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Transpaco Limited's (JSE:TPC) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?
Transpaco (JSE:TPC) has had a rough week with its share price down 17%. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on Transpaco's ROE.
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.
How Is ROE Calculated?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Transpaco is:
15% = R142m ÷ R964m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every ZAR1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of ZAR0.15.
View our latest analysis for Transpaco
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.
Transpaco's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE
On the face of it, Transpaco's ROE is not much to talk about. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 22% either. Although, we can see that Transpaco saw a modest net income growth of 14% over the past five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Transpaco's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 36% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Transpaco's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
Is Transpaco Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
With a three-year median payout ratio of 46% (implying that the company retains 54% of its profits), it seems that Transpaco is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.
Additionally, Transpaco has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders.
Summary
In total, it does look like Transpaco has some positive aspects to its business. Specifically, its fairly high earnings growth number, which no doubt was backed by the company's high earnings retention. Still, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping a lot of benefit to the investors. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. To know the 2 risks we have identified for Transpaco visit our risks dashboard for free.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Transpaco might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About JSE:TPC
Transpaco
Engages in the manufacturing, recycling, and distribution of paper and plastic products in South Africa.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.
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