Mpact Valuation

Is MPT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MPT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MPT (ZAR25.02) is trading below our estimate of fair value (ZAR67.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MPT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MPT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MPT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.1x
PEG Ratio0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MPT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MPT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.7x
TPC Transpaco
5.5xn/aR916.2m
PPC PPC
31xn/aR4.7b
MRF Merafe Resources
2xn/aR3.3b
THA Tharisa
4.4x-9.3%R5.6b
MPT Mpact
6.8x16.0%R3.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MPT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the peer average (10.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MPT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Packaging Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MPT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the Global Packaging industry average (16.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MPT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MPT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.8x
Fair PE Ratio7.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MPT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MPT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR25.02
R35.35
+41.3%
14.6%R42.00R29.45n/a3
Jun ’25R26.50
R35.35
+33.4%
14.6%R42.00R29.45n/a3
May ’25R25.57
R35.35
+38.2%
14.6%R42.00R29.45n/a3
Apr ’25R26.61
R38.30
+43.9%
9.7%R42.00R34.60n/a2
Oct ’24R29.10
R35.47
+21.9%
10.0%R39.00R31.93n/a2
Sep ’24R29.42
R35.47
+20.5%
10.0%R39.00R31.93n/a2
Mar ’24R30.45
R32.05
+5.2%
24.8%R40.00R24.09R28.502
Feb ’24R29.50
R32.05
+8.6%
24.8%R40.00R24.09R29.152
Jan ’24R29.19
R32.05
+9.8%
24.8%R40.00R24.09R29.782
Dec ’23R29.51
R32.05
+8.6%
24.8%R40.00R24.09R28.802
Nov ’23R28.25
R32.05
+13.4%
24.8%R40.00R24.09R28.492
Oct ’23R27.00
R32.05
+18.7%
24.8%R40.00R24.09R29.102
Sep ’23R28.99
R33.05
+14.0%
27.1%R42.00R24.09R29.422
Aug ’23R29.01
R34.74
+19.7%
20.9%R42.00R27.47R26.432
Jul ’23R29.90
R34.74
+16.2%
20.9%R42.00R27.47R25.522

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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