MultiChoice Group Valuation

Is MCG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MCG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MCG (ZAR108) is trading below our estimate of fair value (ZAR152.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MCG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MCG?

Key metric: As MCG is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MCG. This is calculated by dividing MCG's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MCG's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.9x
SalesR53.06b
Market CapR46.36b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MCG's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MCG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
TNET Telenet Group Holding
0.8x0.9%€2.3b
CABO Cable One
1.4x-1.9%US$2.2b
CAT Caxton and CTP Publishers and Printers
0.7xn/aR4.5b
DISH DISH Network
0.2x-1.3%US$3.1b
MCG MultiChoice Group
0.9x5.5%R46.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MCG is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MCG's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Media Industry?

109 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MCG 0.9xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies133PS012345+
109 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MCG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the Global Media industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MCG's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MCG PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.9x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MCG's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MCG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR108.00
R116.00
+7.4%
20.7%R140.00R92.00n/a2
Nov ’25R111.00
R116.00
+4.5%
20.7%R140.00R92.00n/a2
Oct ’25R110.05
R116.00
+5.4%
20.7%R140.00R92.00n/a2
Sep ’25R110.24
R116.00
+5.2%
20.7%R140.00R92.00n/a2
Aug ’25R109.59
R117.33
+7.1%
16.8%R140.00R92.00n/a3
Jul ’25R107.85
R121.50
+12.7%
12.0%R140.00R104.50n/a3
Jun ’25R112.55
R120.50
+7.1%
12.2%R140.00R104.50n/a3
May ’25R120.44
R120.50
+0.05%
12.2%R140.00R104.50n/a3
Apr ’25R113.60
R120.50
+6.1%
12.2%R140.00R104.50n/a3
Mar ’25R104.60
R110.75
+5.9%
5.6%R117.00R104.50n/a2
Feb ’25R94.95
R103.88
+9.4%
20.0%R124.00R70.00n/a4
Jan ’25R81.02
R97.17
+19.9%
20.5%R117.00R70.00n/a3
Dec ’24R68.21
R93.50
+37.1%
25.1%R117.00R70.00n/a2
Nov ’24R68.80
R103.50
+50.4%
13.0%R117.00R90.00R111.002
Oct ’24R74.04
R103.50
+39.8%
13.0%R117.00R90.00R110.052
Sep ’24R76.45
R103.50
+35.4%
13.0%R117.00R90.00R110.242
Aug ’24R89.35
R95.67
+7.1%
16.3%R117.00R80.00R109.593
Jul ’24R95.49
R112.33
+17.6%
14.8%R130.00R90.00R107.853
Jun ’24R99.49
R127.67
+28.3%
13.8%R148.00R105.00R112.553
May ’24R114.49
R127.67
+11.5%
13.8%R148.00R105.00R120.443
Apr ’24R123.36
R143.00
+15.9%
14.2%R165.00R116.00R113.603
Mar ’24R141.08
R143.00
+1.4%
14.2%R165.00R116.00R104.603
Feb ’24R120.55
R143.00
+18.6%
14.2%R165.00R116.00R94.953
Jan ’24R117.24
R137.00
+16.9%
15.0%R165.00R116.00R81.023
Dec ’23R117.28
R137.00
+16.8%
15.0%R165.00R116.00R68.213
Nov ’23R119.39
R141.33
+18.4%
11.8%R165.00R129.00R68.803

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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