
R55.97
+3.6%
1.7%R56.94R55.00n/a2
Nov ’24R55.50
R55.97
+0.8%
1.7%R56.94R55.00n/a2
Oct ’24R57.00
R54.00
-5.3%
1.9%R55.00R53.00n/a2
Sep ’24R55.68
R54.00
-3.0%
1.9%R55.00R53.00n/a2
Aug ’24R53.55
R54.00
+0.8%
1.9%R55.00R53.00n/a2
Jul ’24R56.30
R54.00
-4.1%
1.9%R55.00R53.00n/a2
Jun ’24R51.70
R54.00
+4.4%
1.9%R55.00R53.00n/a2
May ’24R50.10
R54.00
+7.8%
1.9%R55.00R53.00R55.692
Apr ’24R51.25
R54.00
+5.4%
1.9%R55.00R53.00R55.002
Mar ’24R53.00
R54.00
+1.9%
1.9%R55.00R53.00R55.652
Feb ’24R51.30
R54.00
+5.3%
1.9%R55.00R53.00R55.102
Jan ’24R50.50
R52.50
+4.0%
4.8%R55.00R50.00R60.102
Dec ’23R49.80
R52.50
+5.4%
4.8%R55.00R50.00R54.002
Nov ’23R47.50
R52.50
+10.5%
4.8%R55.00R50.00R55.502

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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