Gemfields Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Gemfields Group is forecast to grow revenue at 24.9% per annum. EPS is expected to grow by 100.3% per annum.

Key information

n/a

Earnings growth rate

100.3%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	36.9%
Revenue growth rate	24.9%
Future return on equity	n/a
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	22 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

JSE:GML - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	410	N/A	83	N/A	1
12/31/2025	318	N/A	-33	N/A	1
12/31/2024	229	N/A	-11	N/A	1
6/30/2024	236	-13	-78	5	N/A
3/31/2024	249	-11	-55	20	N/A
12/31/2023	262	-10	-33	35	N/A
9/30/2023	282	7	6	60	N/A
6/30/2023	302	23	45	85	N/A
3/31/2023	321	40	65	102	N/A
12/31/2022	341	57	85	119	N/A
9/30/2022	347	66	84	113	N/A
6/30/2022	354	75	83	106	N/A
3/31/2022	306	63	85	102	N/A
12/31/2021	258	51	86	98	N/A
9/30/2021	187	18	57	67	N/A
6/30/2021	117	-15	28	35	N/A
3/31/2021	76	-50	0	7	N/A
12/31/2020	35	-85	-29	-20	N/A
9/30/2020	88	-59	-21	-6	N/A
6/30/2020	142	-33	-14	8	N/A
3/31/2020	179	-2	-4	22	N/A
12/31/2019	216	28	6	37	N/A
9/30/2019	205	-18	-4	29	N/A
6/30/2019	193	-64	-14	21	N/A
3/31/2019	200	-63	-20	13	N/A
12/31/2018	206	-62	-26	5	N/A
9/30/2018	195	35	-12	16	N/A
6/30/2018	184	131	3	27	N/A
3/31/2018	133	85	N/A	21	N/A
12/31/2017	82	38	N/A	15	N/A
9/30/2017	56	17	N/A	5	N/A
6/30/2017	30	-4	N/A	-4	N/A
3/31/2017	15	20	N/A	-2	N/A
12/31/2016	N/A	45	N/A	0	N/A
9/30/2016	-89	-70	N/A	-7	N/A
6/30/2016	-178	-185	N/A	-13	N/A
3/31/2016	-160	-167	N/A	-8	N/A
12/31/2015	-141	-149	N/A	-2	N/A
9/30/2015	-90	-97	N/A	0	N/A
6/30/2015	-38	-45	N/A	3	N/A
3/31/2015	12	5	N/A	-8	N/A
12/31/2014	62	55	N/A	-20	N/A
9/30/2014	131	125	N/A	-19	N/A
6/30/2014	200	195	N/A	-17	N/A
3/31/2014	117	105	N/A	-13	N/A
12/31/2013	33	15	N/A	-8	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: Insufficient data to determine if GML's forecast earnings growth is above the savings rate (9.7%).

Earnings vs Market: Insufficient data to determine if GML's earnings are forecast to grow faster than the ZA market

High Growth Earnings: Insufficient data to determine if GML's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GML's revenue (24.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the ZA market (3.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GML's revenue (24.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if GML's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

Gemfields Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 14% to R4.56

Price target decreased by 7.1% to R5.30

Gemfields Group Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ended 31 December 2023

Gemfields Group Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2023

Price target decreased by 11% to R6.10

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 37%

Recent updates

Price target decreased by 14% to R4.56

Gemfields Group Limited (JSE:GML) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.006 (vs US$0.008 in 1H 2023)

Gemfields Group Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Sep 27, 2024

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

Price target decreased by 7.1% to R5.30

Gemfields Group Limited Announces Board Changes, Effective on 1 July 2024

Gemfields Group Limited Releases Maiden Inferred Mineral Resource Estimate for Target Area 5 and an Independent Technical Report on the 2022/2023 Exploration Programme At Its Gold Exploration Project in Cabo Delgado, Northern Mozambique

New minor risk - Share price stability

Upcoming dividend of R0.16 per share

Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Gemfields Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 25, 2024

Gemfields Group Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ended 31 December 2023

Gemfields Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 25, 2024

Gemfields Group's (JSE:GML) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

New minor risk - Insider selling

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

We Think You Can Look Beyond Gemfields Group's (JSE:GML) Lackluster Earnings

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.008 (vs US$0.037 in 1H 2022)

Gemfields Group Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2023

Price target decreased by 11% to R6.10

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 37%

Gemfields Group Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Sep 22, 2023

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 14%

Price target increased by 7.9% to R6.82

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

CEO & Executive Director exercised options to buy R21m worth of stock.

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 18%

Price target increased by 16% to R6.63

Insider recently sold R8.1m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of R0.53 per share at 26% yield

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Price target decreased to R5.81

Does Gemfields Group (JSE:GML) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Price target decreased to R5.81

Upcoming dividend of US$0.013 per share

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.03 (vs US$0.016 in 1H 2021)

Gemfields Group Limited Declares Dividend for the Six Month Period to June 30 2022, Payable on 4 November 2022

Gemfields Group Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2022

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 23%

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Calculating The Fair Value Of Gemfields Group Limited (JSE:GML)

Gemfields Group Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Sep 22, 2022

Gemfields Group Limited Announces Resignation of Carel Malan as Non-Executive Director, Effective from December 31, 2022

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 19%

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Insider recently sold R9.3m worth of stock

Insider recently sold R11m worth of stock

Price target increased to R6.34

Gemfields Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 29, 2022

Gemfields Group Limited Announces Ruby Auction Results

Gemfields Group Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ended December 31, 2020

Gemfields Group Limited Announces the Mining Operations for the First Half of 2021

Gemfields Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2021

Gemfields Group Limited Appoints Mary Reilly to Board as an Independent Non- Executive Director

Rational Expectations (Pty) Ltd acquired an additional stake in Gemfields Group Limited (JSE:GML)

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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