To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. So when we looked at Hulamin (JSE:HLM) and its trend of ROCE, we really liked what we saw.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Hulamin is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.15 = R484m ÷ (R5.9b - R2.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).
Therefore, Hulamin has an ROCE of 15%. In isolation, that's a pretty standard return but against the Metals and Mining industry average of 22%, it's not as good.
View our latest analysis for Hulamin
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Hulamin's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Hulamin has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
We're pretty happy with how the ROCE has been trending at Hulamin. We found that the returns on capital employed over the last five years have risen by 35%. That's a very favorable trend because this means that the company is earning more per dollar of capital that's being employed. Speaking of capital employed, the company is actually utilizing 40% less than it was five years ago, which can be indicative of a business that's improving its efficiency. Hulamin may be selling some assets so it's worth investigating if the business has plans for future investments to increase returns further still.
On a side note, we noticed that the improvement in ROCE appears to be partly fueled by an increase in current liabilities. Effectively this means that suppliers or short-term creditors are now funding 46% of the business, which is more than it was five years ago. And with current liabilities at those levels, that's pretty high.
The Bottom Line
In summary, it's great to see that Hulamin has been able to turn things around and earn higher returns on lower amounts of capital. Astute investors may have an opportunity here because the stock has declined 55% in the last five years. So researching this company further and determining whether or not these trends will continue seems justified.
Hulamin does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hulamin that you might be interested in.
While Hulamin isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hulamin might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About JSE:HLM
Hulamin
Engages in the manufacture and distribution of rolled and extruded aluminum products in South Africa, North America, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Australasia, South America, and rest of Africa.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.