The SPAR Group Ltd

JSE:SPP Stock Report

Market Cap: R20.5b

SPAR Group Valuation

Is SPP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SPP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
R79.49
Fair Value
34.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: SPP (ZAR106.59) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ZAR79.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SPP is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SPP?

Key metric: As SPP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SPP. This is calculated by dividing SPP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SPP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.1x
EarningsR1.57b
Market CapR20.52b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SPP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SPP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.3x
BID Bid
19x8.83%R150.6b
DCP Dis-Chem Pharmacies
22.8x10.97%R26.9b
BOX Boxer Retail
22.2x11.71%R30.8b
CLS Clicks Group
29.3x12.04%R87.9b
SPP SPAR Group
13.1x10.86%R20.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SPP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (23.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SPP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Consumer Retailing Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SPP 13.1xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies64PE01224364860+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SPP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the Global Consumer Retailing industry average (17.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SPP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SPP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.1x
Fair PE Ratio17.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SPP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SPP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR106.59
R144.42
+35.49%
13.96%R171.00R111.00n/a6
Jul ’26R108.89
R144.42
+32.63%
13.96%R171.00R111.00n/a6
Jun ’26R111.17
R152.17
+36.88%
15.52%R173.00R111.00n/a6
May ’26R114.57
R151.00
+31.80%
17.91%R175.00R101.00n/a6
Apr ’26R120.00
R153.97
+28.31%
17.80%R175.00R101.00n/a6
Mar ’26R133.09
R154.63
+16.19%
17.94%R175.00R101.00n/a6
Feb ’26R140.22
R155.80
+11.11%
18.37%R180.00R101.00n/a6
Jan ’26R146.09
R143.80
-1.57%
18.51%R180.00R101.00n/a6
Dec ’25R143.47
R131.88
-8.08%
14.47%R165.00R101.00n/a6
Nov ’25R128.42
R131.88
+2.70%
14.47%R165.00R101.00n/a6
Oct ’25R131.87
R124.22
-5.80%
10.11%R141.00R101.00n/a6
Sep ’25R128.13
R124.22
-3.05%
10.11%R141.00R101.00n/a6
Aug ’25R125.42
R124.88
-0.43%
10.49%R141.00R101.00n/a6
Jul ’25R122.00
R124.88
+2.36%
10.49%R141.00R101.00R108.896
Jun ’25R103.98
R104.20
+0.21%
10.52%R122.00R90.00R111.175
May ’25R96.76
R119.00
+22.98%
25.23%R175.00R90.00R114.575
Apr ’25R88.44
R120.00
+35.69%
24.01%R175.00R90.00R120.005
Mar ’25R96.50
R120.00
+24.35%
24.01%R175.00R90.00R133.095
Feb ’25R115.95
R136.67
+17.87%
20.34%R176.00R110.00R140.226
Jan ’25R117.90
R136.33
+15.63%
20.54%R176.00R110.00R146.096
Dec ’24R114.00
R138.67
+21.64%
19.09%R176.00R115.00R143.476
Nov ’24R113.23
R135.40
+19.58%
15.78%R176.00R118.00R128.425
Oct ’24R116.28
R127.60
+9.74%
14.68%R163.00R112.00R131.875
Sep ’24R101.40
R134.00
+32.15%
18.36%R165.00R112.00R128.135
Aug ’24R108.20
R134.00
+23.84%
18.36%R165.00R112.00R125.425
Jul ’24R105.00
R133.60
+27.24%
18.69%R165.00R110.00R122.005
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
R144.42
Fair Value
26.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/07/23 03:07
End of Day Share Price 2025/07/23 00:00
Earnings2025/03/28
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The SPAR Group Ltd is covered by 23 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Darren CohnAbsa Bank Limited
Victor DimaArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Michael de NobregaAvior Capital Markets