Stock Analysis
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Returns At Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) Appear To Be Weighed Down
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Exxaro Resources (JSE:EXX) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Exxaro Resources is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.085 = R7.3b ÷ (R91b - R5.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Therefore, Exxaro Resources has an ROCE of 8.5%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Oil and Gas industry average of 19%.
View our latest analysis for Exxaro Resources
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Exxaro Resources compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Exxaro Resources .
So How Is Exxaro Resources' ROCE Trending?
There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at Exxaro Resources. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 8.5% and the business has deployed 40% more capital into its operations. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
In Conclusion...
In summary, Exxaro Resources has simply been reinvesting capital and generating the same low rate of return as before. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 137% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
Exxaro Resources does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About JSE:EXX
Exxaro Resources
Engages in coal, iron ore investment, pigment manufacturing, and renewable energy businesses in South Africa, Europe, Australia, and Asia.